Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-343u
ROI
-6.7%
win rate
47%
bets
117
drawdown
64.8%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-1000u
period 3profit withdrawn+316u
period 2profit withdrawn+284u
period 1profit withdrawn+56u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -5 | -0.4% | 12.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 46% | -6 | -0.5% | 13% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -9 | -0.3% | 22.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -17 | -0.3% | 39.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -73 | -0.6% | 55% | Select |
| Martingale | 117 | 47% | -343 | -6.7% | 64.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 117, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 580 | lost | -580 | 657 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1237 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1557 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1717 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1797 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1837 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1857 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 80 | won | +93 | 1867 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1774 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1814 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1834 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 160 | won | +229 | 1844 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1616 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1696 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1736 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1756 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 1766 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 1754 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1731 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 20 | won | +52 | 1741 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1689 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 40 | won | +42 | 1699 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1657 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1677 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 40 | won | +67 | 1687 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1620 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1640 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1650 |
| 27.07.26 | Atreides – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.19 | 20 | won | +24 | 1640 |
| 27.07.26 | ASTRAL – atputies | atputies | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1616 |
| 27.07.26 | Noir Verse – atputies | atputies | 2.09 | 20 | won | +22 | 1626 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1604 |
| 26.07.26 | los kogutos – megoshort | megoshort | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1614 |
| 26.07.26 | HOTU – Aurora | Aurora | 2.22 | 10 | won | +12 | 1604 |
| 25.07.26 | FERAX – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1592 |
| 25.07.26 | Just Players – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1581 |
| 25.07.26 | Rune Eaters – Omega | Rune Eaters | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 1571 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 1559 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 160 | won | +184 | 1547 |
| 24.07.26 | Fake do Biru – BORRACHEIROS | Fake do Biru | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1363 |
| 23.07.26 | Entropy – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1443 |
| 22.07.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.39 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1483 |
| 22.07.26 | Nemiga – G2 | Nemiga | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1503 |
| 21.07.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.32 | 40 | won | +53 | 1513 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1460 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.42 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1480 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1490 |
| 19.07.26 | Strael Bora – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.21 | 80 | won | +97 | 1480 |
| 18.07.26 | ex-RUBY – PsychoFace | PsychoFace | 3.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1383 |
| 18.07.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – Ground Zero | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1423 |
| 17.07.26 | los kogutos – SAW Youngsters | los kogutos | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1443 |
| 16.07.26 | GUARA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.20 | 80 | won | +96 | 1453 |
| 16.07.26 | G2 Ares – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1357 |
| 15.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.26 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1397 |
| 14.07.26 | Honvéd – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1417 |
| 13.07.26 | Just Players – Entropy | Entropy | 2.24 | 20 | won | +25 | 1427 |
| 13.07.26 | GenOne – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1403 |
| 12.07.26 | NRG – Eh | NRG | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1413 |
| 12.07.26 | SPARTA – Noir Verse | SPARTA | 2.33 | 40 | won | +53 | 1402 |
| 11.07.26 | LP – Fake do Biru | Fake do Biru | 2.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1349 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.