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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1782u
ROI
-13.3%
win rate
39%
bets
349
drawdown
205.8%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-64u
period 6top-up-736u
period 5top-up-139u
period 4top-up-39u
period 3top-up-474u
period 2top-up-144u
period 1top-up-185u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll34939%-396-12%47.1%Select
Flat (10 units)34939%-409-11.7%48.9%Select
2% of bankroll34939%-768-12.3%90.9%Select
Martingale70%-1150-100%115%Select
5% of bankroll34939%-1782-13.3%205.8%Selected
10% of bankroll34939%-3265-15.3%359.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 349, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.6449lost-49-782
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.0347won+48-732
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9849lost-49-781
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4146won+65-731
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1148lost-48-796
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1151lost-51-748
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4554lost-54-697
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6157lost-57-643
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1251won+108-587
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4548won+69-695
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5550lost-50-764
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1048won+52-714
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0745won+48-766
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8941won+78-814
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0543lost-43-892
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2041won+49-849
08.10.26Saint Sinners – mellrenSaint Sinners2.5438won+59-898
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0736won+39-957
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5638lost-38-995
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8135won+63-957
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPMETANOIA Wolves3.1337lost-37-1020
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5539lost-39-984
07.10.26RBLS – FamalicãoFamalicão2.4041lost-41-945
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4038won+53-904
07.10.26LFO 10 – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.3136won+47-958
07.10.26Vexar – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.2934won+43-1004
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.8535lost-35-1047
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3833won+46-1012
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3235lost-35-1058
07.10.26benched gods – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.1937lost-37-1023
06.10.26G2 – PARIVISIONPARIVISION2.4834won+50-986
03.10.26Aurora – 9z9z2.2736lost-36-1037
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.4138lost-38-1001
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.4540lost-40-963
02.10.26FOKUS – BBLBBL2.0938won+41-924
02.10.26BC.Game – SashiSashi2.1240lost-40-965
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3042lost-42-925
02.10.26Bounty Hunters – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2344lost-44-883
02.10.26Voca – SashiSashi2.2746lost-46-839
02.10.26Fire Flux – benched godsbenched gods2.1549lost-49-793
02.10.26BBL – SportsBetExpertBBL3.0244won+89-744
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4447lost-47-834
01.10.26FaZe – NemigaFaZe3.9849lost-49-787
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7145won+77-738
01.10.26Astralis – AllianceAstralis2.0848lost-48-815
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2950lost-50-768
30.09.26Leo – mellrenLeo2.1514lost-14-718
29.09.26MASONIC – EnjoyMASONIC2.4013won+18-704
29.09.26WW – ARCREDARCRED2.0712won+13-722
28.09.26Marsborne – FarmVilleFarmVille2.8413lost-13-735
28.09.26regain – LAGregain2.2114lost-14-722
27.09.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – magicNinjas in Pyjamas2.2713won+16-709
27.09.26RBLS – SAWSAW2.0512won+13-725
27.09.26Lynn Vision – NEXVOIDLynn Vision2.1512won+13-738
27.09.26INFINITE – FluxoINFINITE2.7612lost-12-751
27.09.26Nexus – Black PhoenixNexus2.3311won+15-739
26.09.26magic – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.3312lost-12-754
26.09.26Lilmix – overTIMELilmix2.6113lost-13-742
26.09.26HAVU – Inner Circle AcademyHAVU2.2313lost-13-729
26.09.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.4112won+18-716
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.