Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
+1445u
ROI
+6.5%
win rate
43%
bets
441
drawdown
68.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5top-up-1000u
period 4profit withdrawn+1142u
period 3profit withdrawn+940u
period 2profit withdrawn+513u
period 1top-up-150u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 441 | 43% | +1445 | +6.5% | 68.6% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 898 | 42% | -418 | -4.9% | 46.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 898 | 42% | -426 | -4.7% | 48.4% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 898 | 42% | -809 | -5% | 86% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 898 | 42% | -1721 | -5.1% | 165.6% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 898 | 42% | -2565 | -5.2% | 248.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 441, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.08.26 | Fortress – ex-MANA | Fortress | 2.03 | 365 | lost | -365 | 2445 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.51 | 640 | lost | -640 | 2810 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.75 | 320 | lost | -320 | 3450 |
| 17.08.26 | Atreides – ex-Sashi Academy | Atreides | 2.02 | 160 | lost | -160 | 3770 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.77 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3930 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 4010 |
| 16.08.26 | DragonClaw – ex-Zero Tenacity | DragonClaw | 2.18 | 20 | lost | -20 | 4050 |
| 16.08.26 | Honvéd – mellren | Honvéd | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 4070 |
| 16.08.26 | Mai Tai – BERG | Mai Tai | 2.51 | 40 | won | +60 | 4080 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.15 | 20 | lost | -20 | 4019 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.48 | 10 | lost | -10 | 4039 |
| 16.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.67 | 40 | won | +67 | 4049 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.33 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3983 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 3.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 4003 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.13 | 40 | won | +45 | 4013 |
| 15.08.26 | Privateer – Phantom Academy | Privateer | 2.04 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3968 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.33 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3988 |
| 15.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – ENCE | MOUZ NXT | 2.34 | 10 | won | +13 | 3998 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 3984 |
| 14.08.26 | PARIVISION – 100 Thieves | PARIVISION | 2.64 | 40 | won | +66 | 3971 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 3.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3906 |
| 14.08.26 | Privateer – Fire Flux | Privateer | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3926 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 20 | won | +31 | 3936 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.93 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3905 |
| 14.08.26 | TYLOO – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 3915 |
| 14.08.26 | Honvéd – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.09 | 40 | won | +44 | 3904 |
| 14.08.26 | Pugdesonesto – ALKA | Pugdesonesto | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3860 |
| 13.08.26 | Falcons – Astralis | Astralis | 2.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3880 |
| 13.08.26 | Just Players – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.53 | 10 | won | +15 | 3890 |
| 12.08.26 | Vitality – 100 Thieves | Vitality | 2.32 | 10 | won | +13 | 3875 |
| 12.08.26 | Wildcard – FURIA | FURIA | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 3862 |
| 12.08.26 | los kogutos – BERG | los kogutos | 2.09 | 40 | won | +43 | 3851 |
| 12.08.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Legacy | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3808 |
| 12.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3828 |
| 09.08.26 | HOTU – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.16 | 10 | won | +12 | 3838 |
| 09.08.26 | fnatic – K27 | K27 | 2.48 | 10 | won | +15 | 3826 |
| 09.08.26 | Phantom – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.01 | 40 | won | +40 | 3811 |
| 09.08.26 | Fluxo – fnatic | Fluxo | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3771 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3791 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.02 | 40 | won | +41 | 3801 |
| 08.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Isurus | METANOIA Wolves | 3.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3760 |
| 08.08.26 | NAVI Junior – LPH | NAVI Junior | 2.24 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3780 |
| 08.08.26 | Nexus – BRUTE | Nexus | 2.18 | 320 | won | +378 | 3790 |
| 08.08.26 | levelONE – Phantom | levelONE | 2.27 | 160 | lost | -160 | 3413 |
| 08.08.26 | Spirit HU – Acend | Spirit HU | 2.40 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3573 |
| 08.08.26 | GamersLab – LPH | GamersLab | 2.22 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3653 |
| 08.08.26 | Partizan – Sashi | Partizan | 2.36 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3693 |
| 08.08.26 | ASTRAL – Kreazion | Kreazion | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3713 |
| 07.08.26 | BESTIA – Yawara | Yawara | 2.06 | 160 | won | +170 | 3723 |
| 07.08.26 | Spirit HU – NRG | Spirit HU | 2.39 | 80 | lost | -80 | 3553 |
| 07.08.26 | FOKUS – Partizan | Partizan | 2.04 | 40 | lost | -40 | 3633 |
| 07.08.26 | levelONE – Phantom | levelONE | 2.33 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3673 |
| 07.08.26 | 100 Thieves – SadFamous | SadFamous | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3693 |
| 07.08.26 | BRUTE – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.56 | 40 | won | +62 | 3703 |
| 07.08.26 | fnatic – 6666 | 6666 | 3.24 | 20 | lost | -20 | 3640 |
| 07.08.26 | Citron – BASEMENT BOYS | Citron | 2.28 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3660 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – GenOne | HOTU | 2.30 | 10 | won | +13 | 3670 |
| 07.08.26 | BC.Game – BASEMENT BOYS | BC.Game | 2.16 | 20 | won | +23 | 3657 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | FKOMAR | 2.54 | 10 | lost | -10 | 3634 |
| 06.08.26 | Yawara – Isurus | Yawara | 2.22 | 20 | won | +24 | 3644 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.