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DreamLeague Season 23 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulsewin 2:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 4 games
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
JANTER · 3 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Corrupted · 2 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Kami · 2 games
50%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokeoften banned
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Corrupted · 2 games
100%
Techies
Techies
JANTER · 2 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Corrupted · 1 game
0%

Nemiga Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
aik · 14 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
nicky`cool · 10 games
50%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Hellscream · 9 games
78%
Pugna
Pugna
queezy · 9 games
44%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
forcemajor · 8 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
nicky`cool · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Bb3px · 7 games
29%
Dazzle
Dazzlesignature
zenica · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
383 picks · 355 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
360 picks · 571 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
349 picks · 525 bans
55%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
346 picks · 336 bans
50%
Techies
Techies
342 picks · 269 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
325 picks · 657 bans
57%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
314 picks · 190 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
301 picks · 311 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 61%
Hero pool strength53% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total54% Night Pulse
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct41:21
Night Pulse 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 35:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKami
52% · 184 games59% · 207 games
Pangoliernicky`cool
Pangolier
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerCorrupted
52% · 229 games50% · 89 games
Windrangerv1olent-
Windranger
Invoker
InvokerWorick
45% · 141 game47% · 152 games
TinyMikSa`
Tiny
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenJANTER
46% · 250 games42% · 238 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
58% · 118 games
Miranaaik
Mirana
Game 2prediction missed28:39
Night Pulse 53%Nemiga Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 47:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautKami
46% · 81 game46% · 166 games
Terrorbladev1olent-
Terrorblade
Tiny
TinyWorick
57% · 212 games53% · 200 games
Timbersawnicky`cool
Timbersaw
Magnus
MagnusCorrupted
48% · 202 games48% · 114 games
Hoodwinkqueezy
Hoodwink
Enchantress
EnchantressJANTER
48% · 263 games48% · 104 games
TidehunterMikSa`
Tidehunter
54% · 174 games
Pugnaaik
Pugna
Game 3prediction correct32:14
Night Pulse 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Night Pulse — the game was taken by Night Pulse in 27:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaKami
51% · 189 games52% · 132 games
Templar Assassinv1olent-
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckWorick
49% · 302 games50% · 157 games
DoomMikSa`
Doom
Tidehunter
TidehunterCorrupted
47% · 221 game51% · 232 games
Pangoliernicky`cool
Pangolier
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenJANTER
52% · 275 games44% · 267 games
Rubickqueezy
Rubick
55% · 199 games
Batrideraik
Batrider
Model check result
Model favoriteNight Pulse · 54%
Series resultNight Pulse 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3