Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-271u
ROI
-7.8%
win rate
41%
bets
347
drawdown
35.9%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-43u
period 6profit withdrawn+2u
period 5top-up-46u
period 4profit withdrawn+102u
period 3top-up-136u
period 2top-up-101u
period 1top-up-50u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 347 | 41% | -270 | -8% | 34.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 347 | 41% | -271 | -7.8% | 35.9% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 347 | 41% | -538 | -8.2% | 66.2% | Select |
| Martingale | 8 | 0% | -1310 | -100% | 131% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 347 | 41% | -1312 | -8.8% | 144.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 347 | 41% | -2414 | -9.7% | 222.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 347, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 729 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 739 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 749 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 759 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 738 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 748 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 10 | won | +15 | 758 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 743 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 10 | won | +19 | 753 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 734 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Misa | Azuolas | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 723 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 733 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 721 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | SAW | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 731 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 741 |
| 07.10.26 | BERG – Leo | BERG | 3.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 727 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 737 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 10 | won | +14 | 747 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 734 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 744 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 731 |
| 05.10.26 | PARIVISION – FURIA | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 717 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 10 | won | +12 | 727 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 715 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 725 |
| 02.10.26 | FOKUS – BBL | BBL | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 735 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – Anteiku | Anteiku | 3.96 | 10 | lost | -10 | 724 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 734 |
| 02.10.26 | Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 744 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.56 | 10 | won | +16 | 754 |
| 02.10.26 | Fire Flux – benched gods | benched gods | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 738 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Sangal | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 748 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 758 |
| 01.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 768 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 10 | won | +17 | 778 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 761 |
| 30.09.26 | Leo – mellren | Leo | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 771 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 781 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 767 |
| 29.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – VISION | VISION | 2.39 | 10 | won | +14 | 755 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 741 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 751 |
| 28.09.26 | Galorys – Procyon | Procyon | 2.77 | 10 | won | +18 | 761 |
| 27.09.26 | Fluxo – SAW | SAW | 2.83 | 10 | won | +18 | 743 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 725 |
| 27.09.26 | Phantom Academy – Illyrians | Phantom Academy | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 712 |
| 27.09.26 | Bounty Hunters – Galorys | Bounty Hunters | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 701 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 711 |
| 27.09.26 | Nexus – Black Phoenix | Nexus | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 721 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 708 |
| 26.09.26 | Spirit Academy Green – Young TigeRES | Young TigeRES | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 718 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 707 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 717 |
| 26.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – K27 | EYEBALLERS | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 703 |
| 26.09.26 | Iowa Stormboar – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 713 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 700 |
| 25.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | regain | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 710 |
| 25.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 720 |
| 25.09.26 | Metizport – Optibet | Optibet | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 709 |
| 25.09.26 | MOUZ NXT – FaZe Up Next | MOUZ NXT | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 719 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.