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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:0
series probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Hininyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubick
OmaR · 30 games
53%
Naga Siren
Naga Sirensignature
TA2000 · 16 games
63%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Kaori · 15 games
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Malik · 15 games
53%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 15 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 13 games
46%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
No!ob · 12 games
42%
Mirana
Miranasignature
OmaR · 12 games
75%

Hininy

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
273 picks · 449 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
252 picks · 393 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
244 picks · 335 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
227 picks · 317 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
218 picks · 205 bans
47%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
217 picks · 103 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 497 bans
53%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:9
PSG Quest 95%Hininy 5%
The model gave 95% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 20:26.
Game 2prediction correct35:12
PSG Quest 95%Hininy 5%
The model gave 95% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 16:45.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 95%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2