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Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-942u
ROI
-37.3%
win rate
32%
bets
69
drawdown
97.2%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-162u
period 2top-up-610u
period 1top-up-169u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll6932%-230-35.7%24.3%Select
Flat (10 units)6932%-243-35.2%25.6%Select
2% of bankroll6932%-437-36.2%45.9%Select
5% of bankroll6932%-942-37.3%97.2%Select
Martingale2025%-1002-57.6%100.2%Select
10% of bankroll6932%-1520-38.2%152.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 69, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Resilience – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.2844lost-4458
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8942won+38102
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9040won+3665
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4343lost-4329
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9545lost-4571
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1147lost-47116
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1250lost-50163
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9147won+43213
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1450lost-50170
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1353lost-53220
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0855lost-55272
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0553won+55327
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1950won+59272
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9252lost-52213
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0350won+51265
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9248won+44214
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0550lost-50171
30.09.26PARIVISION – LGD GamingPARIVISION2.0719won+20221
30.09.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGBETBOOM TEAM1.8918won+16201
29.09.261w Team – Natus Vincere1w Team2.7516won+29185
27.09.26avice Team – Cake Teamavice Team1.9517lost-17157
27.09.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming2.4618lost-18174
26.09.26Rostik Team – avice Teamavice Team1.9219lost-19192
25.09.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.4318won+25211
25.09.26Solo Team – avice TeamSolo Team1.9619lost-19185
25.09.26Team Nemesis – Natus VincereTeam Nemesis2.2120lost-20204
24.09.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9021lost-21224
24.09.26Team Yandex – 1w Team1w Team1.9622lost-22244
24.09.26Yellow Submarine – Team LynxTeam Lynx1.9723lost-23266
24.09.26Two Move – Team LynxTwo Move1.9924lost-24289
24.09.26Daxak Team – gpK~ TeamgpK~ Team2.5425lost-25313
24.09.26YBN Team – Rostik TeamYBN Team2.1027lost-27338
22.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3525won+34365
22.09.26avice Team – Daxak Teamavice Team2.1826lost-26331
22.09.26Natus Vincere – 1w Team1w Team2.3728lost-28358
22.09.26Team Nemesis – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.0626won+28386
21.09.26YBN Team – NS TeamNS Team1.9525won+24358
21.09.26Solo Team – Daxak TeamSolo Team2.1126lost-26334
21.09.26Team Nemesis – MOUZMOUZ2.2228lost-28360
21.09.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4129lost-29388
21.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9028won+25417
20.09.26Inner Circle – Yellow SubmarineInner Circle2.2130lost-30392
20.09.26Conventus Stellarum – Xtreme GamingConventus Stellarum1.8931lost-31422
20.09.26PlayTime – Team CobraPlayTime1.8933lost-33453
19.09.26LGD Gaming – Yakult BrothersLGD Gaming1.9531won+30485
18.09.26uralan – Two Moveuralan1.8933lost-33456
18.09.26Team Spirit Academy – Yellow SubmarineTeam Spirit Academy1.9935lost-35488
17.09.26Kalmychata – uralanKalmychata1.9533won+32523
17.09.26Nemiga Gaming – Team LynxNemiga Gaming2.2535lost-35492
16.09.26Inner Circle – uralanInner Circle1.9037lost-37526
13.09.26Recrent Team – Stariy_Bog ClubRecrent Team2.0239lost-39563
12.09.26Team Nemesis – InterActive PhilippinesInterActive Philippines1.9541lost-41601
10.09.26GamerLegion – Klim Sani4GamerLegion2.2443lost-43642
09.09.26Klim Sani4 – Inner CircleInner Circle2.0645lost-45685
09.09.26Natus Vincere – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9647lost-47730
08.09.26MOUZ – GamerLegionMOUZ1.9650lost-50777
07.09.26GamerLegion – Pipsqueak+4GamerLegion1.9748won+46827
01.09.26Zero Tenacity – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.9550lost-50781
30.08.26Natus Vincere – MOUZNatus Vincere1.8940won+35831
29.08.26Klim Sani4 – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.0242lost-42795
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.