Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1000u
ROI
-29.7%
win rate
52%
bets
90
drawdown
100%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2profit withdrawn+0u
period 1top-up-1000u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% of bankroll | 1322 | 45% | +339 | +0.4% | 79.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1322 | 45% | -92 | -0.2% | 72.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1322 | 45% | -218 | -1.8% | 45.2% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1322 | 45% | -281 | -1.2% | 61.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1322 | 45% | -328 | -2.5% | 53.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 90 | 52% | -1000 | -29.7% | 100% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 90, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.05.26 | BET-M – Aurora Young Blud | Aurora Young Blud | 2.02 | 308 | lost | -308 | 0 |
| 26.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – TNC | HEROIC Academy | 2.24 | 640 | lost | -640 | 308 |
| 26.05.26 | ARCRED – Aurora Young Blud | Aurora Young Blud | 2.03 | 320 | lost | -320 | 948 |
| 26.05.26 | ENCE – CYBERSHOKE Prospects | ENCE | 2.08 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1268 |
| 26.05.26 | Rebels – ASTRAL | Rebels | 2.11 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1428 |
| 26.05.26 | Falcons Force – brazylijski luz | Falcons Force | 2.20 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1508 |
| 26.05.26 | NAVI Junior – Prestige | NAVI Junior | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1548 |
| 26.05.26 | Lazer Cats – TNC | Lazer Cats | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1568 |
| 25.05.26 | Tricksters – PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1578 |
| 25.05.26 | ALGO – Just Players | ALGO | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1558 |
| 25.05.26 | G2 Ares – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1568 |
| 25.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – Rune Eaters | HEROIC Academy | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1546 |
| 25.05.26 | Phantom – BRUTE | Phantom | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1556 |
| 25.05.26 | Oramond – Rune Eaters | Oramond | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1546 |
| 25.05.26 | Oxuji – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.43 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1525 |
| 25.05.26 | ALGO – NAVI Junior | ALGO | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1535 |
| 25.05.26 | TNC – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 1525 |
| 25.05.26 | ex-RUBY – Ursa | Ursa | 2.37 | 160 | won | +219 | 1514 |
| 25.05.26 | Prestige – MANA | MANA | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1295 |
| 25.05.26 | SPARTA – Nuclear TigeRES | SPARTA | 2.17 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1375 |
| 25.05.26 | Athlon – Oxuji | Athlon | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1415 |
| 25.05.26 | Lazer Cats – Just Players | Lazer Cats | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1435 |
| 25.05.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Oxuji | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.12 | 20 | won | +22 | 1445 |
| 24.05.26 | ALGO – Omega | ALGO | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1422 |
| 24.05.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1432 |
| 24.05.26 | GenOne – EAC | EAC | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1410 |
| 24.05.26 | Fortress – STATE | STATE | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1420 |
| 24.05.26 | G2 Ares – DONSTU | G2 Ares | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1410 |
| 24.05.26 | JiJieHao – BASEMENT BOYS | JiJieHao | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1400 |
| 24.05.26 | fnatic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1388 |
| 24.05.26 | megoshort – ASTRAL | megoshort | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1368 |
| 24.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.33 | 20 | won | +27 | 1378 |
| 24.05.26 | MANA – Hashiras | MANA | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1351 |
| 24.05.26 | Falcons – Legacy | Legacy | 2.08 | 20 | won | +22 | 1361 |
| 24.05.26 | MOUZ – MIBR | MIBR | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1339 |
| 24.05.26 | LP – Keyd Stars | LP | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1349 |
| 23.05.26 | Acend – Inner Circle | Inner Circle | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 1339 |
| 23.05.26 | Strael Bora – Invicta | Strael Bora | 2.03 | 20 | won | +21 | 1328 |
| 23.05.26 | UNiTY – BASEMENT BOYS | UNiTY | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1307 |
| 23.05.26 | CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Oxuji | Oxuji | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1317 |
| 23.05.26 | EAC – Hashiras | EAC | 2.25 | 20 | won | +25 | 1307 |
| 23.05.26 | EAC – Rune Eaters | EAC | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1282 |
| 23.05.26 | Julie&Cie – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1292 |
| 23.05.26 | SAW – Enjoy | Enjoy | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1281 |
| 23.05.26 | Project 91 – EC BANGA | Project 91 | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1271 |
| 23.05.26 | AM – Just Players | Just Players | 2.06 | 40 | won | +42 | 1261 |
| 23.05.26 | Hashiras – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1218 |
| 23.05.26 | Sharks – FOKUS | Sharks | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1238 |
| 23.05.26 | Acend – Wildcard | Wildcard | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1248 |
| 23.05.26 | EAC – The Last Resort | EAC | 2.02 | 40 | won | +41 | 1237 |
| 23.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – DONSTU | HEROIC Academy | 2.03 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1196 |
| 23.05.26 | GenOne – MANA | MANA | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1216 |
| 22.05.26 | Betclic – Rebels | Betclic | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1226 |
| 22.05.26 | Just Players – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.08 | 20 | won | +22 | 1216 |
| 22.05.26 | Bounty Hunters – MIBR Academy | MIBR Academy | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1195 |
| 22.05.26 | FOKUS – Rebels | FOKUS | 2.01 | 80 | won | +81 | 1205 |
| 22.05.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – SAW | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.18 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1124 |
| 22.05.26 | PsychoFace – BRUTE | PsychoFace | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1164 |
| 22.05.26 | Gaimin Gladiators – Acend | Gaimin Gladiators | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1184 |
| 22.05.26 | SPARTA – Falcons Force | SPARTA | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1194 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.