?
arrow_backBack to match
Riyadh Masters 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Heroicwin 2:0
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
OG LATAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 24 games
67%
Magnus
Magnussignature
Wisper · 24 games
63%
Muerta
Muerta
Scofield · 20 games
55%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
KJ · 18 games
72%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 17 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
KJ · 17 games
29%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
Scofield · 16 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Wisper · 15 games
67%

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusksignature
Elmisho · 10 games
60%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamanoften banned
MoOz · 8 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 7 games
43%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 6 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
TaiLung · 6 games
67%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 6 games
33%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 6 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 5 games
20%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
542 picks · 614 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
475 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
464 picks · 432 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
384 picks · 801 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 531 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
354 picks · 801 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 305 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
334 picks · 378 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 39%
Hero pool strength56% Heroic
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:16
Heroic 66%OG LATAM 34%
The model gave 66% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 57:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenYuma
51% · 239 games50% · 248 games
TerrorbladeK1
Terrorblade
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit4nalog
49% · 346 games53% · 258 games
Dark SeerILICH-
Dark Seer
Axe
AxeWisper
58% · 31 game45% · 418 games
PangolierTaiLung
Pangolier
Phoenix
PhoenixKJ
51% · 371 game51% · 325 games
TuskMoOz
Tusk
Dark Willow
Dark WillowScofield
50% · 322 games46% · 60 games
OracleElmisho
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct32:7
Heroic 65%OG LATAM 35%
The model gave 65% on Heroic — the game was taken by Heroic in 28:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaYuma
42% · 173 games51% · 341 game
GyrocopterK1
Gyrocopter
Beastmaster
Beastmaster4nalog
48% · 397 games52% · 148 games
TidehunterILICH-
Tidehunter
Batrider
BatriderWisper
49% · 322 games46% · 102 games
UnderlordTaiLung
Underlord
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanScofield
54% · 135 games51% · 371 game
ClockwerkMoOz
Clockwerk
Mirana
MiranaKJ
52% · 74 games56% · 139 games
Ancient ApparitionElmisho
Ancient Apparition
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 77%
Series resultHeroic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2