Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Team Yandex
Tiny
Saksa · 26 games
Jakirosignature
Malady · 25 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 20 games
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 19 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 19 games
Tuskoften banned
Saksa · 18 games
Underlordsignature
Noticed · 17 games
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 28 games
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
Tuskoften banned
Fernans · 22 games
Warlock
Se · 21 game
Puckoften banned
niche · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
616 picks · 438 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 321 bans
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 373 bans
Phoenix
387 picks · 437 bans
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 493 bans
Storm Spirit
330 picks · 376 bans
Clockwerk
328 picks · 627 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength59% Team Yandex
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Team Yandex
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:16
Team Yandex 85%Inner Circle 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 27:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerWatson
Kez423
Centaur WarrunnerDM
Dawnbreakerlaise
Ember SpiritChira JUNIOR
Storm SpiritStojkov
Nature's ProphetSaksa
TuskFernans
UndyingMalady
EnchantressSe
Game 2prediction correct25:16
Team Yandex 85%Inner Circle 15%
The model gave 85% on Team Yandex — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 32:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerWatson
Drow Ranger423
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Underlordlaise
KunkkaDM
Ember SpiritStojkov
MiranaMalady
HoodwinkFernans
Shadow DemonSaksa
ClockwerkSe
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Yandex · 96%
Series resultTeam Yandex 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2