?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 2 — Европа 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
ViKin.ggwin 2:0
series probability
83%17%
probability at match start · final 2:0
No Bounty Hunterloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

ViKin.gg

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 16 games
69%
Puck
Puckoften banned
BOOM · 12 games
58%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Seleri · 11 games
73%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
BOOM · 10 games
80%
Lion
Lionsignature
Aramis · 10 games
70%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
BOOM · 10 games
60%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Aramis · 9 games
22%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Aramis · 9 games
78%

No Bounty Hunter

Rubick
Rubick
ntakii · 16 games
56%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
dEsire · 15 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
ntakii · 14 games
36%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Flash · 12 games
67%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
BliNcc · 9 games
67%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Flash · 9 games
78%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
BliNcc · 7 games
71%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
ntakii · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
454 picks · 985 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
431 picks · 590 bans
53%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
371 picks · 697 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
351 picks · 610 bans
54%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
326 picks · 303 bans
49%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
288 picks · 254 bans
45%
Tusk
Tusk
288 picks · 182 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
282 picks · 395 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% ViKin.gg
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total83% ViKin.gg
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:17
ViKin.gg 69%No Bounty Hunter 31%
The model gave 69% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 43:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautShad
61% · 62 games51% · 21 game
GyrocopterkAAN
Gyrocopter
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritBOOM
42% · 54 games48% · 90 games
Puckntakii
Puck
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerKheZu
47% · 11 games40% · 14 games
UnderlordBliNcc
Underlord
Tiny
TinyAramis
46% · 31 game47% · 22 games
ClockwerkNARMAN
Clockwerk
Snapfire
SnapfireSeleri
53% · 11 games59% · 22 games
AbaddonFlash
Abaddon
Game 2prediction correct44:24
ViKin.gg 69%No Bounty Hunter 31%
The model gave 69% on ViKin.gg — the game was taken by ViKin.gg in 37:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerShad
51% · 12 games54% · 23 games
GyrocopterkAAN
Gyrocopter
Invoker
InvokerBOOM
53% · 22 games50% · 39 games
Viperntakii
Viper
Tidehunter
TidehunterKheZu
48% · 36 games49% · 49 games
RubickNARMAN
Rubick
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritAramis
42% · 62 games65% · 11 games
Centaur WarrunnerBliNcc
Centaur Warrunner
Disruptor
DisruptorSeleri
58% · 20 games53% · 30 games
IoFlash
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteViKin.gg · 83%
Series resultViKin.gg 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2