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Always the underdog

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-1444u
ROI
-36.3%
win rate
32%
bets
69
drawdown
152.8%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

10% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-251u
period 2top-up-865u
period 1top-up-328u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6932%-218-33.9%24.3%Select
Flat (10 units)6932%-230-33.4%25.6%Select
2% of bankroll6932%-414-34.4%45.9%Select
5% of bankroll6932%-892-35.4%97.2%Select
Martingale2025%-1002-57.6%100.2%Select
10% of bankroll6932%-1444-36.3%152.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 69, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2883lost-83-444
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1369won+146-361
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9063won+56-507
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9570lost-70-563
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9578lost-78-493
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1186lost-86-416
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1296lost-96-329
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9188won+80-234
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1498lost-98-313
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.13109lost-109-215
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.08121lost-121-107
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.05109won+11514
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1998won+116-101
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.92108lost-108-217
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0398won+101-109
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9290won+83-210
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.05100lost-100-293
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0712won+13-193
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8911won+10-206
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7510won+17-216
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9511lost-11-232
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4612lost-12-222
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9213lost-13-210
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4311won+16-197
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9613lost-13-213
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2114lost-14-201
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9016lost-16-186
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9617lost-17-171
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9719lost-19-153
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9922lost-22-134
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5424lost-24-112
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1027lost-27-88
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3523won+32-62
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1826lost-26-93
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3729lost-29-67
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0626won+28-38
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9524won+23-66
21.09.26Two Move – Zero TenacityTwo Move1.9022won+20-89
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2224lost-24-108
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4127lost-27-84
21.09.26Aurora Gaming – Team CobraTeam Cobra1.9030lost-30-57
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2133lost-33-27
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8937lost-377
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8941lost-4144
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9538won+3685
18.09.26uralan – Two Moveuralan1.8942lost-4249
18.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Yellow SubmarineTeam Spirit Academy1.9947lost-4791
17.09.26Kalmychata – uralanKalmychata1.9542won+41137
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2547lost-4797
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9052lost-52144
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0258lost-58197
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9565lost-65255
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2472lost-72320
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0680lost-80392
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9689lost-89472
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9699lost-99560
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9790won+87659
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.95100lost-100572
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8962won+55672
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0269lost-69617
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.