BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 12 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Q · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 8 games
Snapfire
Q · 7 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 6 games
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Clinkz
Ksh · 3 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 379 bans
Mars
453 picks · 653 bans
Queen of Pain
436 picks · 530 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 845 bans
Snapfire
350 picks · 177 bans
Spirit Breaker
335 picks · 532 bans
Kunkka
334 picks · 535 bans
Wraith King
272 picks · 308 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)31% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total50% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:10
Motivate.Trust Gaming 50%Yangon Galacticos 50%
The model gave 50% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 27:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny23savage
Anti-MageKsh
Storm SpiritFearless
KunkkaYoung PH
WeaverQ
Baneboombell
Game 2prediction correct31:35
Motivate.Trust Gaming 47%Yangon Galacticos 53%
The model gave 53% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 45:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade23savage
LeshracYoung PH
Storm SpiritFearless
Monkey KingKsh
WeaverQ
Shadow Demonboombell
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 50%
Accuracy by game1 of 2