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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Estar Backswin 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team DKloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Estar Backs

Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Accel · 11 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 10 games
20%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Accel · 8 games
38%
Tiny
Tiny
payk · 6 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Accel · 4 games
75%
Omniknight
Omniknight
bsK7- · 4 games
25%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
bsK7- · 3 games
33%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
payk · 3 games
33%

Team DK

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
587 picks · 358 bans
54%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 578 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
474 picks · 253 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 384 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
395 picks · 546 bans
48%
Puck
Puck
335 picks · 899 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Team DK
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% Estar Backs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:1
Estar Backs 69%Team DK 31%
The model gave 69% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs in 17:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaParker
38% · 32 games68% · 94 games
Treant ProtectorYor
Treant Protector
Beastmaster
Beastmasterpayk
47% · 73 games53% · 100 games
ClockwerkZxca
Clockwerk
Jakiro
JakiroYadomi
33% · 89 games
Game 2prediction missed0:0
Estar Backs 73%Team DK 27%
The model gave 73% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Team DK in 29:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidParker
75% · 24 games53% · 28 games
LargoYor
Largo
Axe
Axepayk
53% · 45 games39% · 113 games
RubickZxca
Rubick
Enchantress
EnchantressYadomi
49% · 72 games
Game 3prediction correct0:0
Estar Backs 72%Team DK 28%
The model gave 72% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs in 31:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendParker
46% · 102 games50% · 106 games
RingmasterZxca
Ringmaster
Doom
Doompayk
48% · 62 games49% · 90 games
BaneYor
Bane
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorYadomi
58% · 32 games
Model check result
Model favoriteEstar Backs · 87%
Series resultEstar Backs 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3