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Always the underdog

D2Dota 22% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit
-587u
ROI
-13.4%
win rate
43%
bets
257
drawdown
67.6%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments
Stake size

2% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-173u
period 2top-up-451u
period 1profit withdrawn+37u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll25743%-320-13.5%39.5%Select
Flat (10 units)25743%-350-13.6%42.4%Select
2% of bankroll25743%-587-13.4%67.6%Select
Martingale6253%-828-38.8%86.7%Select
5% of bankroll25743%-1143-12.9%112.1%Select
10% of bankroll25743%-1631-12.2%133.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 257, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp2.8917lost-17413
14.10.26Nemiga Gaming – KalmychataNemiga Gaming2.4517lost-17430
14.10.26Inner Circle – Team LynxInner Circle2.5218lost-18447
13.10.26By_Owl Team – Stariy_bog TeamBy_Owl Team1.8917won+15465
13.10.26HULIGANI – Yellow SubmarineHULIGANI2.4318lost-18449
13.10.26Stray Team – Stariy_bog TeamStray Team1.8917won+15467
13.10.26Nemiga Gaming – Dawn BullsNemiga Gaming3.1317won+35452
13.10.26CyberHero – Shadow DanceCyberHero1.9016won+15416
13.10.26Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy2.4317lost-17402
13.10.26Power Rangers – The WarriorsQThe WarriorsQ1.9517lost-17418
13.10.26Gorgc Team – Nix TeamGorgc Team2.0317won+17435
13.10.26Team Resilience – Cloud RisingTeam Resilience1.9516won+16418
13.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Nix TeamNix Team1.9516won+15403
13.10.26HULIGANI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0216lost-16387
13.10.26Cloud Rising – Cloud DawningCloud Dawning1.9517lost-17404
13.10.26Team Lynx – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity2.2117lost-17420
12.10.26The WarriorsQ – Dawn BullsThe WarriorsQ2.1117lost-17437
12.10.26By_Owl Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.9617won+16455
12.10.26ALOHADANCE Team – Gorgc TeamALOHADANCE Team1.8917won+15438
12.10.26Nemiga Gaming – 111Nemiga Gaming2.5516won+25423
12.10.26CyberHero – Team LynxCyberHero2.0117lost-17398
12.10.26CyberHero – PuckChampPuckChamp2.2217lost-17415
11.10.26Team Spirit – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.1217lost-17432
11.10.26Hokori – New GrowthHokori2.0117won+17449
10.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION1.9517won+16432
10.10.26Team Yandex – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.9517lost-17416
09.10.26Aurora Gaming – LGD GamingAurora Gaming1.9117won+15433
09.10.26PARIVISION – 1w Team1w Team1.9217lost-17418
09.10.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming2.1417lost-17435
08.10.26PARIVISION – Team YandexPARIVISION2.3218lost-18452
08.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8917won+15470
08.10.26Aurora Gaming – 1w Team1w Team1.9118lost-18454
08.10.26Team Synapse – BlasterbITeam Synapse1.9318lost-18472
08.10.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming2.1318lost-18490
07.10.26CyberHero – BlasterbICyberHero1.8919lost-19509
07.10.26Team Synapse – LEGIONLEGION1.9218won+17528
07.10.26MOUZ – CyberHeroMOUZ2.1919lost-19511
07.10.26Yellow Submarine – BlasterbIBlasterbI2.2218won+23529
06.10.26LEGION – MOUZMOUZ2.1919lost-19507
06.10.26Team Synapse – Yellow SubmarineTeam Synapse2.2018won+22526
06.10.26BlasterbI – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.3619lost-19504
06.10.26HULIGANI – CyberHeroHULIGANI2.0819lost-19522
05.10.26MOUZ – Nemiga GamingNemiga Gaming2.0320lost-20542
05.10.26LEGION – BlasterbILEGION1.8919won+17561
05.10.26Yellow Submarine – CyberHeroCyberHero2.2320lost-20544
05.10.26Team Synapse – HULIGANIHULIGANI2.1120lost-20564
03.10.26Team Spirit – Team YandexTeam Spirit2.0520won+21584
03.10.261w Team – OG1w Team1.8919won+17563
03.10.26Daxak Team – Cake TeamCake Team2.1919won+22546
03.10.26LGD Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.9219lost-19524
03.10.26PARIVISION – Aurora GamingPARIVISION2.0419won+19543
03.10.26Rostik Team – Cake TeamRostik Team1.9719lost-19523
02.10.26BETBOOM TEAM – OGOG1.9019won+17542
02.10.26GamerLegion – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0319lost-19525
02.10.261w Team – Team Nemesis1w Team2.0319won+19545
02.10.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.9218won+17525
01.10.26GamerLegion – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers2.0519lost-19508
01.10.26Aurora Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid2.0619lost-19527
01.10.26MOUZ – OGMOUZ2.0320lost-20546
01.10.26Team Yandex – BETBOOM TEAMBETBOOM TEAM2.3920lost-20566
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the underdog" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.