Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-127u
ROI
-18.2%
win rate
39%
bets
36
drawdown
20.6%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Always the underdog
payments
Stake size
2% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3profit withdrawn+61u
period 2top-up-163u
period 1top-up-25u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 36 | 39% | -66 | -18.6% | 10.6% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 36 | 39% | -68 | -18.9% | 11% | Select |
| Martingale | 36 | 39% | -78 | -4.1% | 60.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 36 | 39% | -127 | -18.2% | 20.6% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 36 | 39% | -287 | -17.1% | 46.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 36 | 39% | -490 | -15.5% | 79.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Nemiga Gaming | 3.13 | 20 | won | +43 | 873 |
| 13.10.26 | CyberHero – Shadow Dance | CyberHero | 1.90 | 20 | won | +18 | 830 |
| 13.10.26 | Power Rangers – The WarriorsQ | The WarriorsQ | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 812 |
| 13.10.26 | Cloud Rising – Cloud Dawning | Cloud Dawning | 1.95 | 21 | lost | -21 | 832 |
| 11.10.26 | Team Spirit – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.12 | 21 | lost | -21 | 853 |
| 09.10.26 | Aurora Gaming – LGD Gaming | Aurora Gaming | 1.91 | 21 | won | +19 | 874 |
| 08.10.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 2.13 | 21 | lost | -21 | 855 |
| 06.10.26 | HULIGANI – CyberHero | HULIGANI | 2.08 | 22 | lost | -22 | 876 |
| 03.10.26 | Team Spirit – Team Yandex | Team Spirit | 2.05 | 21 | won | +22 | 898 |
| 03.10.26 | Daxak Team – Cake Team | Cake Team | 2.19 | 21 | won | +25 | 876 |
| 02.10.26 | 1w Team – Team Nemesis | 1w Team | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 851 |
| 02.10.26 | LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.92 | 20 | won | +18 | 830 |
| 30.09.26 | PARIVISION – LGD Gaming | PARIVISION | 2.07 | 16 | won | +17 | 812 |
| 27.09.26 | avice Team – Cake Team | avice Team | 1.95 | 17 | lost | -17 | 794 |
| 27.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 2.46 | 17 | lost | -17 | 811 |
| 26.09.26 | Rostik Team – avice Team | avice Team | 1.92 | 17 | lost | -17 | 828 |
| 25.09.26 | Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere | Team Nemesis | 2.21 | 18 | lost | -18 | 845 |
| 24.09.26 | Team Yandex – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.96 | 18 | lost | -18 | 863 |
| 24.09.26 | Yellow Submarine – Team Lynx | Team Lynx | 1.97 | 18 | lost | -18 | 881 |
| 22.09.26 | Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.35 | 18 | won | +24 | 900 |
| 22.09.26 | avice Team – Daxak Team | avice Team | 2.18 | 18 | lost | -18 | 876 |
| 21.09.26 | YBN Team – NS Team | NS Team | 1.95 | 18 | won | +17 | 894 |
| 21.09.26 | Aurora Gaming – Team Cobra | Team Cobra | 1.90 | 18 | lost | -18 | 877 |
| 20.09.26 | Inner Circle – Yellow Submarine | Inner Circle | 2.21 | 19 | lost | -19 | 895 |
| 20.09.26 | Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme Gaming | Conventus Stellarum | 1.89 | 19 | lost | -19 | 914 |
| 20.09.26 | PlayTime – Team Cobra | PlayTime | 1.89 | 20 | lost | -20 | 933 |
| 19.09.26 | LGD Gaming – Yakult Brothers | LGD Gaming | 1.95 | 19 | won | +18 | 953 |
| 16.09.26 | Inner Circle – uralan | Inner Circle | 1.90 | 20 | lost | -20 | 934 |
| 12.09.26 | Team Nemesis – InterActive Philippines | InterActive Philippines | 1.95 | 20 | lost | -20 | 954 |
| 08.09.26 | MOUZ – GamerLegion | MOUZ | 1.96 | 20 | lost | -20 | 974 |
| 07.09.26 | GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4 | GamerLegion | 1.97 | 20 | won | +19 | 994 |
| 30.08.26 | Natus Vincere – MOUZ | Natus Vincere | 1.89 | 19 | won | +17 | 975 |
| 29.08.26 | Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 958 |
| 29.08.26 | DYNASTY – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 2.47 | 20 | lost | -20 | 977 |
| 24.08.26 | Klim Sani4 – Team Lynx | Klim Sani4 | 1.89 | 20 | won | +17 | 997 |
| 23.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Spirit | PARIVISION | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 980 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.