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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-304u
ROI
-3.5%
win rate
43%
bets
879
drawdown
46.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-46u
period 6profit withdrawn+41u
period 5top-up-108u
period 4profit withdrawn+184u
period 3top-up-230u
period 2top-up-105u
period 1top-up-39u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
1% of bankroll87943%-303-3.6%43.7%Select
Flat (10 units)87943%-304-3.5%46.4%Selected
2% of bankroll87943%-603-3.8%81.6%Select
Martingale11040%-1013-16%100.7%Select
5% of bankroll87943%-1450-4.4%171.4%Select
10% of bankroll87943%-2540-5.5%269.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 879, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10696
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13706
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10693
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10703
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10692
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6110lost-10702
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21712
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12691
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15679
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12665
10.10.26Wildcard – Last Dance USLast Dance US2.1310lost-10653
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10663
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5110lost-10673
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11683
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7010lost-10672
10.10.26regain – VillainousVillainous2.2610lost-10682
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0810lost-10692
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2910lost-10702
09.10.26Saint Sinners – Just PlayersSaint Sinners2.3510lost-10712
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3410lost-10722
09.10.26WBT Academy – SAW YoungstersSAW Youngsters2.4710won+15732
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1310lost-10717
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2410won+12727
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7010lost-10715
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0510lost-10725
09.10.26Azuolas – EnjoyAzuolas2.8910won+19735
09.10.26Grêmio – YawaraGrêmio2.0510lost-10716
09.10.26LP – Turma do PagodeLP2.2910won+13726
08.10.26FaZe – SangalFaZe2.5810won+16713
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0710won+11697
08.10.26EAC – PUREEAC2.1210lost-10687
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4310lost-10697
08.10.26Alter Ego – KaleidoKaleido2.2010won+12707
08.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.8110won+18694
08.10.26Azuolas – Noir VerseAzuolas2.5310lost-10676
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2410lost-10686
08.10.26Banda Chuya – IllyriansBanda Chuya2.1910lost-10696
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0210won+10706
08.10.26Marsborne – Without a RoofWithout a Roof2.0410won+10696
08.10.26Galorys – GrêmioGrêmio2.9410won+19686
08.10.26METANOIA Wolves – LPMETANOIA Wolves3.1310lost-10666
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5510lost-10676
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0910lost-10686
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4010won+14696
07.10.26BERG – LeoBERG3.0810lost-10682
07.10.26Revise – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.3110won+13692
07.10.26The Last Resort – PrivateerPrivateer2.9710lost-10679
07.10.26OG – SINQUSINQU2.8510lost-10689
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3810won+14699
07.10.26PURE – SINQUSINQU2.4510lost-10685
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3210lost-10695
07.10.26Gothic – LPHGothic2.2910won+13705
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6510lost-10693
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4110won+14703
05.10.26M80 – TYLOOM802.2810won+13689
05.10.26PARIVISION – FURIAPARIVISION2.3210lost-10676
05.10.26Galorys – Turma do PagodeTurma do Pagode2.0510won+10686
04.10.26ex-RUSTEC – EnjoyEnjoy2.1210lost-10675
04.10.26Banda Chuya – LavkedBanda Chuya2.0110won+10685
04.10.26SAW – NTNT2.3610won+14675
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.