Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1809u
ROI
-8.6%
win rate
41%
bets
2113
drawdown
176.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4profit withdrawn+227u
period 3top-up-342u
period 2top-up-703u
period 1profit withdrawn+9u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 53 | 47% | -786 | -37.6% | 83.5% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 2113 | 41% | -1809 | -8.6% | 176.7% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -2388 | -8.9% | 232.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -3465 | -8.4% | 323.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -4481 | -7.9% | 381.2% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 3606 | 40% | -5704 | -10.1% | 434.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 2113, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.08.26 | Permitta – Azuolas | Permitta | 2.02 | 4 | lost | -4 | -809 |
| 31.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -805 |
| 31.08.26 | Nemesis – Nuclear TigeRES | Nemesis | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -795 |
| 31.08.26 | 3DMAX – Butterfly | 3DMAX | 3.25 | 7 | won | +16 | -785 |
| 31.08.26 | Rare Atom – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | -802 |
| 31.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | -792 |
| 31.08.26 | Metizport – PCIFIC | PCIFIC | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | -782 |
| 31.08.26 | HOTU – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | -772 |
| 31.08.26 | Arcade – Ground Zero | Arcade | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | -762 |
| 31.08.26 | Spirit – FURIA | FURIA | 2.72 | 10 | lost | -10 | -752 |
| 31.08.26 | BBL – Black Phoenix | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -742 |
| 31.08.26 | HAVU – Endless Journey | HAVU | 2.39 | 10 | won | +14 | -732 |
| 31.08.26 | NEXVOID – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | -746 |
| 31.08.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Overtake Sector | 2.48 | 10 | won | +15 | -736 |
| 31.08.26 | LAG – SportsBetExpert | LAG | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | -750 |
| 31.08.26 | Without a Roof – SportsBetExpert | Without a Roof | 2.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | -764 |
| 31.08.26 | ODDIK – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | -754 |
| 31.08.26 | Galorys – Imperial | Galorys | 2.50 | 10 | won | +15 | -744 |
| 30.08.26 | Raccoons – Eternal Fire | Raccoons | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | -760 |
| 30.08.26 | SportsBetExpert – For Fun | For Fun | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | -750 |
| 30.08.26 | Vitality – Legacy | Vitality | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | -740 |
| 30.08.26 | Azuolas – BERG | BERG | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | -750 |
| 30.08.26 | LP – OG | OG | 2.34 | 10 | won | +13 | -740 |
| 30.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Virtus.pro | Inner Circle Academy | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | -753 |
| 30.08.26 | fnatic – Teletubisie | Teletubisie | 2.74 | 10 | lost | -10 | -743 |
| 30.08.26 | Permitta – WBT | Permitta | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | -733 |
| 30.08.26 | Strael Bora – Fire Flux | Strael Bora | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -723 |
| 30.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – BAKS | MOUZ NXT | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | -713 |
| 30.08.26 | PCIFIC – Atreides | Atreides | 2.42 | 10 | won | +14 | -703 |
| 30.08.26 | Fortress – Noir Verse | Fortress | 2.44 | 10 | won | +14 | -717 |
| 30.08.26 | Without a Roof – LAG | LAG | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | -732 |
| 30.08.26 | DETONATE – SportsBetExpert | DETONATE | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | -742 |
| 30.08.26 | Wanted Goons – For Fun | Wanted Goons | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | -732 |
| 30.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -722 |
| 30.08.26 | paiN Academy – DAMAJUANA | paiN Academy | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | -712 |
| 30.08.26 | K27 – Nuclear TigeRES | K27 | 2.58 | 10 | lost | -10 | -723 |
| 30.08.26 | FORZE Reload – ex-RUSTEC | FORZE Reload | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | -713 |
| 30.08.26 | Inner Circle – FUT | FUT | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | -724 |
| 30.08.26 | Eternal Fire – ENCE | ENCE | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -736 |
| 30.08.26 | ASTRAL – Insiders | Insiders | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -726 |
| 30.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | -716 |
| 30.08.26 | LP – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | -728 |
| 30.08.26 | Noir Verse – Atreides | Atreides | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | -718 |
| 30.08.26 | PCIFIC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.50 | 10 | won | +15 | -708 |
| 30.08.26 | BESTIA Academy – ALKA | BESTIA Academy | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | -723 |
| 30.08.26 | WBT – BERG | BERG | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -713 |
| 30.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Phantom | Phantom | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | -703 |
| 30.08.26 | BAKS – Misa | Misa | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | -693 |
| 30.08.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | -708 |
| 30.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | -698 |
| 30.08.26 | Azuolas – Permitta | Permitta | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | -688 |
| 30.08.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | -698 |
| 30.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | -709 |
| 30.08.26 | Black Phoenix – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | -699 |
| 30.08.26 | Aurora – M80 | M80 | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | -709 |
| 30.08.26 | OG – Eternal Fire | OG | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | -699 |
| 30.08.26 | Atreides – Honvéd | Atreides | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | -711 |
| 30.08.26 | Nordic Partners – Bushido Wildcats | Nordic Partners | 3.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | -701 |
| 30.08.26 | Total Domination – Game Point | Game Point | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | -691 |
| 30.08.26 | FORZE Reload – UPGRADE | UPGRADE | 2.13 | 10 | won | +11 | -681 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.