Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-294u
ROI
-8.5%
win rate
40%
bets
347
drawdown
40.3%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+59u
period 6top-up-275u
period 5profit withdrawn+39u
period 4profit withdrawn+30u
period 3top-up-86u
period 2top-up-20u
period 1top-up-40u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -273 | -8.2% | 38% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 347 | 40% | -294 | -8.5% | 40.3% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -509 | -8% | 72.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -1097 | -7.8% | 159.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 7 | 0% | -1150 | -100% | 115% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 347 | 40% | -2025 | -8.5% | 285.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 347, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 706 |
| 12.10.26 | Yawara – Galorys | Yawara | 2.61 | 10 | lost | -10 | 716 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 726 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 705 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 715 |
| 10.10.26 | Ground Zero – KZG | KZG | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 725 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 10 | won | +15 | 735 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 10 | won | +19 | 720 |
| 09.10.26 | mellren – Bebop | Bebop | 3.08 | 10 | won | +21 | 701 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 680 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 10 | won | +14 | 670 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 656 |
| 07.10.26 | SAW – RBLS | RBLS | 2.25 | 10 | won | +12 | 646 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – SAW | SAW | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 633 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 643 |
| 07.10.26 | Just Players – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 629 |
| 07.10.26 | Falcons Force – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 639 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 10 | won | +14 | 649 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 635 |
| 06.10.26 | Spirit – 1win | 1win | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 622 |
| 03.10.26 | NT – Lazer Cats | NT | 2.15 | 10 | won | +12 | 608 |
| 03.10.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 597 |
| 02.10.26 | Alliance – Nemiga | Alliance | 3.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 607 |
| 02.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 617 |
| 02.10.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – Glitch | Glitch | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 627 |
| 02.10.26 | SportsBetExpert – XEPT | XEPT | 3.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 637 |
| 02.10.26 | Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl | 6yuBoJlbl | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 647 |
| 02.10.26 | Voca – Sashi | Sashi | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 634 |
| 02.10.26 | UNiTY – aimclub | aimclub | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 644 |
| 02.10.26 | BBL – SportsBetExpert | BBL | 3.02 | 10 | won | +20 | 654 |
| 02.10.26 | 1337 – NEXVOID | 1337 | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 634 |
| 01.10.26 | FaZe – Nemiga | FaZe | 3.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 644 |
| 01.10.26 | EAC – ex-Zero Tenacity | EAC | 2.71 | 10 | won | +17 | 654 |
| 01.10.26 | ex-ODDIK – Mira | ex-ODDIK | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 637 |
| 30.09.26 | PRIVATE – Nuclear TigeRES | PRIVATE | 2.59 | 10 | lost | -10 | 647 |
| 29.09.26 | Privateer – eternal premium | Privateer | 2.38 | 10 | lost | -10 | 657 |
| 29.09.26 | WW – DNK | DNK | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 667 |
| 29.09.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 655 |
| 28.09.26 | Leo – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.21 | 10 | won | +12 | 665 |
| 28.09.26 | Marsborne – FarmVille | FarmVille | 2.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 653 |
| 28.09.26 | regain – LAG | regain | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 663 |
| 27.09.26 | Nemiga – Color | Color | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | 673 |
| 27.09.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – magic | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 683 |
| 27.09.26 | Mai Tai – BIG Academy | Mai Tai | 3.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 670 |
| 27.09.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Sementes do Mal | Sementes do Mal | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 680 |
| 27.09.26 | INFINITE – Fluxo | INFINITE | 2.76 | 10 | lost | -10 | 690 |
| 26.09.26 | magic – GamerLegion | GamerLegion | 2.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 700 |
| 26.09.26 | Spirit Academy Green – Young TigeRES | Young TigeRES | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 710 |
| 26.09.26 | Noir Verse – Illyrians | Noir Verse | 2.54 | 10 | won | +15 | 699 |
| 26.09.26 | HAVU – Inner Circle Academy | HAVU | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 683 |
| 26.09.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | 693 |
| 26.09.26 | EYEBALLERS – K27 | EYEBALLERS | 2.44 | 10 | lost | -10 | 679 |
| 26.09.26 | LAG – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 689 |
| 26.09.26 | Villainous – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 699 |
| 25.09.26 | regain – Marsborne | regain | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 688 |
| 25.09.26 | Lynn Vision – The Huns | The Huns | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 698 |
| 25.09.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – ex-Zero Tenacity | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 708 |
| 25.09.26 | 100 Thieves – BBL | BBL | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 698 |
| 25.09.26 | PCIFIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.00 | 10 | lost | -10 | 708 |
| 25.09.26 | Villainous – NuTorious | NuTorious | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 718 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.