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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1601u
ROI
-11.3%
win rate
39%
bets
340
drawdown
160.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-420u
period 6top-up-662u
period 5profit withdrawn+393u
period 4profit withdrawn+49u
period 3top-up-349u
period 2top-up-427u
period 1top-up-185u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll34039%-369-11.3%36.9%Select
Flat (10 units)34039%-381-11.2%38.3%Select
2% of bankroll34039%-712-11.3%71.2%Select
Martingale6133%-1344-30.6%126.7%Select
5% of bankroll34039%-1601-11.3%160.1%Select
10% of bankroll34039%-2757-11.3%275.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 340, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.1331lost-31-601
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9832lost-32-571
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1134lost-34-539
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4536lost-36-505
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6137lost-37-469
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1234won+72-432
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5536lost-36-503
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5138lost-38-468
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.6335won+57-430
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0837lost-37-487
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0735won+37-450
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0537lost-37-487
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0833won+69-451
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2031won+37-519
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0730won+32-557
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4331lost-31-589
08.10.26Legion – NasLegion2.2933lost-33-557
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5535lost-35-524
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0936lost-36-490
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4034won+48-454
07.10.26BERG – LeoBERG3.0836lost-36-501
07.10.26Leo – RyvexRyvex2.3638lost-38-465
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3835won+49-428
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3237lost-37-476
07.10.26benched gods – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.1939lost-39-439
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4137won+51-400
03.10.26NT – Lazer CatsNT2.1535won+40-451
03.10.26regain – LAGregain2.4136lost-36-491
02.10.26Alliance – NemigaAlliance3.4538lost-38-455
02.10.26Eternal Fire – AnteikuAnteiku3.9640lost-40-417
02.10.26SportsBetExpert – XEPTXEPT3.3042lost-42-376
02.10.26Nexus – 6yuBoJlbl6yuBoJlbl2.2440won+50-334
02.10.26Voca – SashiSashi2.2742lost-42-384
02.10.26Fire Flux – benched godsbenched gods2.1544lost-44-342
02.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – SangalNinjas in Pyjamas2.0947lost-47-297
02.10.261337 – NEXVOID13372.4449lost-49-251
01.10.26FaZe – NemigaFaZe3.9852lost-52-202
01.10.26EAC – ex-Zero TenacityEAC2.7148won+81-150
01.10.26ex-ODDIK – Miraex-ODDIK2.2950lost-50-232
30.09.26Leo – mellrenLeo2.1518lost-18-182
29.09.26Privateer – eternal premiumPrivateer2.3819lost-19-164
29.09.26WW – DNKDNK2.2418won+22-145
29.09.26DEPO – PAQTPAQT2.3617won+22-167
28.09.26Marsborne – FarmVilleFarmVille2.8417lost-17-189
28.09.26regain – LAGregain2.2118lost-18-172
27.09.26Imperial – paiNpaiN3.4819lost-19-154
27.09.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – magicNinjas in Pyjamas2.2718won+23-134
27.09.26Phantom Academy – IllyriansPhantom Academy2.1017won+19-157
27.09.26Bounty Hunters – GalorysBounty Hunters2.3218lost-18-176
27.09.26INFINITE – FluxoINFINITE2.7619lost-19-158
27.09.26Bushido Wildcats – Phantom AcademyPhantom Academy2.7018won+30-139
26.09.26magic – GamerLegionGamerLegion2.3318lost-18-169
26.09.26Lilmix – overTIMELilmix2.6119lost-19-151
26.09.26M80 – VocaM802.4418won+26-131
26.09.26HAVU – Inner Circle AcademyHAVU2.2319lost-19-157
26.09.26EAC – BASEMENT BOYSEAC2.4118won+25-138
26.09.26EYEBALLERS – K27EYEBALLERS2.4419lost-19-163
26.09.26SportsBetExpert – my life be likemy life be like3.4420lost-20-145
26.09.26Iowa Stormboar – FarmVilleFarmVille2.3319won+25-125
25.09.26regain – Marsborneregain2.4219lost-19-149
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.