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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Yandexwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inner Circleloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Yandex

Tiny
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
54%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
76%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
74%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
89%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Saksa · 18 games
50%
Underlord
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 17 games
65%

Inner Circle

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 28 games
46%
Tiny
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Fernans · 22 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
Se · 21 game
43%
Puck
Puckoften banned
niche · 19 games
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
44%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 438 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
556 picks · 321 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
408 picks · 373 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
387 picks · 437 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 493 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
330 picks · 376 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
328 picks · 627 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:16
Team Yandex 85%Inner Circle 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerWatson
58% · 79 games48% · 168 games
Kez423
Kez
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
54% · 350 games46% · 183 games
Dawnbreakerlaise
Dawnbreaker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
51% · 532 games46% · 436 games
Storm SpiritStojkov
Storm Spirit
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetSaksa
52% · 244 games46% · 418 games
TuskFernans
Tusk
Undying
UndyingMalady
49% · 149 games51% · 149 games
EnchantressSe
Enchantress
Game 2prediction correct25:16
Team Yandex 85%Inner Circle 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerWatson
48% · 32 games44% · 40 games
Drow Ranger423
Drow Ranger
Invoker
InvokerChira JUNIOR
51% · 183 games52% · 118 games
Underlordlaise
Underlord
Kunkka
KunkkaDM
43% · 79 games48% · 150 games
Ember SpiritStojkov
Ember Spirit
Mirana
MiranaMalady
51% · 56 games50% · 255 games
HoodwinkFernans
Hoodwink
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSaksa
55% · 319 games52% · 106 games
ClockwerkSe
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 96%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2