Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-245u
ROI
-7%
win rate
41%
bets
351
drawdown
30.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-23u
period 6top-up-177u
period 5profit withdrawn+66u
period 4profit withdrawn+10u
period 3top-up-99u
period 2profit withdrawn+9u
period 1top-up-30u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 351 | 41% | -243 | -7.2% | 30.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 351 | 41% | -245 | -7% | 30.3% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 351 | 41% | -484 | -7.4% | 57.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1070 | -100% | 107% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 351 | 41% | -1200 | -8.1% | 116.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 351 | 41% | -2419 | -9.2% | 176.3% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 351, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 755 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 745 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 755 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 765 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 755 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 765 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 775 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 785 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 795 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +14 | 774 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 759 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | Villainous | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 769 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 779 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 10 | won | +15 | 789 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 10 | won | +19 | 774 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 755 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 765 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 775 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 765 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 775 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 763 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 773 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 783 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 793 |
| 07.10.26 | Revise – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.31 | 10 | won | +13 | 779 |
| 07.10.26 | The KnockoutX – The Huns | The KnockoutX | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 766 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 755 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 10 | won | +14 | 765 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 751 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 761 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 748 |
| 03.10.26 | Aurora – 9z | 9z | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 734 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 744 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 754 |
| 02.10.26 | Eternal Fire – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | 764 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Prestige | Prestige | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 774 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 784 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | 6yuBoJlbl | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 794 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – SportsBetExpert | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.56 | 10 | won | +16 | 781 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 776 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 756 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 10 | won | +17 | 776 |
| 01.10.26 | SAW – NT | NT | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 758 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 768 |
| 29.09.26 | MASONIC – Enjoy | MASONIC | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 778 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 764 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 752 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 762 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 772 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 782 |
| 27.09.26 | RBLS – SAW | SAW | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 769 |
| 27.09.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Sementes do Mal | Sementes do Mal | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 759 |
| 27.09.26 | benched gods – eternal premium | eternal premium | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 769 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 779 |
| 27.09.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Phantom Academy | Phantom Academy | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 789 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 772 |
| 26.09.26 | Lilmix – overTIME | Lilmix | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 782 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 792 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.