Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-2424u
ROI
-6.9%
win rate
42%
bets
899
drawdown
242.4%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
5% of bankroll
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-660u
period 6top-up-257u
period 5top-up-468u
period 4profit withdrawn+290u
period 3top-up-629u
period 2top-up-601u
period 1top-up-100u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 899 | 42% | -467 | -5.2% | 47.3% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 899 | 42% | -475 | -5.5% | 47.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 899 | 42% | -963 | -5.8% | 96.3% | Select |
| Martingale | 32 | 31% | -988 | -35.5% | 99% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 899 | 42% | -2424 | -6.9% | 242.4% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 899 | 42% | -4386 | -9.4% | 438.6% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 899, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FURIA – BETBOOM | BETBOOM | 2.04 | 18 | lost | -18 | -1424 |
| 14.10.26 | Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRES | Butterfly | 2.29 | 19 | lost | -19 | -1406 |
| 14.10.26 | Just Players – FOKUS | FOKUS | 2.08 | 18 | won | +19 | -1387 |
| 14.10.26 | G2 Ares – The Last Resort | The Last Resort | 2.02 | 19 | lost | -19 | -1407 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 20 | lost | -20 | -1388 |
| 14.10.26 | HOTU – Astralis | Astralis | 2.35 | 19 | won | +25 | -1368 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 20 | lost | -20 | -1393 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 21 | lost | -21 | -1374 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 19 | won | +25 | -1353 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | -1378 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 19 | won | +20 | -1358 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | -1378 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 21 | lost | -21 | -1357 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1336 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 20 | won | +43 | -1313 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 19 | won | +28 | -1356 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 20 | lost | -20 | -1384 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 21 | lost | -21 | -1364 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 22 | lost | -22 | -1343 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1321 |
| 10.10.26 | Lavked – Fortress | Fortress | 2.45 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1297 |
| 10.10.26 | Abyssal – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.51 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1273 |
| 10.10.26 | FlyQuest – madlikewizards | madlikewizards | 2.70 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1247 |
| 10.10.26 | Club 333 – DETONATE | DETONATE | 2.01 | 26 | won | +26 | -1220 |
| 10.10.26 | ALKA – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.27 | 24 | won | +31 | -1246 |
| 09.10.26 | Falcons – Spirit | Falcons | 2.29 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1277 |
| 09.10.26 | MOUZ NXT – Leo | MOUZ NXT | 2.61 | 24 | won | +38 | -1251 |
| 09.10.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.34 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1290 |
| 09.10.26 | Misa – 6666 | 6666 | 2.07 | 24 | won | +25 | -1265 |
| 09.10.26 | BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis Warriors | BORING PLAYERS | 2.13 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1290 |
| 09.10.26 | GamerLegion – SINNERS | GamerLegion | 2.24 | 24 | won | +29 | -1265 |
| 09.10.26 | HOTU – Acend | Acend | 2.70 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1294 |
| 09.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Leo | Leo | 2.05 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1269 |
| 09.10.26 | Azuolas – Enjoy | Azuolas | 2.89 | 24 | won | +45 | -1243 |
| 09.10.26 | New Legends – Wanted Goons | Wanted Goons | 2.35 | 22 | won | +30 | -1288 |
| 09.10.26 | Grêmio – Yawara | Grêmio | 2.05 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1318 |
| 08.10.26 | Leo – Privateer | Privateer | 3.78 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1295 |
| 08.10.26 | Saint Sinners – mellren | Saint Sinners | 2.54 | 23 | won | +35 | -1270 |
| 08.10.26 | Betclic – PRIVATE | PRIVATE | 2.07 | 22 | won | +23 | -1306 |
| 08.10.26 | megoshort – Fire Flux | megoshort | 2.56 | 23 | lost | -23 | -1329 |
| 08.10.26 | ENCE – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.19 | 24 | lost | -24 | -1306 |
| 08.10.26 | Azuolas – Noir Verse | Azuolas | 2.53 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1282 |
| 08.10.26 | OG – Sangal | OG | 2.24 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1256 |
| 08.10.26 | Banda Chuya – Illyrians | Banda Chuya | 2.19 | 28 | lost | -28 | -1230 |
| 08.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Color | Nuclear TigeRES | 2.02 | 27 | won | +27 | -1202 |
| 08.10.26 | regain – New Legends | New Legends | 2.36 | 28 | lost | -28 | -1229 |
| 08.10.26 | Isurus – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.07 | 30 | lost | -30 | -1201 |
| 08.10.26 | METANOIA Wolves – LP | METANOIA Wolves | 3.13 | 31 | lost | -31 | -1171 |
| 07.10.26 | Sangal – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.81 | 29 | won | +52 | -1140 |
| 07.10.26 | Lazer Cats – NAVI Junior | NAVI Junior | 2.07 | 27 | won | +29 | -1192 |
| 07.10.26 | Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTEC | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 25 | won | +36 | -1221 |
| 07.10.26 | Vexar – Privateer | Privateer | 3.36 | 23 | won | +54 | -1256 |
| 07.10.26 | Ryvex – mellren | Ryvex | 2.54 | 24 | lost | -24 | -1310 |
| 07.10.26 | Chinggis Warriors – Vitalem Aerem | Vitalem Aerem | 2.24 | 25 | lost | -25 | -1286 |
| 07.10.26 | LFO 10 – MAYBE | MAYBE | 2.02 | 26 | lost | -26 | -1261 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – SINQU | SINQU | 2.85 | 28 | lost | -28 | -1234 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.38 | 26 | won | +36 | -1206 |
| 07.10.26 | OG – Orion Wanderers | Orion Wanderers | 2.32 | 27 | lost | -27 | -1243 |
| 07.10.26 | PURE – SINQU | SINQU | 2.45 | 29 | lost | -29 | -1215 |
| 07.10.26 | Gothic – LPH | Gothic | 2.29 | 27 | won | +35 | -1186 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.