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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1639u
ROI
-41.6%
win rate
30%
bets
69
drawdown
159.9%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-445u
period 2top-up-866u
period 1top-up-328u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6930%-249-38.8%25.5%Select
Flat (10 units)6930%-263-38.1%26.9%Select
2% of bankroll6930%-473-39.4%48.1%Select
Martingale2025%-1002-57.6%100.2%Select
5% of bankroll6930%-1020-40.7%101.9%Select
10% of bankroll6930%-1639-41.6%159.9%Selected
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 69, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2862lost-62-639
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8957won+50-577
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9563lost-63-628
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4370lost-70-565
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9578lost-78-495
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1186lost-86-417
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1296lost-96-331
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9188won+80-235
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1498lost-98-315
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13109lost-109-217
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08121lost-121-108
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05109won+11512
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1998won+116-102
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.92108lost-108-218
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0398won+101-110
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9290won+83-211
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.06100lost-100-294
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0712won+13-194
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8911won+10-207
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.759won+17-217
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9511lost-11-233
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4612lost-12-223
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9213lost-13-211
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4311won+16-198
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9613lost-13-214
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2114lost-14-202
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9016lost-16-188
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9617lost-17-172
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9719lost-19-155
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9921lost-21-136
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5424lost-24-114
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1026lost-26-91
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3523won+31-64
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1826lost-26-96
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3729lost-29-70
22.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Yakult BrothersConventus Stellarum1.9526won+25-41
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9524won+23-66
21.09.26Two Move – Zero TenacityTwo Move1.9022won+20-89
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2224lost-24-108
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4127lost-27-84
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9030lost-30-57
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2133lost-33-27
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8937lost-377
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8941lost-4144
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9538won+3685
18.09.26uralan – Two Moveuralan1.8942lost-4249
18.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Yellow SubmarineTeam Spirit Academy1.9947lost-4791
17.09.26Kalmychata – uralanKalmychata1.9542won+41137
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2547lost-4797
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9052lost-52144
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0258lost-58197
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9565lost-65255
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2472lost-72320
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0680lost-80392
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9689lost-89472
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9699lost-99560
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9790won+87659
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.95100lost-100572
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8962won+55672
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0269lost-69617
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.