Always the underdog

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog of every match — the team with the higher odds. Wins rarely, but each win pays back a losing streak. Needs strong nerves and bankroll discipline.

profit

-943u

ROI

-17.9%

win rate

40%

bets

127

drawdown

98.2%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

gps_fixed

What we bet on

Always the underdog

payments

Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights

Odds

Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 3top-up-250u

period 2top-up-618u

period 1top-up-74u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
1% of bankroll	127	40%	-223	-18.2%	26.2%	Select
Flat (10 units)	127	40%	-232	-18.3%	27.2%	Selected
2% of bankroll	127	40%	-427	-18.2%	48.6%	Select
Martingale	38	47%	-918	-55.1%	92.9%	Select
5% of bankroll	127	40%	-943	-17.9%	98.2%	Select
10% of bankroll	127	40%	-1548	-17.3%	142.7%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 127, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
14.10.26	Nemiga Gaming – Kalmychata	Nemiga Gaming	2.45	39	lost	-39	57
13.10.26	Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls	Nemiga Gaming	3.13	36	won	+76	97
13.10.26	Dawn Bulls – Team Spirit Academy	Team Spirit Academy	2.43	38	lost	-38	21
13.10.26	Power Rangers – The WarriorsQ	The WarriorsQ	1.95	40	lost	-40	58
13.10.26	Cloud Rising – Cloud Dawning	Cloud Dawning	1.95	42	lost	-42	98
12.10.26	The WarriorsQ – Dawn Bulls	The WarriorsQ	2.11	44	lost	-44	140
11.10.26	Team Spirit – PARIVISION	PARIVISION	2.12	46	lost	-46	183
09.10.26	Aurora Gaming – LGD Gaming	Aurora Gaming	1.91	44	won	+40	229
09.10.26	Team Spirit – Aurora Gaming	Aurora Gaming	2.14	46	lost	-46	189
08.10.26	LEGION – BlasterbI	LEGION	1.89	44	won	+40	236
08.10.26	Aurora Gaming – 1w Team	1w Team	1.91	47	lost	-47	196
08.10.26	Team Yandex – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.13	49	lost	-49	243
07.10.26	CyberHero – BlasterbI	CyberHero	1.89	52	lost	-52	292
07.10.26	Team Synapse – LEGION	LEGION	1.92	50	won	+46	344
07.10.26	MOUZ – CyberHero	MOUZ	2.19	52	lost	-52	299
06.10.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.20	49	won	+59	351
06.10.26	HULIGANI – CyberHero	HULIGANI	2.08	52	lost	-52	292
05.10.26	MOUZ – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.03	55	lost	-55	344
05.10.26	LEGION – BlasterbI	LEGION	1.89	52	won	+46	398
05.10.26	Yellow Submarine – CyberHero	CyberHero	2.23	55	lost	-55	352
03.10.26	Team Spirit – Team Yandex	Team Spirit	2.05	52	won	+55	407
03.10.26	Daxak Team – Cake Team	Cake Team	2.19	49	won	+59	352
03.10.26	LGD Gaming – GamerLegion	GamerLegion	1.92	52	lost	-52	293
02.10.26	BETBOOM TEAM – OG	OG	1.90	50	won	+45	345
02.10.26	1w Team – Team Nemesis	1w Team	2.03	47	won	+49	300
02.10.26	LGD Gaming – Xtreme Gaming	LGD Gaming	1.92	45	won	+42	252
01.10.26	Aurora Gaming – Team Liquid	Team Liquid	2.06	48	lost	-48	210
01.10.26	MOUZ – OG	MOUZ	2.03	50	lost	-50	258
30.09.26	PARIVISION – LGD Gaming	PARIVISION	2.07	18	won	+19	308
30.09.26	Team Yandex – MOUZ	MOUZ	2.68	19	lost	-19	288
30.09.26	BETBOOM TEAM – OG	BETBOOM TEAM	1.89	18	won	+16	307
29.09.26	Aurora Gaming – GamerLegion	GamerLegion	1.90	19	lost	-19	291
29.09.26	1w Team – Natus Vincere	1w Team	2.75	18	won	+31	310
29.09.26	Team Spirit – Team Nemesis	Team Nemesis	2.05	19	lost	-19	279
27.09.26	YBN Team – Cake Team	YBN Team	2.13	20	lost	-20	298
27.09.26	Daxak Team – Rostik Team	Rostik Team	2.23	21	lost	-21	318
27.09.26	Stray Team – YBN Team	YBN Team	2.05	20	won	+21	338
27.09.26	avice Team – Cake Team	avice Team	1.95	21	lost	-21	318
27.09.26	LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere	LGD Gaming	2.46	22	lost	-22	338
26.09.26	Rostik Team – avice Team	avice Team	1.92	23	lost	-23	360
25.09.26	Xtreme Gaming – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.01	22	won	+22	383
25.09.26	Team Synapse – Yellow Submarine	Team Synapse	2.43	20	won	+29	361
25.09.26	Solo Team – avice Team	Solo Team	1.96	21	lost	-21	332
25.09.26	GamerLegion – 1w Team	1w Team	1.95	22	lost	-22	353
25.09.26	Team Nemesis – Natus Vincere	Team Nemesis	2.21	24	lost	-24	376
24.09.26	TpaBoMaH Team – Stray Team	Stray Team	1.90	25	lost	-25	399
24.09.26	Team Yandex – 1w Team	1w Team	1.96	26	lost	-26	424
24.09.26	Yellow Submarine – Team Lynx	Team Lynx	1.97	28	lost	-28	450
24.09.26	Daxak Team – gpK~ Team	gpK~ Team	2.54	29	lost	-29	478
24.09.26	Two Move – Team Lynx	Two Move	1.99	31	lost	-31	507
24.09.26	Natus Vincere – LGD Gaming	LGD Gaming	2.47	28	won	+42	537
24.09.26	YBN Team – Rostik Team	YBN Team	2.10	30	lost	-30	496
23.09.26	Stray Team – NS Team	NS Team	2.01	32	lost	-32	526
23.09.26	Team Nemesis – Conventus Stellarum	Conventus Stellarum	2.06	33	lost	-33	557
22.09.26	LGD Gaming – Aurora Gaming	LGD Gaming	1.90	35	lost	-35	590
22.09.26	Team Spirit Academy – Nemiga Gaming	Nemiga Gaming	2.35	33	won	+44	625
22.09.26	avice Team – Daxak Team	avice Team	2.18	34	lost	-34	581
22.09.26	MOUZ – Hokori	MOUZ	2.00	33	won	+33	616
22.09.26	Natus Vincere – 1w Team	1w Team	2.37	35	lost	-35	583
22.09.26	Zero Tenacity – Team Lynx	Zero Tenacity	1.99	36	lost	-36	617

Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy