Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-435u
ROI
-11.1%
win rate
53%
bets
112
drawdown
64.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-1000u
period 3profit withdrawn+190u
period 2profit withdrawn+221u
period 1profit withdrawn+155u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +1443 | +11.4% | 33.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +653 | +10.3% | 25.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +227 | +8.9% | 15.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 128 | 50% | +106 | +8.3% | 9.3% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 128 | 50% | +99 | +7.7% | 9.8% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 112 | 53% | -435 | -11.1% | 64.5% | Selected |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 112, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07.08.26 | GenOne – lafox | lafox | 2.98 | 398 | lost | -398 | 565 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.36 | 320 | lost | -320 | 963 |
| 05.08.26 | GamersLab – Jam | GamersLab | 2.11 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1283 |
| 04.08.26 | fnatic – EAC | EAC | 2.62 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1443 |
| 04.08.26 | Nemiga – GenOne | Nemiga | 2.89 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1523 |
| 04.08.26 | Rooster – FURY | FURY | 2.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1563 |
| 02.08.26 | Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYS | Mai Tai | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1583 |
| 02.08.26 | SINNERS – SPARTA | SINNERS | 2.23 | 20 | won | +25 | 1593 |
| 02.08.26 | Leo – Vexar | Vexar | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1568 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 1578 |
| 01.08.26 | FaZe – Spirit | FaZe | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1555 |
| 31.07.26 | Spirit Academy – sleepers | Spirit Academy | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1565 |
| 31.07.26 | XCLAN – EAC | EAC | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1555 |
| 31.07.26 | SINNERS – Rune Eaters | SINNERS | 2.77 | 10 | won | +18 | 1544 |
| 31.07.26 | INFINITE – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.17 | 20 | won | +23 | 1527 |
| 31.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1503 |
| 30.07.26 | Iowa Stormboar – LAG | LAG | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1513 |
| 27.07.26 | SPARTA – Honvéd | SPARTA | 2.36 | 10 | won | +14 | 1503 |
| 27.07.26 | PURE – atputies | PURE | 2.07 | 20 | won | +21 | 1489 |
| 27.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE – Comanche | Comanche | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1468 |
| 26.07.26 | EAC – Atreides | EAC | 2.43 | 10 | won | +14 | 1478 |
| 26.07.26 | Fluxo – Isurus | Isurus | 2.21 | 20 | won | +24 | 1464 |
| 26.07.26 | INOX Division – Phantom | Phantom | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1439 |
| 25.07.26 | Honvéd – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1449 |
| 25.07.26 | NEW VISION – benched gods | NEW VISION | 2.55 | 10 | won | +15 | 1439 |
| 25.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless Journey | CYBERSHOKE Prospects | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1424 |
| 25.07.26 | DEPO – ZWAW | DEPO | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1414 |
| 24.07.26 | Bounty Hunters – ODDIK | ODDIK | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1403 |
| 22.07.26 | QUAZAR – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1383 |
| 22.07.26 | SPARTA – SAW Youngsters | SPARTA | 2.49 | 10 | won | +15 | 1393 |
| 21.07.26 | Alliance – Wildcard | Wildcard | 2.50 | 40 | won | +60 | 1378 |
| 21.07.26 | 3DMAX – Gentle Mates | 3DMAX | 2.48 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1318 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1338 |
| 21.07.26 | Nemesis – Astralis | Astralis | 2.55 | 20 | won | +31 | 1348 |
| 21.07.26 | Honvéd – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1317 |
| 21.07.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1327 |
| 19.07.26 | Myth – Strael Bora | Strael Bora | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1316 |
| 19.07.26 | BIG Academy – Vexar | Vexar | 2.05 | 20 | won | +21 | 1306 |
| 18.07.26 | Imperial – ShindeN | ShindeN | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1285 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.11 | 436 | won | +483 | 1295 |
| 17.07.26 | NEW VISION – Just Players | NEW VISION | 2.51 | 320 | lost | -320 | 811 |
| 16.07.26 | Red Feet – Vasco | Vasco | 2.40 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1131 |
| 16.07.26 | Entropy – Inner Circle Academy | Entropy | 2.22 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1291 |
| 16.07.26 | ROUNDS – megoshort | megoshort | 2.05 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1371 |
| 15.07.26 | Wildcard – Gentle Mates | Wildcard | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1411 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | METANOIA Wolves | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1431 |
| 13.07.26 | BRUTE – Honvéd | BRUTE | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1441 |
| 12.07.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.28 | 40 | won | +51 | 1431 |
| 12.07.26 | HOTU – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1380 |
| 11.07.26 | LP – Fake do Biru | Fake do Biru | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1400 |
| 11.07.26 | 5star – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 2.04 | 40 | won | +42 | 1410 |
| 10.07.26 | B8 – Virtus.pro | B8 | 2.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1368 |
| 09.07.26 | ShindeN – LP | ShindeN | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1388 |
| 06.07.26 | Imperial – ALKA | Imperial | 2.02 | 160 | won | +163 | 1398 |
| 02.07.26 | PARIVISION – TYLOO | PARIVISION | 2.01 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1235 |
| 01.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1315 |
| 01.07.26 | Blitzkrieg – Vasco | Vasco | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1355 |
| 27.06.26 | Sharks – Inner Circle | Sharks | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1375 |
| 26.06.26 | Acend – INFINITE | Acend | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1385 |
| 26.06.26 | Yawara – GameHunters | GameHunters | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1363 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.