Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-976u
ROI
-87.1%
win rate
23%
bets
13
drawdown
97.7%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Martingale
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7profit withdrawn+0u
period 6profit withdrawn+0u
period 5profit withdrawn+0u
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+24u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 875 | 42% | -370 | -4.2% | 47.1% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 875 | 42% | -393 | -4.6% | 47.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 875 | 42% | -832 | -5.1% | 97.5% | Select |
| Martingale | 13 | 23% | -976 | -87.1% | 97.7% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 875 | 42% | -2330 | -6.8% | 252.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 875 | 42% | -4596 | -10.5% | 471.1% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 13, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.05.26 | INOX Division – Aurora Young Blud | Aurora Young Blud | 2.11 | 380 | lost | -380 | 24 |
| 02.05.26 | Clutchain fe – home | Clutchain fe | 2.03 | 320 | lost | -320 | 404 |
| 02.05.26 | Last Bullet – BMZ | BMZ | 2.01 | 160 | lost | -160 | 724 |
| 02.05.26 | Voca – Wildcard | Voca | 2.38 | 80 | lost | -80 | 884 |
| 01.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – ASTRAL | HEROIC Academy | 2.18 | 40 | lost | -40 | 964 |
| 01.05.26 | BOSS – Aether | BOSS | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1004 |
| 30.04.26 | Walczaki – HYPERSPIRIT | HYPERSPIRIT | 2.23 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1024 |
| 30.04.26 | Rooster – WYDO | Rooster | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1034 |
| 29.04.26 | KOLESIE – Walczaki | KOLESIE | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1014 |
| 29.04.26 | Ding Cuts – low cortisol | Ding Cuts | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1024 |
| 28.04.26 | Walczaki – ASTRAL | ASTRAL | 2.09 | 40 | won | +43 | 1013 |
| 28.04.26 | Wildcard – Aether | Aether | 2.09 | 20 | lost | -20 | 970 |
| 27.04.26 | FarmVille – insane players | insane players | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | 990 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.