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Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

D2Dota 25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets only the heavy favorite at odds ≤ 1.5. Very high hit rate, but tiny odds: a single upset wipes out the profit from many wins.

profit
+1895u
ROI
+3.1%
win rate
97%
bets
1169
drawdown
12.7%
payouts
25
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5

💰
Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

Computed on real historical odds averaged per match, not on "convenient" ones.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 25profit withdrawn+104u
period 24profit withdrawn+116u
period 23profit withdrawn+55u
period 22profit withdrawn+160u
period 21profit withdrawn+47u
period 20profit withdrawn+132u
period 19profit withdrawn+4u
period 18profit withdrawn+58u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll116997%+3912+3.1%22.3%Select
5% of bankroll116997%+1895+3.1%12.7%Select
2% of bankroll116997%+744+3.1%5.6%Select
Martingale116997%+378+3.1%2.7%Selected
1% of bankroll116997%+370+3.1%2.9%Select
Flat (10 units)116997%+367+3.1%2.9%Select
Quarter Kelly9100%+128+42.2%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1169, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26Team Liquid – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0255won+12895
20.08.26PARIVISION – BETBOOM TeamPARIVISION1.0155won+12894
16.08.26LGD Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0155won+12893
15.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0355won+22892
15.08.26PARIVISION – Team SpiritPARIVISION1.0155won+12891
15.08.261w Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1555won+82890
15.08.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingNigma Galaxy1.0155won+12882
15.08.26Team Falcons – GamerLegionTeam Falcons1.0154won+12881
13.08.26Aurora Gaming – GamerLegionAurora Gaming1.0254won+12881
13.08.26PARIVISION – Team ResiliencePARIVISION1.0654won+32880
12.08.26Level UP – Rune EatersLevel UP1.2254won+122877
10.08.26Rune Eaters Arise – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.2553won+132865
08.08.26Ilbirs eSports – No HoodwinkNo Hoodwink1.0153won+12852
07.08.26Zero Tenacity – No HoodwinkZero Tenacity1.0253won+12851
05.08.26Team Liquid – 1w TeamTeam Liquid1.2252won+122850
04.08.26Yakult Brothers – Rune EatersYakult Brothers1.0352won+22838
03.08.26Team Liquid – Vici GamingTeam Liquid1.0352won+22837
03.08.26Vici Gaming – Yakult BrothersYakult Brothers1.2652won+132835
03.08.26Xtreme Gaming – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.3051won+152822
03.08.26GLYPH – PlayTimePlayTime1.0151won+12807
02.08.26TpaBoMaH Team – Stray TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0651won+32806
01.08.26NS Team – VooDooSh TeamNS Team1.2050won+102803
01.08.26Daxak Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0150won+12793
01.08.26Midas Club – Team ResilienceTeam Resilience1.0350won+22793
31.07.26BETBOOM Team – Team LiquidTeam Liquid1.1755won+92791
31.07.26Yakult Brothers – Zero TenacityZero Tenacity1.0155won+12782
31.07.26L1ga Team – REKONIXREKONIX1.0555won+32781
31.07.26Amaru Gaming – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0155won+12778
30.07.26Ilbirs eSports – Amaru GamingIlbirs eSports1.3554won+192778
30.07.26Team Falcons – Vici GamingTeam Falcons1.0154won+12759
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0154won+12758
30.07.26Nigma Galaxy – 1w Team1w Team1.1254won+62758
29.07.26Rostik Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0254won+12751
29.07.26NS Team – Stray TeamStray Team1.0254won+12750
28.07.26YBN Team – Team aviceTeam avice1.0154won+12749
28.07.26NS Team – TpaBoMaH TeamTpaBoMaH Team1.0154won+12749
27.07.26NS Team – Rostik TeamNS Team1.2553won+132748
24.07.26Nemiga Gaming – Level UPLevel UP1.0653won+32735
20.07.26Level UP – Ilbirs eSportsLevel UP1.0253won+12732
20.07.26Zero Tenacity – Nemiga GamingZero Tenacity1.2552won+132731
20.07.26Team Lynx – PuckChampPuckChamp1.0252won+12718
19.07.26Vici Gaming – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0152won+12717
18.07.26Team Yandex – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.1252won+62716
18.07.26BETBOOM Team – Vici GamingBETBOOM Team1.0352won+22710
17.07.26Nigma Galaxy – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0452won+22708
14.07.26Team Liquid – Xtreme GamingTeam Liquid1.0152won+12706
12.07.261w Team – Team YandexTeam Yandex1.0851won+42706
12.07.26REKONIX – Team NemesisREKONIX1.0151won+12702
11.07.26PlayTime – Nigma GalaxyNigma Galaxy1.0251won+12701
10.07.26REKONIX – Team SpiritTeam Spirit1.0151won+12700
10.07.26Team Nemesis – Vici GamingVici Gaming1.0251won+12700
08.07.26Team Yandex – Inner CircleTeam Yandex1.0151won+12698
08.07.26Vici Gaming – PARIVISIONPARIVISION1.0151won+12698
08.07.26Team Spirit – Team NemesisTeam Spirit1.0151won+12697
08.07.26GamerLegion – Xtreme GamingXtreme Gaming1.2051won+102697
08.07.26Poor Rangers – BETBOOM TeamBETBOOM Team1.0151won+12687
07.07.26Inner Circle – 1w Team1w Team1.2050won+102686
03.07.26ALOHADANCE Team – By_Owl TeamBy_Owl Team1.0350won+22676
28.06.26Nigma Galaxy – Yellow SubmarineNigma Galaxy1.1252won+62675
28.06.26By_Owl Team – ALOHADANCE TeamBy_Owl Team1.0452won+22669
Odds are real historical figures averaged per match. Outcome probability is built walk-forward with Elo (no look-ahead). Starting bankroll is 1000 units. This is not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Favorite at odds ≤ 1.5" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.