Always the underdog
Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.
profit
-14272u
ROI
-88.2%
win rate
5%
bets
494
drawdown
1427.2%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Always the underdog
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-265u
period 24top-up-585u
period 23top-up-646u
period 22top-up-718u
period 21top-up-653u
period 20top-up-603u
period 19top-up-537u
period 18top-up-595u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1070 | -100% | 107% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 494 | 5% | -3950 | -87.5% | 395% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 494 | 5% | -4311 | -87.3% | 431.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 494 | 5% | -7256 | -87.6% | 725.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 494 | 5% | -14272 | -88.2% | 1427.2% | Selected |
| Quarter Kelly | 477 | 3% | -18475 | -94.4% | 1847.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 494 | 5% | -20133 | -89.1% | 2013.3% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 494, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 15.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -13272 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | Team Resilience | 15.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -13233 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 10.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -13193 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | GLYPH | 14.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -13150 |
| 02.08.26 | Vici Gaming – OG | OG | 13.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -13105 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | VooDooSh Team | 4.20 | 50 | lost | -50 | -13057 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | BETBOOM Team | 11.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -13007 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Yakult Brothers | 14.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -12985 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 11.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -12962 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Amaru Gaming | 3.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -12938 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -12912 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | Nigma Galaxy | 14.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -12886 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | Rostik Team | 10.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -12857 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | NS Team | 13.00 | 31 | lost | -31 | -12828 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | Rostik Team | 3.60 | 33 | lost | -33 | -12796 |
| 24.07.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSports | Ilbirs eSports | 1.92 | 32 | won | +29 | -12763 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Nemiga Gaming | 3.60 | 33 | lost | -33 | -12792 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | Nigma Galaxy | 15.00 | 35 | lost | -35 | -12759 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | Team Nemesis | 2.90 | 37 | lost | -37 | -12724 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | PlayTime | 5.80 | 39 | lost | -39 | -12688 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | REKONIX | 15.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -12649 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -12608 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | GamerLegion | 15.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -12565 |
| 08.07.26 | Poor Rangers – BETBOOM Team | Poor Rangers | 15.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -12520 |
| 07.07.26 | Inner Circle – 1w Team | Inner Circle | 15.00 | 50 | lost | -50 | -12473 |
| 28.06.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Yellow Submarine | Yellow Submarine | 5.80 | 19 | lost | -19 | -12423 |
| 28.06.26 | By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE Team | ALOHADANCE Team | 13.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -12404 |
| 27.06.26 | Natus Vincere – L1ga Team | Natus Vincere | 2.25 | 21 | lost | -21 | -12384 |
| 25.06.26 | Team Spirit – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 12.00 | 22 | lost | -22 | -12364 |
| 24.06.26 | Recrent Team – Stray Team | Recrent Team | 10.00 | 23 | lost | -23 | -12342 |
| 24.06.26 | Dread Team – DangerLyoha Team | DangerLyoha Team | 3.20 | 24 | lost | -24 | -12319 |
| 21.06.26 | InterActive Philippines – Mentality Monster | InterActive Philippines | 10.00 | 25 | lost | -25 | -12295 |
| 21.06.26 | Grind Back – Carstensz Esports | Carstensz Esports | 13.00 | 27 | lost | -27 | -12270 |
| 19.06.26 | summer bear – Power Rangers | summer bear | 13.00 | 28 | lost | -28 | -12243 |
| 17.06.26 | Power Rangers – Flame Esports | Flame Esports | 12.00 | 30 | lost | -30 | -12215 |
| 16.06.26 | Flame Esports – Team Spirit Academy | Flame Esports | 4.20 | 31 | lost | -31 | -12185 |
| 13.06.26 | Estar Backs – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -12154 |
| 11.06.26 | Phenomenon – NA Last Hope | Phenomenon | 2.90 | 30 | won | +57 | -12121 |
| 11.06.26 | Team Nemesis – Gior Dota Team | Gior Dota Team | 12.00 | 32 | lost | -32 | -12178 |
| 10.06.26 | L1ga Team – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 11.00 | 33 | lost | -33 | -12147 |
| 07.06.26 | BETBOOM Team – LGD Gaming | BETBOOM Team | 2.25 | 35 | lost | -35 | -12113 |
| 06.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 3.10 | 37 | lost | -37 | -12079 |
| 05.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 39 | lost | -39 | -12042 |
| 05.06.26 | Execration – REKONIX | Execration | 13.00 | 41 | lost | -41 | -12003 |
| 04.06.26 | Carstensz Esports – REKONIX | Carstensz Esports | 12.00 | 43 | lost | -43 | -11962 |
| 02.06.26 | L1ga Team – Poor Rangers | L1ga Team | 13.00 | 45 | lost | -45 | -11920 |
| 02.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 13.00 | 48 | lost | -48 | -11874 |
| 01.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | TpaBoMaH Club | 6.60 | 50 | lost | -50 | -11827 |
| 30.05.26 | Team Spirit – OG | OG | 15.00 | 15 | lost | -15 | -11777 |
| 29.05.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | Team Yandex | 2.70 | 16 | lost | -16 | -11762 |
| 28.05.26 | NS Club – Ramzes Club | NS Club | 5.30 | 16 | lost | -16 | -11746 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | LGD Gaming | 4.50 | 17 | lost | -17 | -11730 |
| 27.05.26 | OG – Team Yandex | OG | 15.00 | 18 | lost | -18 | -11713 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | PARIVISION | 15.00 | 19 | lost | -19 | -11694 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Falcons – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 5.00 | 20 | lost | -20 | -11675 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Liquid | 15.00 | 21 | lost | -21 | -11655 |
| 26.05.26 | GLYPH – LGD Gaming | GLYPH | 2.35 | 22 | lost | -22 | -11634 |
| 24.05.26 | Recrent Team – Solo Team | Recrent Team | 12.00 | 24 | lost | -24 | -11611 |
| 23.05.26 | Miposhka Team – Stray Team | Miposhka Team | 10.00 | 25 | lost | -25 | -11588 |
| 22.05.26 | Aurora Gaming – Tundra Esports | Tundra Esports | 11.00 | 26 | lost | -26 | -11563 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.