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Always the favorite

D2Dota 210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the favorite of every match — the team with the lower odds. A simple baseline: hits often, but the low odds usually leave profit small or negative after the margin over the long run.

profit
+35782u
ROI
+4.5%
win rate
95%
bets
4992
drawdown
24.3%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Always the favorite

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+835u
period 24profit withdrawn+973u
period 23profit withdrawn+904u
period 22profit withdrawn+401u
period 21profit withdrawn+426u
period 20profit withdrawn+1181u
period 19profit withdrawn+2712u
period 18profit withdrawn+903u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll499295%+35782+4.5%24.3%Select
5% of bankroll499295%+14040+4.5%13.4%Select
2% of bankroll499295%+4887+4.5%7.7%Select
Quarter Kelly9672%+4053+74%6.6%Selected
1% of bankroll499295%+2335+4.5%4.7%Select
Martingale499295%+2308+4.4%5.3%Select
Flat (10 units)499295%+2233+4.5%4.2%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 4992, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.02183won+436782
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.01183won+236778
20.08.261w Team – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.01183won+236776
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01183won+236775
16.08.26GamerLegion – 1w Team1w Team1.01182won+236773
16.08.26Team Spirit – Team ResilienceTeam Spirit1.01182won+236771
16.08.26Aurora Gaming – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.05181won+936769
16.08.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.01181won+236760
15.08.26Team Spirit – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.17178won+3036758
15.08.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.85198lost-19836728
15.08.26Team Liquid – Aurora GamingTeam Liquid1.12196won+2336926
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Team FalconsTeam Falcons1.45187won+8436902
15.08.26OG – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.01187won+236818
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Vici GamingLGD Gaming1.01187won+236816
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.03186won+636814
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.01186won+236809
15.08.26BETBOOM Team – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.01186won+236807
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.15183won+2736805
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.01183won+236778
15.08.26LGD Gaming – Xtreme GamingLGD Gaming1.02183won+436776
15.08.26Team Resilience – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.01182won+236772
15.08.26OG – L1ga TeamOG1.01182won+236770
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.01182won+236769
14.08.26Team Yandex – Aurora GamingAurora Gaming1.15179won+2736767
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – L1ga TeamXtreme Gaming1.01179won+236740
14.08.26Team Spirit – Team LiquidTeam Spirit1.03179won+536738
14.08.26GamerLegion – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.04178won+736733
14.08.26Team Resilience – OGTeam Resilience1.30173won+5236726
14.08.261w Team – Team Falcons1w Team1.10171won+1736674
14.08.26BETBOOM Team – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.05170won+936657
14.08.26LGD Gaming – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.01170won+236648
14.08.26Team Spirit – Aurora GamingTeam Spirit1.22166won+3736647
14.08.26L1ga Team – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.22163won+3636610
14.08.26Team Yandex – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.17160won+2736574
14.08.26Xtreme Gaming – GamerLegionGamerLegion1.02160won+336547
13.08.26Team Falcons – PARIVISIONTeam Falcons1.80177lost-17736544
13.08.26OG – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.12175won+2136721
13.08.26Team Resilience – LGD GamingLGD Gaming1.06174won+1036700
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – 1w TeamBETBOOM Team1.20171won+3436690
13.08.26Team Yandex – L1ga TeamTeam Yandex1.01171won+236656
13.08.26Team Spirit – Xtreme GamingTeam Spirit1.01170won+236654
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.02170won+336652
13.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.01170won+236649
13.08.261w Team – Nigma Galaxy1w Team1.01170won+236647
13.08.26BETBOOM Team – OGBETBOOM Team1.35164won+5736645
13.08.26Team Falcons – LGD GamingTeam Falcons1.20161won+3236588
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.06160won+1036556
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.22156won+3436546
11.08.26Rune Eaters – Zero TenacityRune Eaters1.01156won+236512
11.08.26Yellow Submarine – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01156won+236510
11.08.26Level UP – Team Spirit AcademyLevel UP1.17154won+2636509
11.08.26Rune Eaters – MOUZRune Eaters1.01153won+236482
11.08.26Team Spirit Academy – No HoodwinkTeam Spirit Academy1.01153won+236481
11.08.26Level UP – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.03153won+536479
10.08.26Rune Eaters – Natus VincereNatus Vincere1.01153won+236475
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.25149won+3736473
10.08.26Yellow Submarine – Level UPLevel UP1.01149won+136436
10.08.26Team Lynx – Rune Eaters AriseRune Eaters Arise1.01149won+136435
10.08.26Ilbirs eSports – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.01148won+136433
10.08.26Power Rangers – MOUZMOUZ1.08147won+1236432
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Always the favorite" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.