Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-232u
ROI
-7.1%
win rate
43%
bets
327
drawdown
34.2%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-40u
period 3top-up-118u
period 2top-up-86u
period 1profit withdrawn+13u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 147 | 42% | +404 | +5.4% | 42.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 327 | 43% | -232 | -7.1% | 34.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 327 | 43% | -239 | -7.7% | 33.8% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 327 | 43% | -487 | -8.3% | 63.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 327 | 43% | -1239 | -10.2% | 137.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 327 | 43% | -2311 | -13.3% | 212.1% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 327, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 768 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 754 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 743 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 733 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 743 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 731 |
| 18.08.26 | Misa – Strael Bora | Misa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 741 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 10 | won | +17 | 730 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 714 |
| 18.08.26 | WBT – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 3.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 724 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 734 |
| 18.08.26 | Metizport – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 744 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | 754 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 10 | won | +10 | 764 |
| 17.08.26 | LPH – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 753 |
| 17.08.26 | benched gods – Phantom Academy | benched gods | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 763 |
| 16.08.26 | Lavked – INOX Division | Lavked | 2.70 | 10 | won | +17 | 753 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | 736 |
| 16.08.26 | ROUNDS – Vexar | ROUNDS | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | 746 |
| 15.08.26 | Spirit – BIG | BIG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 756 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 766 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 756 |
| 15.08.26 | Privateer – Phantom Academy | Privateer | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 766 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 776 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 10 | won | +13 | 763 |
| 15.08.26 | Fire Flux – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 749 |
| 15.08.26 | Misa – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 735 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 10 | won | +15 | 745 |
| 14.08.26 | The Last Resort – Honvéd | Honvéd | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 730 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | MOUZ NXT | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 719 |
| 14.08.26 | NEW VISION – Arch | NEW VISION | 2.35 | 10 | won | +14 | 708 |
| 14.08.26 | Fire Flux – GUESS | GUESS | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | 694 |
| 13.08.26 | Abyssal – Ground Zero | Abyssal | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 704 |
| 12.08.26 | Lynn Vision – MOUZ | Lynn Vision | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | 714 |
| 12.08.26 | Endless Journey – HAVU | HAVU | 2.60 | 10 | won | +16 | 724 |
| 12.08.26 | Natus Vincere – 3DMAX | 3DMAX | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 708 |
| 12.08.26 | ROUNDS – Subtop De France | Subtop De France | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 718 |
| 11.08.26 | Rooster – Mindfreak | Mindfreak | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 728 |
| 10.08.26 | BORRACHEIROS – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 716 |
| 10.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | 726 |
| 09.08.26 | Sashi – BIG | BIG | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | 736 |
| 09.08.26 | UNiTY – Nexus | UNiTY | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 725 |
| 09.08.26 | SINNERS – EYEBALLERS | SINNERS | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 714 |
| 09.08.26 | Inner Circle – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.67 | 10 | lost | -10 | 724 |
| 08.08.26 | Butterfly – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 734 |
| 08.08.26 | Iberian Soul – 6666 | 6666 | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 723 |
| 08.08.26 | GamersLab – LPH | GamersLab | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 733 |
| 08.08.26 | Dark Tigre – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.11 | 10 | won | +11 | 743 |
| 08.08.26 | SadFamous – Eternal Fire | SadFamous | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 732 |
| 08.08.26 | K27 – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 742 |
| 08.08.26 | Echo – OG | OG | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 752 |
| 08.08.26 | Virtus.pro – JiJieHao | JiJieHao | 2.66 | 10 | lost | -10 | 762 |
| 07.08.26 | CYBERSHOKE – GenOne | CYBERSHOKE | 2.46 | 10 | won | +15 | 772 |
| 07.08.26 | MANGANESE – SINNERS | SINNERS | 2.13 | 10 | won | +11 | 758 |
| 07.08.26 | HOTU – GenOne | HOTU | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | 747 |
| 07.08.26 | BIG – Fluxo | BIG | 2.25 | 10 | won | +13 | 734 |
| 07.08.26 | FKOMAR – fnatic | FKOMAR | 2.53 | 10 | lost | -10 | 721 |
| 06.08.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 731 |
| 06.08.26 | Lavked – Black Phoenix | Lavked | 2.35 | 10 | lost | -10 | 741 |
| 06.08.26 | BESTIA – Grêmio | Grêmio | 2.32 | 10 | lost | -10 | 751 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.