Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-271u
ROI
-4.2%
win rate
45%
bets
176
drawdown
63.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3top-up-1000u
period 2profit withdrawn+402u
period 1profit withdrawn+327u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -177 | -5.6% | 27.9% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 333 | 43% | -230 | -6.9% | 33% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -271 | -4.5% | 42.6% | Select |
| Martingale | 176 | 45% | -271 | -4.2% | 63.9% | Selected |
| 5% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -327 | -2.4% | 59.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 333 | 43% | -459 | -1.9% | 78.6% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 176, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.07.26 | BESTIA Academy – MAGICOS | MAGICOS | 2.05 | 14 | lost | -14 | 729 |
| 17.07.26 | Patins da Ferrari – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 743 |
| 17.07.26 | Keyd Stars – Imperial | Keyd Stars | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 763 |
| 17.07.26 | QUAZAR – Spirit Academy | Spirit Academy | 2.49 | 18 | won | +26 | 773 |
| 17.07.26 | BIG Academy – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.16 | 640 | lost | -640 | 746 |
| 17.07.26 | NEW VISION – Just Players | NEW VISION | 2.51 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1386 |
| 16.07.26 | Red Feet – Vasco | Vasco | 2.40 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1706 |
| 16.07.26 | Entropy – Inner Circle Academy | Entropy | 2.22 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1866 |
| 16.07.26 | Walczaki – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1946 |
| 16.07.26 | ROUNDS – megoshort | megoshort | 2.05 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1986 |
| 15.07.26 | Wildcard – Gentle Mates | Wildcard | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 2006 |
| 15.07.26 | Entropy – Honvéd | Entropy | 2.38 | 80 | won | +111 | 2016 |
| 14.07.26 | Vasco – MAGICOS | Vasco | 2.46 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1906 |
| 14.07.26 | Honvéd – megoshort | megoshort | 2.41 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1946 |
| 14.07.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Patins da Ferrari | METANOIA Wolves | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1966 |
| 14.07.26 | Julie&Cie – Mai Tai | Julie&Cie | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 1976 |
| 13.07.26 | BRUTE – Honvéd | BRUTE | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1965 |
| 13.07.26 | LP – Imperial | Imperial | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 1954 |
| 12.07.26 | NRG – SportsBetExpert | NRG | 2.28 | 80 | won | +102 | 1943 |
| 12.07.26 | QUAZAR – Misa | Misa | 2.53 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1841 |
| 12.07.26 | SPARTA – Bushido Wildcats | SPARTA | 2.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1881 |
| 12.07.26 | SportsBetExpert – For Fun | For Fun | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1901 |
| 12.07.26 | SPARTA – Noir Verse | SPARTA | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 1911 |
| 12.07.26 | QUAZAR – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 2.18 | 80 | won | +94 | 1898 |
| 12.07.26 | HOTU – Vexar | Vexar | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1803 |
| 11.07.26 | LP – Fake do Biru | Fake do Biru | 2.38 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1843 |
| 11.07.26 | LPH – mellren | mellren | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1863 |
| 11.07.26 | 5star – Lynn Vision | Lynn Vision | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1873 |
| 10.07.26 | LP – paiN | paiN | 2.57 | 40 | won | +63 | 1863 |
| 10.07.26 | B8 – Virtus.pro | B8 | 2.25 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1800 |
| 09.07.26 | ShindeN – LP | ShindeN | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1820 |
| 09.07.26 | GenOne – BRUTE | BRUTE | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 1830 |
| 06.07.26 | Imperial – ALKA | Imperial | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1818 |
| 04.07.26 | Honvéd – LPH | Honvéd | 2.09 | 40 | won | +43 | 1808 |
| 04.07.26 | EYEBALLERS – Nemesis | EYEBALLERS | 2.28 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1764 |
| 04.07.26 | Club 333 – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1784 |
| 02.07.26 | GameHunters – ALKA | GameHunters | 2.06 | 160 | won | +170 | 1794 |
| 02.07.26 | PARIVISION – TYLOO | PARIVISION | 2.01 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1624 |
| 02.07.26 | WBT – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1704 |
| 02.07.26 | Lilmix – DONSTU | Lilmix | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1744 |
| 02.07.26 | Alliance – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1764 |
| 01.07.26 | SAW – Just Players | SAW | 2.36 | 20 | won | +27 | 1774 |
| 01.07.26 | Inner Circle Academy – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1747 |
| 01.07.26 | 3DMAX – Ninjas in Pyjamas | 3DMAX | 2.21 | 40 | won | +48 | 1757 |
| 01.07.26 | Blitzkrieg – Vasco | Vasco | 2.20 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1709 |
| 30.06.26 | Subtop De France – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1729 |
| 30.06.26 | Entropy – Endless Journey | Entropy | 2.35 | 10 | won | +13 | 1739 |
| 30.06.26 | regain – Villainous | regain | 2.02 | 320 | won | +325 | 1725 |
| 29.06.26 | METANOIA Wolves – Vasco | Vasco | 2.22 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1400 |
| 28.06.26 | Atreides – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.02 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1560 |
| 28.06.26 | Lilmix – Subtop De France | Lilmix | 2.21 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1640 |
| 28.06.26 | Leo – Aimhaus | Aimhaus | 2.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1680 |
| 27.06.26 | Sharks – Inner Circle | Sharks | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1700 |
| 26.06.26 | Acend – INFINITE | Acend | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1710 |
| 26.06.26 | Yawara – GameHunters | GameHunters | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1688 |
| 25.06.26 | Echo – Walczaki | Echo | 2.18 | 40 | won | +47 | 1698 |
| 25.06.26 | Enjoy – Julie&Cie | Julie&Cie | 2.46 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1651 |
| 25.06.26 | The Huns – Game Point | Game Point | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1671 |
| 24.06.26 | Echo – FOKUS | Echo | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 1681 |
| 24.06.26 | Inner Circle – Sharks | Sharks | 2.08 | 20 | won | +22 | 1668 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.