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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-449u
ROI
-26.9%
win rate
36%
bets
36
drawdown
49.1%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-16u
period 2top-up-369u
period 1top-up-65u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll3636%-97-27.5%10.6%Select
Flat (10 units)3636%-99-27.6%11%Select
Martingale3636%-109-5.3%60.1%Select
2% of bankroll3636%-191-27.4%20.8%Select
5% of bankroll3636%-449-26.9%49.1%Selected
10% of bankroll3636%-818-25.9%89.5%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 36, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8947won+42551
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9550lost-50509
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4352lost-52558
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9555lost-55610
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1258lost-58665
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9155won+50723
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1358lost-58673
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0861lost-61731
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0558won+61793
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1955won+65731
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0352won+54666
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9250won+46612
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0730won+32566
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9532lost-32534
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4633lost-33566
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9235lost-35599
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2137lost-37634
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9639lost-39671
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9741lost-41709
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3538won+51750
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1840lost-40699
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9538won+37739
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9040lost-40702
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2142lost-42743
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8945lost-45785
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8947lost-47830
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9545won+43877
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9047lost-47834
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9550lost-50881
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9652lost-52931
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9750won+48984
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8945won+40935
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0247lost-47895
29.08.26DYNASTY – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.4750lost-50943
24.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team LynxKlim Sani41.8948won+42992
23.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION2.0250lost-50950
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.