Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.
profit
-35u
ROI
-8.8%
win rate
63%
bets
8
drawdown
11.9%
payouts
3
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
Odds modelled from the Elo rating with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 3top-up-79u
period 2profit withdrawn+44u
period 1profit withdrawn+0u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 8 | 63% | -0 | -0.2% | 3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 8 | 63% | -7 | -8.5% | 2.5% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -7 | -8.6% | 2.5% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -14 | -8.6% | 5% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -35 | -8.8% | 11.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 8 | 63% | -72 | -9% | 22.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 8, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | Team Lynx – PuckChamp | Team Lynx | 1.40 | 45 | won | +18 | 965 |
| 13.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – Dawn Bulls | Dawn Bulls | 1.35 | 48 | lost | -48 | 947 |
| 12.10.26 | Nemiga Gaming – 111 | 111 | 1.50 | 50 | lost | -50 | 994 |
| 30.09.26 | Team Yandex – MOUZ | Team Yandex | 1.46 | 51 | won | +23 | 1044 |
| 29.09.26 | 1w Team – Natus Vincere | Natus Vincere | 1.43 | 54 | lost | -54 | 1021 |
| 26.09.26 | Daxak Team – YBN Team | Daxak Team | 1.49 | 52 | won | +25 | 1075 |
| 24.09.26 | Daxak Team – gpK~ Team | Daxak Team | 1.50 | 51 | won | +26 | 1049 |
| 12.09.26 | HULIGANI – Klim Sani4 | Klim Sani4 | 1.47 | 50 | won | +24 | 1024 |
Odds are modelled from the Elo rating (walk-forward, no look-ahead) with a bookmaker margin — the rating tracks the real pre-match line closely. Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.