Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
+873u
ROI
+3.7%
win rate
98%
bets
460
drawdown
6.1%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+16u
period 24profit withdrawn+88u
period 23profit withdrawn+16u
period 22profit withdrawn+68u
period 21top-up-6u
period 20profit withdrawn+68u
period 19profit withdrawn+17u
period 18profit withdrawn+28u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 460 | 98% | +1753 | +3.7% | 10% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 460 | 98% | +873 | +3.7% | 6.1% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 460 | 98% | +348 | +3.8% | 3.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 460 | 98% | +178 | +3.8% | 1.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 460 | 98% | +174 | +3.8% | 1.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 460 | 98% | +174 | +3.8% | 1.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 3 | 100% | +68 | +42.9% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 460, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.08.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Nigma Galaxy | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1873 |
| 13.08.26 | PARIVISION – Team Resilience | PARIVISION | 1.06 | 51 | won | +3 | 1872 |
| 03.08.26 | Team Liquid – Vici Gaming | Team Liquid | 1.03 | 51 | won | +2 | 1869 |
| 03.08.26 | GLYPH – PlayTime | PlayTime | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 1868 |
| 01.08.26 | NS Team – VooDooSh Team | NS Team | 1.20 | 50 | won | +10 | 1867 |
| 31.07.26 | BETBOOM Team – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.17 | 54 | won | +9 | 1857 |
| 31.07.26 | Yakult Brothers – Zero Tenacity | Zero Tenacity | 1.01 | 54 | won | +1 | 1848 |
| 31.07.26 | Amaru Gaming – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 54 | won | +1 | 1848 |
| 30.07.26 | Ilbirs eSports – Amaru Gaming | Ilbirs eSports | 1.35 | 53 | won | +19 | 1847 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Vici Gaming | Vici Gaming | 1.01 | 53 | won | +1 | 1828 |
| 30.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.12 | 53 | won | +6 | 1828 |
| 29.07.26 | Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.02 | 53 | won | +1 | 1822 |
| 28.07.26 | NS Team – TpaBoMaH Team | TpaBoMaH Team | 1.01 | 53 | won | +1 | 1821 |
| 27.07.26 | NS Team – Rostik Team | NS Team | 1.25 | 52 | won | +13 | 1820 |
| 20.07.26 | Zero Tenacity – Nemiga Gaming | Zero Tenacity | 1.25 | 51 | won | +13 | 1807 |
| 17.07.26 | Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.04 | 51 | won | +2 | 1794 |
| 12.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Nemesis | REKONIX | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1792 |
| 11.07.26 | PlayTime – Nigma Galaxy | Nigma Galaxy | 1.02 | 51 | won | +1 | 1792 |
| 10.07.26 | REKONIX – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1791 |
| 08.07.26 | Team Yandex – Inner Circle | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1790 |
| 08.07.26 | GamerLegion – Xtreme Gaming | Xtreme Gaming | 1.20 | 51 | won | +10 | 1790 |
| 08.07.26 | Poor Rangers – BETBOOM Team | BETBOOM Team | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 1780 |
| 07.07.26 | Inner Circle – 1w Team | 1w Team | 1.20 | 50 | won | +10 | 1779 |
| 28.06.26 | Nigma Galaxy – Yellow Submarine | Nigma Galaxy | 1.12 | 50 | won | +6 | 1769 |
| 28.06.26 | By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE Team | By_Owl Team | 1.04 | 50 | won | +2 | 1763 |
| 25.06.26 | Team Spirit – Nigma Galaxy | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 1761 |
| 24.06.26 | Recrent Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 1.02 | 50 | won | +1 | 1760 |
| 24.06.26 | Dread Team – DangerLyoha Team | Dread Team | 1.30 | 50 | won | +15 | 1759 |
| 21.06.26 | InterActive Philippines – Mentality Monster | Mentality Monster | 1.02 | 50 | won | +1 | 1745 |
| 21.06.26 | Grind Back – Carstensz Esports | Grind Back | 1.01 | 50 | won | +0 | 1744 |
| 19.06.26 | summer bear – Power Rangers | Power Rangers | 1.01 | 49 | won | +0 | 1743 |
| 17.06.26 | Power Rangers – Flame Esports | Power Rangers | 1.01 | 49 | won | +0 | 1743 |
| 16.06.26 | Flame Esports – Team Spirit Academy | Team Spirit Academy | 1.20 | 49 | won | +10 | 1742 |
| 13.06.26 | Estar Backs – Gior Dota Team | Estar Backs | 1.03 | 49 | won | +1 | 1732 |
| 11.06.26 | Phenomenon – NA Last Hope | NA Last Hope | 1.35 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1731 |
| 11.06.26 | Team Nemesis – Gior Dota Team | Team Nemesis | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1782 |
| 10.06.26 | L1ga Team – Zero Tenacity | L1ga Team | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1782 |
| 06.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | Ramzes Club | 1.32 | 51 | won | +16 | 1781 |
| 05.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | LGD Gaming | 1.03 | 51 | won | +2 | 1765 |
| 05.06.26 | Execration – REKONIX | REKONIX | 1.08 | 50 | won | +4 | 1764 |
| 04.06.26 | Carstensz Esports – REKONIX | REKONIX | 1.02 | 50 | won | +1 | 1760 |
| 02.06.26 | L1ga Team – Poor Rangers | Poor Rangers | 1.02 | 50 | won | +1 | 1759 |
| 02.06.26 | LGD Gaming – Natus Vincere | LGD Gaming | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 1758 |
| 01.06.26 | Ramzes Club – TpaBoMaH Club | Ramzes Club | 1.08 | 50 | won | +4 | 1757 |
| 30.05.26 | Team Spirit – OG | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 53 | won | +1 | 1753 |
| 29.05.26 | Team Yandex – LGD Gaming | LGD Gaming | 1.45 | 52 | won | +23 | 1752 |
| 28.05.26 | NS Club – Ramzes Club | Ramzes Club | 1.12 | 52 | won | +6 | 1729 |
| 27.05.26 | LGD Gaming – Team Liquid | Team Liquid | 1.20 | 51 | won | +10 | 1723 |
| 27.05.26 | OG – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1712 |
| 26.05.26 | PARIVISION – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1712 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Falcons – LGD Gaming | Team Falcons | 1.17 | 51 | won | +9 | 1711 |
| 26.05.26 | Team Liquid – Team Yandex | Team Yandex | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1703 |
| 24.05.26 | Recrent Team – Solo Team | Solo Team | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1702 |
| 23.05.26 | Miposhka Team – Stray Team | Stray Team | 1.03 | 51 | won | +2 | 1702 |
| 22.05.26 | Aurora Gaming – Tundra Esports | Aurora Gaming | 1.03 | 51 | won | +2 | 1700 |
| 17.05.26 | Team Falcons – GamerLegion | Team Falcons | 1.06 | 51 | won | +3 | 1699 |
| 16.05.26 | Tundra Esports – BETBOOM Team | Tundra Esports | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1696 |
| 15.05.26 | Virtus.pro – Team Spirit | Team Spirit | 1.01 | 51 | won | +1 | 1695 |
| 14.05.26 | Natus Vincere – BETBOOM Team | Natus Vincere | 1.04 | 50 | won | +2 | 1695 |
| 12.05.26 | Two Move – Power Rangers | Power Rangers | 1.01 | 50 | won | +1 | 1693 |
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.