Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-464u
ROI
-5.2%
win rate
42%
bets
892
drawdown
46.5%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-135u
period 6top-up-49u
period 5top-up-127u
period 4profit withdrawn+98u
period 3top-up-168u
period 2top-up-73u
period 1top-up-9u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 892 | 42% | -464 | -5.2% | 46.5% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 892 | 42% | -479 | -5.5% | 47.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 892 | 42% | -976 | -5.9% | 97.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 14 | 21% | -986 | -84% | 98.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 892 | 42% | -2429 | -6.8% | 242.9% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 892 | 42% | -4221 | -8.9% | 422.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 892, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 536 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 546 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 536 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | 546 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 556 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | 546 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 556 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 566 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 553 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 563 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 552 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 562 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 572 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 582 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | 592 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 571 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +14 | 559 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | 545 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 555 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | 565 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 575 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 585 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 595 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 10 | lost | -10 | 605 |
| 10.10.26 | regain – Villainous | Villainous | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 615 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 625 |
| 10.10.26 | Isurus – Procyon | Isurus | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 615 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 625 |
| 09.10.26 | Saint Sinners – Just Players | Saint Sinners | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 635 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 645 |
| 09.10.26 | WBT Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.47 | 10 | won | +15 | 655 |
| 09.10.26 | Vitalem Aerem – Rare Atom | Vitalem Aerem | 2.48 | 10 | won | +15 | 640 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 625 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 10 | lost | -10 | 613 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 10 | won | +19 | 623 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 604 |
| 09.10.26 | Grêmio – Yawara | Grêmio | 2.05 | 10 | lost | -10 | 614 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | 624 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 634 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 10 | lost | -10 | 623 |
| 08.10.26 | Alter Ego – Kaleido | Kaleido | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 633 |
| 08.10.26 | Rare Atom – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.37 | 10 | won | +14 | 621 |
| 08.10.26 | The Last Resort – Privateer | Privateer | 2.81 | 10 | won | +18 | 607 |
| 08.10.26 | BERG – mellren | BERG | 3.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 589 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Azuolas | 2.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 599 |
| 08.10.26 | G2 Ares – RBLS | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 609 |
| 08.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.51 | 10 | lost | -10 | 599 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 609 |
| 08.10.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Stars | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 599 |
| 08.10.26 | Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 588 |
| 07.10.26 | Famalicão – Lazer Cats | Famalicão | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | 598 |
| 07.10.26 | RBLS – Famalicão | Famalicão | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | 608 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | won | +14 | 618 |
| 07.10.26 | Revise – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 2.31 | 10 | won | +13 | 604 |
| 07.10.26 | bLight blue – Rare Atom | bLight blue | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 591 |
| 07.10.26 | The KnockoutX – The Huns | The KnockoutX | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 601 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 10 | lost | -10 | 590 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 10 | won | +14 | 600 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 586 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | 596 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.