Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-176u
ROI
-13.7%
win rate
39%
bets
128
drawdown
22.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-27u
period 3top-up-48u
period 2top-up-49u
period 1top-up-51u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 128 | 39% | +884 | +15.2% | 39.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 128 | 39% | -176 | -13.7% | 22.2% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 128 | 39% | -179 | -14.5% | 22.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 128 | 39% | -363 | -15.2% | 44.5% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 128 | 39% | -933 | -17.5% | 109.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 128 | 39% | -1853 | -21.7% | 206.7% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 824 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 834 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 844 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 834 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 817 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 827 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 817 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 804 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort – Honvéd | Honvéd | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 789 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 778 |
| 13.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 788 |
| 10.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 798 |
| 09.08.26 | UNiTY – Nexus | UNiTY | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 808 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 796 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 786 |
| 08.08.26 | SadFamous – Eternal Fire | SadFamous | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 796 |
| 07.08.26 | MANGANESE – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.13 | 10 | won | +11 | 806 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 795 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 805 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 10 | lost | -10 | 815 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 825 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.65 | 10 | lost | -10 | 835 |
| 02.08.26 | MIBR – BESTIA | MIBR | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 845 |
| 02.08.26 | FAVBET – Misa | Misa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 833 |
| 02.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 823 |
| 01.08.26 | MIBR – ShindeN | MIBR | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 833 |
| 01.08.26 | JiJieHao – GenOne | JiJieHao | 2.60 | 10 | lost | -10 | 821 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe – Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 831 |
| 01.08.26 | LAG – SportsBetExpert | LAG | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 31.07.26 | Lavked – megoshort | megoshort | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 851 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 841 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | 851 |
| 30.07.26 | SPARTA – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 839 |
| 30.07.26 | GenOne – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 849 |
| 30.07.26 | 1win – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 859 |
| 27.07.26 | Just Players – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 869 |
| 27.07.26 | Noir Verse – atputies | atputies | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 879 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Comanche | Comanche | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 868 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 878 |
| 26.07.26 | 100 Thieves – Spirit | 100 Thieves | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 866 |
| 26.07.26 | 3DMAX – FUT | 3DMAX | 2.39 | 10 | won | +14 | 876 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ALTAY | DEPO | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 862 |
| 25.07.26 | HOTU – INFINITE | INFINITE | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 852 |
| 25.07.26 | Orda – Omega | Orda | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 862 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 872 |
| 23.07.26 | megoshort – Privateer | megoshort | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 860 |
| 23.07.26 | BESTIA Academy – Red Feet | Red Feet | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 870 |
| 22.07.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – 100 Thieves | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.22 | 10 | won | +12 | 880 |
| 22.07.26 | SPARTA – SAW Youngsters | SPARTA | 2.49 | 10 | won | +15 | 868 |
| 22.07.26 | Black Phoenix – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 853 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 863 |
| 21.07.26 | Enjoy – QUAZAR | Enjoy | 2.16 | 10 | lost | -10 | 873 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Misa | Misa | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 883 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Astralis | 2.55 | 10 | won | +16 | 893 |
| 21.07.26 | M80 – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 878 |
| 20.07.26 | MAGICOS – Blitzkrieg | Blitzkrieg | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 866 |
| 19.07.26 | Julie&Cie – Citronnade | Julie&Cie | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 876 |
| 19.07.26 | BET-M – BASEMENT BOYS | BET-M | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 863 |
| 19.07.26 | Mai Tai – ROUNDS | Mai Tai | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 849 |
| 18.07.26 | benched gods – Misa | Misa | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 836 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.