Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-729u
ROI
-14.5%
win rate
48%
bets
107
drawdown
84.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+271u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flat (10 units) | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0.1% | 20.9% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0% | 33.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | +3 | +0.1% | 20.4% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | -28 | -0.2% | 60.3% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 331 | 46% | -344 | -1.1% | 92.1% | Select |
| Martingale | 107 | 48% | -729 | -14.5% | 84.5% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 107, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19.06.26 | Sashi – KOLESIE | Sashi | 2.12 | 205 | lost | -205 | 271 |
| 18.06.26 | FOKUS – Noir Verse | Noir Verse | 2.10 | 640 | lost | -640 | 476 |
| 17.06.26 | KOLESIE – illwill | illwill | 2.57 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1116 |
| 17.06.26 | SPARTA – INOX Division | SPARTA | 2.62 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1436 |
| 17.06.26 | PsychoFace – Virtus.pro | PsychoFace | 2.44 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1596 |
| 16.06.26 | PsychoFace – Leo | PsychoFace | 2.14 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1676 |
| 16.06.26 | illwill – ex-RUBY | illwill | 2.50 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1716 |
| 16.06.26 | HOTU – TDK | HOTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1736 |
| 15.06.26 | SPARTA – G2 Ares | SPARTA | 2.25 | 160 | won | +200 | 1746 |
| 15.06.26 | Virtus.pro – brazylijski luz | brazylijski luz | 2.06 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1545 |
| 15.06.26 | Nemesis – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.12 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1625 |
| 15.06.26 | 100 Thieves – Betclic | Betclic | 2.14 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1665 |
| 15.06.26 | TDK – Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 2.29 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1685 |
| 15.06.26 | Club 333 – Olympus | Club 333 | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | 1695 |
| 14.06.26 | ex-RUBY – INOX Division | INOX Division | 2.15 | 10 | won | +12 | 1683 |
| 14.06.26 | fnatic – Metizport | Metizport | 2.08 | 10 | won | +11 | 1672 |
| 14.06.26 | Nexus – Noir Verse | Nexus | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1661 |
| 13.06.26 | Alliance – EAC | EAC | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1641 |
| 13.06.26 | SAAB – PURE | PURE | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1651 |
| 13.06.26 | B8 – FUT | FUT | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | 1641 |
| 13.06.26 | EAC – Noir Verse | EAC | 2.14 | 40 | won | +45 | 1630 |
| 13.06.26 | Marsborne – Overtake Sector | Overtake Sector | 2.11 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1584 |
| 12.06.26 | Washed – STATE | Washed | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1604 |
| 12.06.26 | FURIA – MOUZ | FURIA | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 1614 |
| 11.06.26 | Vitality – FUT | Vitality | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 1602 |
| 11.06.26 | KOLESIE – Virtus.pro | KOLESIE | 2.21 | 20 | won | +24 | 1592 |
| 11.06.26 | Lazer Cats – GenOne | Lazer Cats | 2.82 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1567 |
| 11.06.26 | Acend – INOX Division | Acend | 2.17 | 40 | won | +47 | 1577 |
| 10.06.26 | illwill – G2 Ares | illwill | 2.29 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1531 |
| 10.06.26 | Falcons Force – OLDBOYS PL | Falcons Force | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1551 |
| 10.06.26 | Walczaki – INOX Division | Walczaki | 2.22 | 10 | won | +12 | 1561 |
| 10.06.26 | Ursa – HEROIC Academy | Ursa | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1548 |
| 10.06.26 | aAa – RUSTEC | aAa | 2.19 | 577 | won | +689 | 1537 |
| 09.06.26 | Legacy – TYLOO | TYLOO | 2.02 | 320 | lost | -320 | 848 |
| 08.06.26 | The Last Resort – GenOne | The Last Resort | 2.08 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1168 |
| 08.06.26 | Ursa – RUSTEC | Ursa | 2.07 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1328 |
| 08.06.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – CYBERSHOKE | CYBERSHOKE | 2.17 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1408 |
| 08.06.26 | PsychoFace – brazylijski luz | PsychoFace | 2.19 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1448 |
| 08.06.26 | Chicken Coop – Third Prime | Third Prime | 2.12 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1468 |
| 07.06.26 | Monte – Legacy | Monte | 2.11 | 20 | won | +22 | 1478 |
| 07.06.26 | KOLESIE – Lazer Cats | Lazer Cats | 2.17 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1456 |
| 06.06.26 | B8 – M80 | M80 | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | 1466 |
| 06.06.26 | G2 – M80 | G2 | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 1456 |
| 06.06.26 | 9z – FlyQuest | 9z | 2.02 | 20 | won | +20 | 1445 |
| 06.06.26 | Betclic – INOX Division | Betclic | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1425 |
| 05.06.26 | Lilmix – DragonClaw | Lilmix | 2.09 | 160 | won | +175 | 1435 |
| 05.06.26 | ex-RUBY – RUSTEC | RUSTEC | 2.10 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1260 |
| 05.06.26 | Liquid – FlyQuest | Liquid | 2.01 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1340 |
| 04.06.26 | GamerLegion – BIG | BIG | 2.08 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1380 |
| 04.06.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – FlyQuest | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1400 |
| 03.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – TNC | Johnny Speeds | 2.25 | 40 | won | +50 | 1410 |
| 02.06.26 | BIG – Gaimin Gladiators | Gaimin Gladiators | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1360 |
| 02.06.26 | DONSTU – Fire Flux | DONSTU | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1380 |
| 02.06.26 | SINNERS – NRG | NRG | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1390 |
| 02.06.26 | MIBR – THUNDER dOWNUNDER | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1380 |
| 02.06.26 | Rebels – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.23 | 80 | won | +99 | 1370 |
| 31.05.26 | Rebels – HAVU | HAVU | 2.07 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1271 |
| 31.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – Bushido Wildcats | HEROIC Academy | 2.18 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1311 |
| 31.05.26 | FOKUS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1331 |
| 31.05.26 | Omega – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 1341 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.