BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
95%5%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PSG Quest
Rubick
OmaR · 30 games
Naga Sirensignature
TA2000 · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
Kaori · 15 games
Primal Beastoften banned
Malik · 15 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 15 games
Pangolieroften banned
No!ob · 13 games
Earthshaker
No!ob · 12 games
Miranasignature
OmaR · 12 games
Hininy
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
273 picks · 449 bans
Phoenix
252 picks · 393 bans
Centaur Warrunner
244 picks · 335 bans
Muerta
227 picks · 317 bans
Tusk
218 picks · 205 bans
Dark Willow
217 picks · 103 bans
Nature's Prophet
199 picks · 497 bans
Treant Protector
195 picks · 368 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 40%
Hero pool strength52% PSG Quest
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% PSG Quest
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:9
PSG Quest 95%Hininy 5%
The model gave 95% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 20:26.
Game 2prediction correct35:12
PSG Quest 95%Hininy 5%
The model gave 95% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 16:45.
Model check result
Model favoritePSG Quest · 95%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2