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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-23506u
ROI
-86.5%
win rate
5%
bets
4993
drawdown
2340.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

2% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-890u
period 24top-up-872u
period 23top-up-958u
period 22top-up-988u
period 21top-up-972u
period 20top-up-959u
period 19top-up-986u
period 18top-up-991u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll29175%-14965-88.4%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49935%-19821-85.9%1977.9%Select
2% of bankroll49935%-23506-86.5%2340.7%Select
5% of bankroll49935%-24786-87.6%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48334%-24965-91.8%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4993, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy1.902won+2-22506
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.002lost-2-22508
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.002lost-2-22506
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.002lost-2-22503
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.002lost-2-22501
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.002lost-2-22499
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.002lost-2-22496
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.002lost-2-22494
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.003lost-3-22491
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.803lost-3-22489
15.08.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team1.923won+2-22486
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.003lost-3-22489
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsBETBOOM Team2.703lost-3-22486
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.003lost-3-22483
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.003lost-3-22481
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.003lost-3-22478
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.003lost-3-22475
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.003lost-3-22472
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.303lost-3-22469
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.003lost-3-22466
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.003lost-3-22463
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.003lost-3-22460
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22457
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.003lost-3-22454
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.303lost-3-22450
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.003lost-3-22447
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.004lost-4-22444
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.004lost-4-22440
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.404lost-4-22437
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.604lost-4-22433
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.004lost-4-22429
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.004lost-4-22425
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.204lost-4-22421
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.204lost-4-22418
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.004lost-4-22413
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.804lost-4-22409
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.984won+4-22405
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.804lost-4-22409
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.504lost-4-22405
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.404lost-4-22401
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.004lost-4-22396
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.005lost-5-22392
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.005lost-5-22387
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.005lost-5-22383
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.005lost-5-22378
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.205lost-5-22373
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.505lost-5-22368
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.005lost-5-22363
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.005lost-5-22358
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.005lost-5-22352
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.005lost-5-22347
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.306lost-6-22342
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.006lost-6-22336
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.006lost-6-22330
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.006lost-6-22325
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.006lost-6-22319
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.006lost-6-22312
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.006lost-6-22306
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.006lost-6-22300
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.007lost-7-22294
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.