Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit

+653u

ROI

+10.3%

win rate

50%

bets

128

drawdown

25.6%

payouts

Balance by period

Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.

working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up

Strategy rules

🎯

What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰

Stake size

5% of bankroll

🔁

Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊

Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups

period 4top-up-459u

period 3profit withdrawn+456u

period 2profit withdrawn+525u

period 1profit withdrawn+131u

Stake sizes

Stake	Bets	Hit	Profit	ROI	Drawdown	Pick
10% of bankroll	128	50%	+1443	+11.4%	33.2%	Select
5% of bankroll	128	50%	+653	+10.3%	25.6%	Selected
2% of bankroll	128	50%	+227	+8.9%	15.1%	Select
1% of bankroll	128	50%	+106	+8.3%	9.3%	Select
Flat (10 units)	128	50%	+99	+7.7%	9.8%	Select
Quarter Kelly	0	0%	+0	+0%	0%	Select
Martingale	112	53%	-435	-11.1%	64.5%	Select

Bet-by-bet match log

Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 128, showing the last 60.

All Random 50%Random 25%Random 10%

Date	Match	Bet on	Odds	Stake	Result	±Bank	Bank
19.08.26	G2 – Astralis	Astralis	2.06	28	lost	-28	1653
18.08.26	Color – Misa	Misa	2.06	30	lost	-30	1682
18.08.26	ENCE – Mai Tai	Mai Tai	2.46	32	lost	-32	1711
16.08.26	eternal premium – Phantom Academy	eternal premium	2.03	33	lost	-33	1743
15.08.26	ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters	SAW Youngsters	2.14	31	won	+36	1776
14.08.26	SINQU – Lavked	Lavked	2.14	30	won	+34	1740
14.08.26	METANOIA Wolves – paiN Academy	METANOIA Wolves	2.36	31	lost	-31	1707
13.08.26	BIG – G2	G2	2.16	30	won	+34	1738
12.08.26	ROUNDS – Subtop De France	Subtop De France	2.01	31	lost	-31	1704
09.08.26	Grêmio – Procyon	Procyon	2.05	33	lost	-33	1735
09.08.26	Virtus.pro – Sashi	Sashi	2.17	31	won	+36	1767
09.08.26	Inner Circle – Iberian Soul	Iberian Soul	2.68	33	lost	-33	1731
08.08.26	Jam – UNiTY	UNiTY	2.28	34	lost	-34	1764
08.08.26	GenOne – Galactik rebels	Galactik rebels	2.72	36	lost	-36	1798
08.08.26	100 Thieves – NADE	NADE	2.05	38	lost	-38	1834
07.08.26	BET-M – ex-RUSTEC	BET-M	2.46	35	won	+52	1872
07.08.26	GenOne – lafox	lafox	2.98	37	lost	-37	1820
06.08.26	Lavked – Black Phoenix	Lavked	2.36	39	lost	-39	1858
05.08.26	GamersLab – Jam	GamersLab	2.11	41	lost	-41	1897
04.08.26	fnatic – EAC	EAC	2.62	43	lost	-43	1938
04.08.26	Nemiga – GenOne	Nemiga	2.89	46	lost	-46	1982
04.08.26	Rooster – FURY	FURY	2.05	48	lost	-48	2027
02.08.26	Mai Tai – BASEMENT BOYS	Mai Tai	2.44	51	lost	-51	2075
02.08.26	SINNERS – SPARTA	SINNERS	2.23	48	won	+59	2126
02.08.26	Leo – Vexar	Vexar	2.04	50	lost	-50	2067
01.08.26	mellren – Spirit Academy	Spirit Academy	2.16	48	won	+55	2118
01.08.26	FaZe – Spirit	FaZe	2.28	50	lost	-50	2062
31.07.26	Spirit Academy – sleepers	Spirit Academy	2.01	69	won	+70	2112
31.07.26	XCLAN – EAC	EAC	2.02	66	won	+67	2042
31.07.26	SINNERS – Rune Eaters	SINNERS	2.77	61	won	+107	1975
31.07.26	INFINITE – SPARTA	SPARTA	2.17	57	won	+67	1867
31.07.26	ex-RUSTEC – ex-MANA	ex-MANA	2.43	60	lost	-60	1800
30.07.26	Iowa Stormboar – LAG	LAG	2.03	57	won	+59	1861
27.07.26	SPARTA – Honvéd	SPARTA	2.36	54	won	+73	1802
27.07.26	PURE – atputies	PURE	2.07	51	won	+54	1729
27.07.26	CYBERSHOKE – Comanche	Comanche	2.01	54	lost	-54	1674
26.07.26	EAC – Atreides	EAC	2.43	50	won	+71	1728
26.07.26	Fluxo – Isurus	Isurus	2.21	47	won	+57	1657
26.07.26	INOX Division – Phantom	Phantom	2.02	50	lost	-50	1600
25.07.26	Honvéd – Vexar	Vexar	2.02	47	won	+48	1649
25.07.26	NEW VISION – benched gods	NEW VISION	2.55	44	won	+68	1601
25.07.26	CYBERSHOKE Prospects – Endless Journey	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	2.02	42	won	+43	1533
25.07.26	DEPO – ZWAW	DEPO	2.01	40	won	+40	1491
24.07.26	Bounty Hunters – ODDIK	ODDIK	2.01	38	won	+38	1450
22.07.26	QUAZAR – SAW Youngsters	SAW Youngsters	2.34	40	lost	-40	1412
22.07.26	SPARTA – SAW Youngsters	SPARTA	2.49	37	won	+55	1452
21.07.26	Alliance – Wildcard	Wildcard	2.50	34	won	+52	1397
21.07.26	3DMAX – Gentle Mates	3DMAX	2.48	36	lost	-36	1345
21.07.26	HOTU – HEROIC	HEROIC	2.43	38	lost	-38	1382
21.07.26	Nemesis – Astralis	Astralis	2.55	35	won	+55	1420
21.07.26	Honvéd – Julie&Cie	Julie&Cie	2.22	37	lost	-37	1365
21.07.26	CYBERSHOKE Prospects – G2 Ares	G2 Ares	2.16	35	won	+41	1402
19.07.26	Myth – Strael Bora	Strael Bora	2.03	34	won	+35	1361
19.07.26	BIG Academy – Vexar	Vexar	2.05	32	won	+33	1327
18.07.26	Imperial – ShindeN	ShindeN	2.10	34	lost	-34	1294
18.07.26	THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	2.11	32	won	+35	1327
17.07.26	NEW VISION – Just Players	NEW VISION	2.51	33	lost	-33	1292
16.07.26	Red Feet – Vasco	Vasco	2.40	35	lost	-35	1325
16.07.26	Entropy – Inner Circle Academy	Entropy	2.22	37	lost	-37	1360
16.07.26	ROUNDS – megoshort	megoshort	2.05	39	lost	-39	1397

Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.

This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓