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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Cloud Dawningloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Roar Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Cloud Dawning

No games played over 6 months.

Roar Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 14 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 13 games
31%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 11 games
18%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
RedPanda · 10 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
33%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 8 games
25%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 8 games
38%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
14%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
642 picks · 695 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
519 picks · 451 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
493 picks · 413 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 290 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
417 picks · 397 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
397 picks · 1094 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
391 picks · 836 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
384 picks · 569 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Cloud Dawning
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct7:19
Cloud Dawning 36%Roar Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 29:29.
Game 2prediction correct7:30
Cloud Dawning 36%Roar Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Roar Gaming — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 25:05.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 64%
Series resultRoar Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2