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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1600u
ROI
-4.1%
win rate
43%
bets
883
drawdown
166%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-338u
period 6top-up-340u
period 5top-up-311u
period 4profit withdrawn+555u
period 3top-up-722u
period 2top-up-299u
period 1top-up-144u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Flat (10 units)88343%-228-2.6%32.8%Select
1% of bankroll88343%-248-2.8%31.6%Select
2% of bankroll88343%-537-3.1%61%Select
Martingale1414%-1019-80.4%101.9%Select
5% of bankroll88343%-1600-4.1%166%Select
10% of bankroll88343%-3498-6.1%349.8%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 883, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.1335lost-35-600
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9837lost-37-566
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5739lost-39-529
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.4241lost-41-490
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0143lost-43-450
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2940won+52-407
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1142lost-42-459
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0440won+42-416
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4542lost-42-458
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.6145lost-45-416
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1240won+85-371
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2038won+45-457
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4535won+51-502
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5537lost-37-553
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1035won+39-516
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1733won+39-555
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4935lost-35-594
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0937lost-37-559
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.5139lost-39-522
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1037won+40-483
10.10.26FlyQuest – madlikewizardsmadlikewizards2.7039lost-39-524
10.10.26FarmVille – Wanted GoonsWanted Goons2.6336won+59-485
10.10.26Club 333 – DETONATEDETONATE2.0134won+35-543
10.10.26ALKA – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.2732won+41-578
10.10.26Isurus – ProcyonIsurus2.0834lost-34-619
09.10.26Falcons – SpiritFalcons2.2936lost-36-585
09.10.26FURIA – MOUZFURIA2.3438lost-38-549
09.10.26Misa – 666666662.0736won+38-512
09.10.26BORING PLAYERS – Chinggis WarriorsBORING PLAYERS2.1337lost-37-550
09.10.26GamerLegion – SINNERSGamerLegion2.2435won+44-512
09.10.26HOTU – AcendAcend2.7037lost-37-556
09.10.26Black Phoenix – LeoLeo2.0539lost-39-519
09.10.26mellren – BebopBebop3.0835won+74-480
09.10.26Villainous – Reign AboveVillainous2.2033won+40-553
08.10.26Leo – PrivateerPrivateer3.7835lost-35-593
08.10.26Betclic – PRIVATEPRIVATE2.0733won+36-558
08.10.26megoshort – Fire Fluxmegoshort2.5635lost-35-594
08.10.26Azuolas – MisaAzuolas2.4337lost-37-559
08.10.26Rare Atom – Just SwingJust Swing2.3735won+47-522
08.10.26Legion – NasLegion2.2936lost-36-569
08.10.26Enjoy – 666666662.5034won+51-533
08.10.26OG – SangalOG2.2436lost-36-584
08.10.26Acend – ex-Zero TenacityAcend2.5233won+50-548
08.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – ColorNuclear TigeRES2.0232won+32-598
08.10.26Wanted Goons – Iowa StormboarWanted Goons2.9333lost-33-631
08.10.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – ex-Keyd Starsex-Keyd Stars2.0432won+33-597
08.10.26Turma do Pagode – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.6933lost-33-630
07.10.26Famalicão – Lazer CatsFamalicão2.5535lost-35-597
07.10.26Sangal – SAWSAW2.0937lost-37-562
07.10.26Iberian Soul – ex-RUSTECIberian Soul2.4034won+48-525
07.10.26BERG – LeoBERG3.0836lost-36-573
07.10.26Vexar – PrivateerPrivateer3.3632won+77-537
07.10.26LFO 10 – MAYBEMAYBE2.0234lost-34-614
07.10.26Leo – RyvexRyvex2.3636lost-36-580
07.10.26OG – Falcons ForceFalcons Force2.3834won+46-544
07.10.26OG – Orion WanderersOrion Wanderers2.3235lost-35-590
07.10.26benched gods – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya2.1937lost-37-555
06.10.26Falcons – Natus VincereNatus Vincere2.6539lost-39-517
06.10.26Spirit – 1win1win2.4137won+51-478
05.10.26Leo – ex-Zero TenacityLeo2.4934won+51-530
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.