Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-455u
ROI
-15%
win rate
39%
bets
329
drawdown
47.7%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
1% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-213u
period 3top-up-90u
period 2top-up-112u
period 1top-up-40u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 144 | 40% | -105 | -1.5% | 52.8% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 329 | 39% | -455 | -15% | 47.7% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 329 | 39% | -474 | -14.4% | 50.1% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 329 | 39% | -871 | -15.5% | 89.1% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 329 | 39% | -1904 | -17.2% | 182.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 329 | 39% | -3008 | -19.7% | 265.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 329, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | Honvéd – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.17 | 8 | lost | -8 | 545 |
| 20.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Raccoons | Raccoons | 2.35 | 8 | lost | -8 | 553 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 561 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 8 | won | +9 | 569 |
| 19.08.26 | Lavked – Revise | Lavked | 2.17 | 8 | won | +9 | 560 |
| 19.08.26 | Misa – The Last Resort | Misa | 2.19 | 8 | lost | -8 | 551 |
| 19.08.26 | Mai Tai – Honvéd | Mai Tai | 2.57 | 8 | lost | -8 | 559 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 567 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 8 | won | +9 | 575 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 566 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 8 | won | +10 | 574 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 8 | won | +11 | 564 |
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 8 | lost | -8 | 553 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.85 | 8 | lost | -8 | 561 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 8 | won | +8 | 569 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 561 |
| 16.08.26 | Legacy – MIBR | Legacy | 2.02 | 8 | won | +8 | 569 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 8 | lost | -8 | 560 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 8 | lost | -8 | 569 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.58 | 8 | lost | -8 | 577 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 8 | lost | -8 | 585 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 8 | won | +9 | 593 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 8 | won | +10 | 585 |
| 15.08.26 | Atreides – LPH | Atreides | 2.39 | 8 | lost | -8 | 574 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 8 | won | +11 | 583 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.15 | 8 | won | +9 | 572 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 8 | won | +12 | 562 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.32 | 8 | won | +10 | 551 |
| 14.08.26 | Leo – benched gods | benched gods | 2.06 | 8 | lost | -8 | 541 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 8 | won | +12 | 548 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 8 | lost | -8 | 536 |
| 14.08.26 | NEW VISION – Arch | NEW VISION | 2.35 | 8 | won | +10 | 544 |
| 14.08.26 | Enjoy – Misa | Misa | 2.59 | 8 | lost | -8 | 534 |
| 13.08.26 | ENCE – Enjoy | ENCE | 2.02 | 8 | lost | -8 | 542 |
| 13.08.26 | Luminosity – Spirit | Luminosity | 2.99 | 8 | lost | -8 | 549 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | Wildcard | 2.03 | 8 | lost | -8 | 557 |
| 12.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.63 | 8 | lost | -8 | 566 |
| 10.08.26 | paiN Academy – Keyd Stars | paiN Academy | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 574 |
| 09.08.26 | Grêmio – Procyon | Procyon | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 582 |
| 09.08.26 | Jam – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.33 | 8 | lost | -8 | 590 |
| 09.08.26 | Phantom – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.17 | 8 | won | +10 | 599 |
| 09.08.26 | BIG – GenOne | BIG | 2.54 | 8 | won | +13 | 589 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.13 | 8 | lost | -8 | 576 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.05 | 8 | lost | -8 | 585 |
| 09.08.26 | BC.Game – OG | OG | 2.17 | 8 | lost | -8 | 593 |
| 08.08.26 | GenOne – Galactik rebels | Galactik rebels | 2.72 | 9 | lost | -9 | 601 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 2.78 | 9 | lost | -9 | 610 |
| 08.08.26 | NAVI Junior – LPH | NAVI Junior | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 618 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.11 | 9 | won | +10 | 627 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – BET-M | BET-M | 2.59 | 9 | lost | -9 | 618 |
| 08.08.26 | EYEBALLERS – Phantom | EYEBALLERS | 2.33 | 9 | won | +11 | 626 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.12 | 9 | lost | -9 | 615 |
| 08.08.26 | 100 Thieves – NADE | NADE | 2.05 | 9 | lost | -9 | 624 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | OG | 2.11 | 9 | lost | -9 | 632 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.65 | 9 | lost | -9 | 641 |
| 08.08.26 | ASTRAL – Kreazion | Kreazion | 2.08 | 9 | lost | -9 | 650 |
| 07.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – GenOne | CYBERSHOKE | 2.46 | 9 | won | +13 | 659 |
| 07.08.26 | 100 Thieves – SadFamous | SadFamous | 2.06 | 9 | lost | -9 | 646 |
| 07.08.26 | Nexus – GamersLab | GamersLab | 2.09 | 9 | lost | -9 | 655 |
| 07.08.26 | Inner Circle – NIO | NIO | 2.57 | 9 | lost | -9 | 664 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.