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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1637u
ROI
-12.2%
win rate
43%
bets
259
drawdown
133.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-707u
period 2top-up-975u
period 1profit withdrawn+45u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25943%-322-13.4%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25943%-351-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25943%-589-13.3%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-830-38.2%86.8%Select
5% of bankroll25943%-1147-12.8%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25943%-1637-12.2%133.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 259, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26zxcursed Team – ALOHADANCE TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8927won+24-637
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8930lost-30-661
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4533lost-33-631
14.10.26The WarriorsQ – Shadow DanceThe WarriorsQ1.9437lost-37-598
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5241lost-41-561
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8938won+33-520
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4342lost-42-553
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1334won+73-512
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8932won+28-585
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9029won+26-613
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4332lost-32-639
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9536lost-36-607
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0333won+33-571
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9530won+28-605
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9527won+26-633
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0230lost-30-659
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9533lost-33-629
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2137lost-37-595
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1141lost-41-558
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9638won+36-517
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8935won+31-553
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0138lost-38-584
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5533won+52-545
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2237lost-37-597
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1241lost-41-560
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0137won+38-519
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9534won+32-557
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9538lost-38-589
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9135won+31-551
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9239lost-39-583
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1443lost-43-544
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3248lost-48-501
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8944won+39-453
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9149lost-49-492
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9354lost-54-444
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1360lost-60-390
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8967lost-67-330
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9261won+56-263
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1968lost-68-319
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2260won+74-251
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1967lost-67-325
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2060won+72-258
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3667lost-67-330
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0874lost-74-263
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0382lost-82-189
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8976won+67-107
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2384lost-84-174
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1193lost-93-90
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0584won+893
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8978won+69-85
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1969won+83-154
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9277lost-77-237
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0470won+72-160
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9778lost-78-232
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9071won+64-155
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0379lost-79-219
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0372won+74-140
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9266won+60-214
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0573lost-73-274
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0681lost-81-201
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.