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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-14965u
ROI
-88.4%
win rate
5%
bets
2917
drawdown
1479.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

10% of bankroll

πŸ”
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+0u
period 24profit withdrawn+0u
period 23profit withdrawn+0u
period 22profit withdrawn+0u
period 21profit withdrawn+0u
period 20profit withdrawn+0u
period 19profit withdrawn+0u
period 18profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll29175%-14965-88.4%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49935%-19821-85.9%1977.9%Select
2% of bankroll49935%-23506-86.5%2340.7%Select
5% of bankroll49935%-24786-87.6%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48334%-24965-91.8%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2917, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
31.10.25Heroic – Team LiquidHeroic1.980lost-0-13965
31.10.25Tundra Esports – Team FalconsTundra Esports15.000lost-0-13965
29.10.25Team Spirit – BETBOOM TeamTeam Spirit3.400lost-0-13965
29.10.25Team Yandex – MOUZMOUZ2.400lost-0-13965
28.10.25BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.000lost-0-13965
28.10.25Team Spirit – HeroicHeroic15.000lost-0-13965
28.10.25Team Falcons – MOUZTeam Falcons3.600lost-0-13965
28.10.25Tundra Esports – Team YandexTundra Esports15.000lost-0-13965
27.10.25Heroic – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.000lost-0-13965
27.10.25Aurora Gaming – MOUZAurora Gaming15.000lost-0-13965
27.10.25Team Liquid – PARIVISIONPARIVISION10.000lost-0-13965
26.10.25Aurora Gaming – Team YandexAurora Gaming5.300lost-0-13965
26.10.25Team Cobra – Vici GamingTeam Cobra15.000lost-0-13965
26.10.25Heroic – Runa TeamRuna Team15.000lost-0-13965
26.10.25BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.900lost-0-13965
26.10.25Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team15.000lost-0-13965
26.10.25Team Liquid – Tundra EsportsTeam Liquid15.000lost-0-13965
26.10.25Nigma Galaxy – MOUZNigma Galaxy8.500lost-0-13965
26.10.251w Team – Pipsqueak+4Pipsqueak+415.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming12.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25PARIVISION – Team CobraTeam Cobra15.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Pipsqueak+4 – Passion UAPassion UA10.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Team Falcons – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team4.800lost-0-13965
25.10.25Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.000lost-0-13965
25.10.251w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25MOUZ – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers15.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Tundra Esports – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy14.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Virtus.pro – Runa TeamVirtus.pro15.000lost-0-13965
25.10.25Heroic – Team YandexHeroic10.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Team Falcons – Team LiquidTeam Liquid15.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25MOUZ – Team CobraMOUZ15.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Team Spirit – HeroicHeroic15.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Kalmychata – Passion UAKalmychata11.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Team Yandex – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers14.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25eSpoiled – Pipsqueak+4eSpoiled11.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION13.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Nigma Galaxy – Runa TeamRuna Team15.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Vici Gaming – Virtus.proVirtus.pro7.000lost-0-13965
24.10.25Tundra Esports – BETBOOM TeamTundra Esports15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Yandex15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Team Falcons – MOUZMOUZ15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Passion UA – 4Pirates4Pirates15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25PARIVISION – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy8.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Tundra Esports – Vici GamingVici Gaming13.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Team Tea – Pipsqueak+4Team Tea15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25BETBOOM Team – Virtus.proVirtus.pro15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Team Liquid – Team CobraTeam Cobra15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25eSpoiled – Team YandexeSpoiled15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Aurora Gaming – Runa TeamRuna Team15.000lost-0-13965
23.10.25Heroic – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers15.000lost-0-13965
22.10.251w Team – KalmychataKalmychata2.800lost-0-13965
22.10.25Peru Rejects – 4PiratesPeru Rejects2.900lost-0-13965
22.10.25Passion UA – Zero TenacityPassion UA2.700won+0-13965
21.10.25Pipsqueak+4 – Roar GamingRoar Gaming13.000lost-0-13965
21.10.25Team Tea – OGOG9.000lost-0-13965
21.10.25Team Yandex – Peru RejectsPeru Rejects12.000lost-0-13965
20.10.25Passion UA – eSpoiledPassion UA12.000lost-0-13965
20.10.25Pipsqueak+4 – KalmychataPipsqueak+411.000lost-0-13965
20.10.251w Team – Team TeaTeam Tea12.000lost-0-13965
19.10.25Team Spirit – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.000lost-0-13965
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.