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Always the favorite

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+2547u
ROI
+4.9%
win rate
96%
bets
494
drawdown
13.6%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+150u
period 24profit withdrawn+65u
period 23profit withdrawn+161u
period 22profit withdrawn+88u
period 21profit withdrawn+120u
period 20profit withdrawn+139u
period 19profit withdrawn+90u
period 18profit withdrawn+136u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll49496%+2547+4.9%13.6%Select
5% of bankroll49496%+1266+5%8.3%Select
2% of bankroll49496%+504+5.1%4.1%Select
Quarter Kelly888%+302+82.5%2.5%Select
Martingale49496%+274+5.3%2.9%Select
1% of bankroll49496%+251+5.1%2.3%Select
Flat (10 units)49496%+251+5.1%2.3%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 494, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01115won+13547
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06114won+73546
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.03114won+33539
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.01114won+13536
02.08.26Vici Gaming – OGVici Gaming2.15102won+1173534
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.20100won+203417
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17105won+183397
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01105won+13379
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01104won+13378
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.35101won+353377
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.01101won+13342
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.12100won+123341
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0299won+23329
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0199won+13327
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2597won+243326
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Ilbirs eSportsNemiga Gaming1.80108lost-1083302
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.25105won+263409
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.04105won+43383
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.01105won+13379
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.02104won+23378
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01104won+13376
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.01104won+13375
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.20102won+203374
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.01102won+13353
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.20100won+203352
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.12115won+143332
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.04114won+53319
27.06.26Natus Vincere – L1ga TeamL1ga Team1.60108won+653314
25.06.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyTeam Spirit1.01108won+13249
24.06.26Recrent Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.02108won+23248
24.06.26Dread Team – DangerLyoha TeamDread Team1.30104won+313246
21.06.26InterActive Philippines – Mentality MonsterMentality Monster1.02104won+23215
21.06.26Grind Back – Carstensz EsportsGrind Back1.01104won+13213
19.06.26summer bear – Power RangersPower Rangers1.01104won+13212
17.06.26Power Rangers – Flame EsportsPower Rangers1.01104won+13211
16.06.26Flame Esports – Team Spirit AcademyTeam Spirit Academy1.20102won+203210
13.06.26Estar Backs – Gior Dota TeamEstar Backs1.03102won+33189
11.06.26Phenomenon – NA Last HopeNA Last Hope1.35113lost-1133186
11.06.26Team Nemesis – Gior Dota TeamTeam Nemesis1.01113won+13299
10.06.26L1ga Team – Zero TenacityL1ga Team1.01113won+13298
07.06.26BETBOOM Team – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.65106won+693297
06.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.32102won+333228
05.06.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidLGD Gaming1.03102won+33195
05.06.26Execration – REKONIXREKONIX1.08101won+83192
04.06.26Carstensz Esports – REKONIXREKONIX1.02101won+23184
02.06.26L1ga Team – Poor RangersPoor Rangers1.02101won+23182
02.06.26LGD Gaming – Natus VincereLGD Gaming1.01101won+13180
01.06.26Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH ClubRamzes Club1.08100won+83179
30.05.26Team Spirit – OGTeam Spirit1.01109won+13171
29.05.26Team Yandex – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.45104won+473170
28.05.26NS Club – Ramzes ClubRamzes Club1.12103won+123123
27.05.26LGD Gaming – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.20101won+203111
27.05.26OG – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01101won+13091
26.05.26PARIVISION – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01101won+13090
26.05.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.1799won+173089
26.05.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0199won+13072
26.05.26GLYPH – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.6093won+563071
24.05.26Recrent Team – Solo TeamSolo Team1.0193won+13015
23.05.26Miposhka Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0393won+33014
22.05.26Aurora Gaming – Tundra EsportsAurora Gaming1.0393won+33011
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.