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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Vici Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
96%4%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Grey Tracloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 25 games
44%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 19 games
63%
Mars
Marssignature
Faith_bian · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xm · 16 games
38%
Jakiro
Jakiro
y` · 15 games
40%
Muerta
Muertasignature
shiro · 13 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 13 games
54%

Grey Trac

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
BEYOND · 4 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
Rico · 4 games
0%
Bane
Bane
Undyne_ · 3 games
67%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 3 games
0%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 3 games
67%
Silencer
Silencer
Undyne_ · 3 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Dust · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
BEYOND · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
636 picks · 433 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
556 picks · 312 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
461 picks · 393 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 645 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1018 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
346 picks · 531 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 302 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Vici Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:18
Vici Gaming 82%Grey Trac 18%
The model gave 82% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 44:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Snapfire
SnapfireXm
46% · 387 games52% · 330 games
Shadow FiendRA1NCLOUD
Shadow Fiend
Windranger
Windrangershiro
47% · 339 games54% · 198 games
TimbersawBEYOND
Timbersaw
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetXinQ
54% · 253 games51% · 388 games
Ember SpiritDust
Ember Spirit
Axe
AxeFaith_bian
45% · 325 games57% · 216 games
BaneUndyne_
Bane
Phoenix
Phoenixy`
52% · 352 games41% · 524 games
TuskRico
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct22:11
Vici Gaming 83%Grey Trac 17%
The model gave 83% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 27:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendXm
56% · 198 games47% · 143 games
DawnbreakerBEYOND
Dawnbreaker
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFaith_bian
52% · 206 games56% · 30 games
Death ProphetDust
Death Prophet
Kez
Kezshiro
56% · 94 games46% · 196 games
MuertaRA1NCLOUD
Muerta
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyverny`
57% · 25 games47% · 208 games
Shadow ShamanRico
Shadow Shaman
Windranger
WindrangerXinQ
43% · 153 games49% · 99 games
UndyingUndyne_
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 96%
Series resultVici Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2