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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match β€” the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-20009u
ROI
-86.3%
win rate
5%
bets
2542
drawdown
2000.9%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the underdog

πŸ’°
Stake size

2% of bankroll

πŸ”
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

πŸ“Š
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25top-up-619u
period 24top-up-610u
period 23top-up-789u
period 22top-up-925u
period 21top-up-839u
period 20top-up-847u
period 19top-up-845u
period 18top-up-917u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale70%-1000-100%100%Select
Flat (10 units)5356%-4392-82.2%439.2%Select
1% of bankroll25425%-14205-85.9%1420.5%Select
2% of bankroll25425%-20009-86.3%2000.9%Select
5% of bankroll25425%-24194-87.5%2419.4%Select
Quarter Kelly24484%-24817-91.8%2481.7%Select
10% of bankroll25425%-24861-88%2486.1%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2542, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResultΒ±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Liquid15.008lost-8-19009
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team15.008lost-8-19002
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexLGD Gaming15.008lost-8-18994
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionOG15.008lost-8-18986
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming11.008lost-8-18977
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritTeam Spirit14.009lost-9-18969
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingBETBOOM Team15.009lost-9-18960
15.08.261w Team – Team Liquid1w Team5.309lost-9-18952
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming15.009lost-9-18943
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming15.009lost-9-18933
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-18924
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyLGD Gaming15.0010lost-10-18915
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Yandex4.8010lost-10-18905
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.9810won+10-18895
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyOG5.8010lost-10-18905
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0010lost-10-18895
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience15.0010lost-10-18885
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersRune Eaters4.0011lost-11-18874
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity15.0011lost-11-18864
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityYellow Submarine15.0011lost-11-18853
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZMOUZ15.0011lost-11-18842
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereRune Eaters15.0011lost-11-18831
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkRune Eaters Arise12.0012lost-12-18819
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkIlbirs eSports13.0012lost-12-18808
07.08.26Team Jenz – Nemiga GamingTeam Jenz14.0012lost-12-18796
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink13.0012lost-12-18784
06.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Power RangersIlbirs eSports6.6013lost-13-18771
06.08.26No Hoodwink – Level UPLevel UP2.2512won+15-18759
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w Team1w Team15.0013lost-13-18774
05.08.26PlayTime – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers15.0013lost-13-18762
05.08.261w Team – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team13.0013lost-13-18749
04.08.26Team Liquid – Team FalconsTeam Liquid13.0013lost-13-18736
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersRune Eaters12.0014lost-14-18722
04.08.26PlayTime – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience13.0014lost-14-18709
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingVici Gaming10.0014lost-14-18695
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersVici Gaming3.6014lost-14-18681
03.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0015lost-15-18666
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceXtreme Gaming3.3015lost-15-18651
03.08.26LGD Gaming – 1w TeamLGD Gaming15.0015lost-15-18636
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimeGLYPH14.0016lost-16-18621
02.08.26Team Liquid – LGD GamingLGD Gaming5.0016lost-16-18605
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGOG13.0016lost-16-18589
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamStray Team13.0017lost-17-18573
02.08.26Team Falcons – 1w Team1w Team15.0017lost-17-18556
02.08.26Yellow Submarine – Team ResilienceYellow Submarine14.0017lost-17-18539
01.08.26Stray Team – TpaBoMaH TeamStray Team13.0018lost-18-18522
01.08.26GLYPH – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity6.0018lost-18-18504
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamVooDooSh Team4.2018lost-18-18486
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – GamerLegionGamerLegion15.0019lost-19-18468
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceDaxak Team11.0019lost-19-18449
01.08.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingLGD Gaming14.0020lost-20-18430
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceMidas Club14.0020lost-20-18410
31.07.26Xtreme Gaming – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.928lost-8-18390
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidBETBOOM Team11.008lost-8-18382
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityYakult Brothers14.008lost-8-18374
31.07.26Enjoy Boys – GLYPHEnjoy Boys14.008lost-8-18366
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXL1ga Team8.509lost-9-18357
31.07.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion7.009lost-9-18349
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingAmaru Gaming11.009lost-9-18340
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingAmaru Gaming3.009lost-9-18331
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.