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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-21575u
ROI
-87.7%
win rate
5%
bets
1259
drawdown
2157.5%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

5% of bankroll

πŸ”
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-720u
period 24top-up-814u
period 23top-up-905u
period 22top-up-937u
period 21top-up-942u
period 20top-up-871u
period 19top-up-905u
period 18top-up-949u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
1% of bankroll12595%-8660-85.9%866%Select
Flat (10 units)12595%-10760-85.5%1076%Select
2% of bankroll12595%-14195-86.3%1419.5%Select
5% of bankroll12595%-21575-87.7%2157.5%Selected
Quarter Kelly12083%-23853-95.1%2385.3%Select
10% of bankroll12595%-24233-89.5%2423.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1259, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.0015lost-15-20575
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.0016lost-16-20560
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.0016lost-16-20545
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.0017lost-17-20528
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.0018lost-18-20511
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.3019lost-19-20493
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0020lost-20-20474
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0021lost-21-20454
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0022lost-22-20433
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0023lost-23-20411
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0025lost-25-20387
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0026lost-26-20363
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0027lost-27-20337
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0029lost-29-20309
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPLevel UP2.2527won+34-20281
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0028lost-28-20314
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0030lost-30-20286
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0032lost-32-20256
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6033lost-33-20225
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3035lost-35-20191
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0037lost-37-20156
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0039lost-39-20120
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0041lost-41-20081
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0043lost-43-20040
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2045lost-45-19997
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0048lost-48-19952
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0050lost-50-19905
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.0010lost-10-19855
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.0010lost-10-19845
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.5011lost-11-19835
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.0011lost-11-19824
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.0012lost-12-19812
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.0013lost-13-19800
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0013lost-13-19788
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy13.0014lost-14-19774
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w TeamNigma Galaxy14.0015lost-15-19760
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamRostik Team10.0016lost-16-19746
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamNS Team13.0016lost-16-19730
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceYBN Team13.0017lost-17-19714
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamNS Team13.0018lost-18-19697
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamRostik Team3.6019lost-19-19679
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPNemiga Gaming7.5020lost-20-19660
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports1.9219won+18-19639
21.07.26Team Lynx – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4018won+25-19657
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsIlbirs eSports10.0019lost-19-19682
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming3.6020lost-20-19663
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampTeam Lynx10.0021lost-21-19643
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexVici Gaming15.0022lost-22-19623
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONTeam Yandex6.0023lost-23-19601
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.0024lost-24-19577
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamNigma Galaxy15.0026lost-26-19553
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.0027lost-27-19527
12.07.261w Team – Team Yandex1w Team15.0028lost-28-19500
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis2.9030lost-30-19472
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyPlayTime5.8032lost-32-19442
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritREKONIX15.0033lost-33-19410
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingTeam Nemesis13.0035lost-35-19377
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleInner Circle15.0037lost-37-19342
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONVici Gaming15.0039lost-39-19306
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Nemesis15.0041lost-41-19267
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected βœ“
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.