Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-17u
ROI
-0.3%
win rate
46%
bets
129
drawdown
39.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-451u
period 3profit withdrawn+90u
period 2profit withdrawn+366u
period 1top-up-22u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -5 | -0.4% | 12.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 129 | 46% | -6 | -0.5% | 13% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -9 | -0.3% | 22.2% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -17 | -0.3% | 39.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 129 | 46% | -73 | -0.6% | 55% | Select |
| Martingale | 117 | 47% | -343 | -6.7% | 64.8% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 129, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 29 | lost | -29 | 983 |
| 18.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Misa | Misa | 3.50 | 30 | lost | -30 | 1011 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 32 | lost | -32 | 1042 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 34 | lost | -34 | 1074 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 32 | won | +41 | 1108 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 33 | lost | -33 | 1067 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 35 | lost | -35 | 1100 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 33 | won | +36 | 1135 |
| 14.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetBoom | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.14 | 31 | won | +36 | 1099 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.44 | 33 | lost | -33 | 1063 |
| 13.08.26 | The Last Resort – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.01 | 32 | won | +32 | 1096 |
| 12.08.26 | Falcons – K27 | K27 | 2.03 | 33 | lost | -33 | 1064 |
| 10.08.26 | Ground Zero – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.13 | 35 | lost | -35 | 1097 |
| 09.08.26 | HEROIC – fnatic | HEROIC | 2.44 | 37 | lost | -37 | 1132 |
| 09.08.26 | DEPO – Game Point | Game Point | 2.23 | 39 | lost | -39 | 1169 |
| 08.08.26 | eSuba – BRUTE | eSuba | 2.29 | 41 | lost | -41 | 1208 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 43 | lost | -43 | 1249 |
| 07.08.26 | Virtus.pro – Sangal | Sangal | 2.62 | 45 | lost | -45 | 1292 |
| 06.08.26 | MAYBE – Jam | MAYBE | 2.02 | 48 | lost | -48 | 1337 |
| 06.08.26 | BET-M – SPARTA | BET-M | 2.16 | 45 | won | +52 | 1384 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 47 | lost | -47 | 1332 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-MANA – Bushido Wildcats | ex-MANA | 2.46 | 50 | lost | -50 | 1379 |
| 04.08.26 | Eternal Fire – INOX Division | Eternal Fire | 2.14 | 52 | lost | -52 | 1429 |
| 04.08.26 | BASEMENT BOYS – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.43 | 49 | won | +70 | 1482 |
| 04.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.64 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1412 |
| 03.08.26 | los kogutos – BASEMENT BOYS | los kogutos | 2.16 | 54 | lost | -54 | 1463 |
| 03.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.43 | 57 | lost | -57 | 1517 |
| 03.08.26 | ARCRED – Butterfly | ARCRED | 2.05 | 60 | lost | -60 | 1574 |
| 03.08.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.14 | 57 | won | +65 | 1634 |
| 01.08.26 | mellren – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.16 | 54 | won | +62 | 1570 |
| 01.08.26 | atputies – The Last Resort | atputies | 2.45 | 57 | lost | -57 | 1507 |
| 01.08.26 | SINNERS – INOX Division | SINNERS | 3.60 | 50 | won | +130 | 1564 |
| 01.08.26 | Trouble makers – ZWAW | ZWAW | 2.02 | 53 | lost | -53 | 1434 |
| 01.08.26 | DONSTU – ALTAY | DONSTU | 2.06 | 50 | won | +53 | 1486 |
| 31.07.26 | Banda Chuya – mellren | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 57 | lost | -57 | 1434 |
| 31.07.26 | K27 – Just Players | K27 | 2.22 | 60 | lost | -60 | 1491 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.67 | 56 | won | +93 | 1551 |
| 31.07.26 | HOTU – XCLAN | XCLAN | 2.54 | 59 | lost | -59 | 1459 |
| 30.07.26 | 3DMAX – MOUZ | 3DMAX | 2.42 | 62 | lost | -62 | 1517 |
| 30.07.26 | KUUSAMO – BOJONG | KUUSAMO | 2.02 | 59 | won | +60 | 1579 |
| 27.07.26 | Atreides – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.19 | 55 | won | +66 | 1519 |
| 27.07.26 | ASTRAL – atputies | atputies | 2.11 | 58 | lost | -58 | 1453 |
| 27.07.26 | Noir Verse – atputies | atputies | 2.09 | 55 | won | +60 | 1511 |
| 27.07.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Entropy | Entropy | 2.03 | 58 | lost | -58 | 1451 |
| 26.07.26 | los kogutos – megoshort | megoshort | 2.04 | 55 | won | +57 | 1509 |
| 26.07.26 | HOTU – Aurora | Aurora | 2.22 | 52 | won | +64 | 1451 |
| 25.07.26 | FERAX – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.02 | 50 | won | +50 | 1388 |
| 25.07.26 | Just Players – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.07 | 47 | won | +51 | 1337 |
| 25.07.26 | Rune Eaters – Omega | Rune Eaters | 2.15 | 45 | won | +51 | 1287 |
| 25.07.26 | Omega – NOVAQ | NOVAQ | 2.20 | 42 | won | +50 | 1236 |
| 24.07.26 | DENDELE – FURIA | DENDELE | 2.15 | 40 | won | +46 | 1185 |
| 24.07.26 | Fake do Biru – BORRACHEIROS | Fake do Biru | 2.02 | 42 | lost | -42 | 1139 |
| 23.07.26 | Entropy – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.05 | 44 | lost | -44 | 1181 |
| 22.07.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.39 | 46 | lost | -46 | 1225 |
| 22.07.26 | Nemiga – G2 | Nemiga | 2.04 | 49 | lost | -49 | 1272 |
| 21.07.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – MOUZ | MOUZ | 2.32 | 46 | won | +60 | 1320 |
| 21.07.26 | Atreides – los kogutos | los kogutos | 2.09 | 48 | lost | -48 | 1260 |
| 21.07.26 | HOTU – HEROIC | HEROIC | 2.42 | 51 | lost | -51 | 1308 |
| 21.07.26 | Mai Tai – eternal premium | Mai Tai | 2.01 | 48 | won | +49 | 1359 |
| 19.07.26 | Strael Bora – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.21 | 46 | won | +55 | 1310 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.