The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Vici Gaming
Windranger
shiro · 25 games
Tinysignature
shiro · 19 games
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 16 games
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
Rubick
XinQ · 13 games
Grey Trac
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BEYOND · 4 games
Rubick
Rico · 4 games
Bane
Undyne_ · 3 games
Muertaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 3 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 3 games
Silencer
Undyne_ · 3 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Dust · 3 games
Centaur Warrunner
BEYOND · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
636 picks · 433 bans
Rubick
556 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 588 bans
Tiny
461 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
435 picks · 645 bans
Puck
351 picks · 1018 bans
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 531 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
Vici Gaming 82%Grey Trac 18%
The model gave 82% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 44:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SnapfireXm
Shadow FiendRA1NCLOUD
Windrangershiro
TimbersawBEYOND
Nature's ProphetXinQ
Ember SpiritDust
AxeFaith_bian
BaneUndyne_
Phoenixy`
TuskRico
Game 2prediction correct22:11
Vici Gaming 83%Grey Trac 17%
The model gave 83% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 27:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow FiendXm
DawnbreakerBEYOND
BeastmasterFaith_bian
Death ProphetDust
Kezshiro
MuertaRA1NCLOUD
Winter Wyverny`
Shadow ShamanRico
WindrangerXinQ
UndyingUndyne_
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 96%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2