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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-24786u
ROI
-87.6%
win rate
5%
bets
4993
drawdown
2456.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-996u
period 24top-up-995u
period 23top-up-1000u
period 22top-up-1000u
period 21top-up-1000u
period 20top-up-1000u
period 19top-up-1000u
period 18top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale911%-1000-95.7%100%Select
Flat (10 units)1563%-1318-84.7%131.7%Select
10% of bankroll29175%-14965-88.4%1479.3%Select
1% of bankroll49935%-19821-85.9%1977.9%Select
2% of bankroll49935%-23506-86.5%2340.7%Select
5% of bankroll49935%-24786-87.6%2456.6%Select
Quarter Kelly48334%-24965-91.8%2496.5%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4993, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Team FalconsNigma Galaxy1.900won+0-23786
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.000lost-0-23787
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.000lost-0-23786
20.08.261w Team – Team Spirit1w Team15.000lost-0-23786
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.000lost-0-23786
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w TeamGamerLegion15.000lost-0-23786
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience14.000lost-0-23786
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamAurora Gaming9.000lost-0-23785
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.000lost-0-23785
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit4.800lost-0-23785
15.08.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team1.920won+0-23785
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming6.000lost-0-23785
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsBETBOOM Team2.700lost-0-23785
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.000lost-0-23784
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming14.000lost-0-23784
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.000lost-0-23784
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.000lost-0-23783
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.000lost-0-23783
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.300lost-0-23783
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.000lost-0-23782
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.000lost-0-23782
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Resilience15.000lost-0-23781
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.000lost-0-23781
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.001lost-1-23780
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingTeam Yandex5.301lost-1-23780
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.001lost-1-23779
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Liquid11.001lost-1-23779
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingGamerLegion15.001lost-1-23778
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGOG3.401lost-1-23778
14.08.261w Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons6.601lost-1-23777
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONBETBOOM Team9.001lost-1-23776
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.001lost-1-23776
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming4.201lost-1-23775
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingL1ga Team4.201lost-1-23774
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionXtreme Gaming15.001lost-1-23773
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.801lost-1-23772
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.981won+1-23771
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.801lost-1-23772
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingTeam Resilience8.501lost-1-23771
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w Team1w Team4.401lost-1-23770
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamL1ga Team15.001lost-1-23769
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming14.001lost-1-23768
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.001lost-1-23767
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.001lost-1-23766
13.08.261w Team – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy15.001lost-1-23764
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGOG3.201lost-1-23763
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingLGD Gaming4.501lost-1-23762
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.002lost-2-23760
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.002lost-2-23759
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.002lost-2-23757
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.002lost-2-23755
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy5.302lost-2-23753
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.002lost-2-23751
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.002lost-2-23749
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereLevel UP15.002lost-2-23747
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.002lost-2-23745
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.002lost-2-23743
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPYellow Submarine14.003lost-3-23740
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseTeam Lynx11.003lost-3-23738
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityIlbirs eSports13.003lost-3-23735
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.