?

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS210% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
+2840u
ROI
+4.2%
win rate
46%
bets
696
drawdown
57.9%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

💰
Stake size

10% of bankroll

🔁
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

📊
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-955u
period 3top-up-435u
period 2top-up-803u
period 1profit withdrawn+5034u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
10% of bankroll69646%+2840+4.2%57.9%Select
5% of bankroll69646%+817+2.3%51.3%Select
2% of bankroll69646%+194+1.4%38.6%Select
1% of bankroll69646%+79+1.1%25.3%Select
Flat (10 units)69646%+63+0.9%25.2%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Martingale14854%-1108-20.1%107.4%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 696, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
20.08.26mellren – Bushido Wildcatsmellren2.464won+63840
20.08.26FaZe – VitalityVitality2.154won+43834
20.08.26B8 – SpiritB82.374lost-43830
20.08.26OG – SPARTASPARTA2.024lost-43834
20.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – benched godsbenched gods2.024won+43839
20.08.26Falcons – The MongolZThe MongolZ2.494lost-43835
20.08.26Bushido Wildcats – RaccoonsRaccoons2.355lost-53839
19.08.26GamerLegion – MOUZGamerLegion2.415lost-53844
19.08.26Honvéd – Bushido WildcatsHonvéd2.815won+83849
19.08.26G2 – AstralisAstralis2.065lost-53841
19.08.26Black Phoenix – Bushido WildcatsBlack Phoenix2.784won+83846
19.08.26Permitta – EACPermitta2.095lost-53838
19.08.26Noir Verse – ENCENoir Verse2.204won+53843
19.08.26Mai Tai – HonvédMai Tai2.575lost-53838
19.08.26Entropy – Fire FluxEntropy2.165lost-53843
19.08.26G2 Ares – ex-Zero TenacityG2 Ares2.006lost-63848
18.08.26Misa – Strael BoraMisa2.095won+63854
18.08.26EAC – OGOG2.065won+53848
18.08.26Fortress – PermittaFortress2.435lost-53843
18.08.26Entropy – PCIFICEntropy2.116lost-63848
18.08.26Leo – ex-RUSTECLeo2.017lost-73854
18.08.26Bushido Wildcats – MisaMisa3.507lost-73861
18.08.26Color – MisaMisa2.068lost-83868
18.08.26Metizport – DONSTUDONSTU2.139lost-93876
18.08.26ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTECex-Zero Tenacity2.418won+113885
18.08.26Bebop – benched godsBebop2.059lost-93874
18.08.26MASONIC – BebopBebop2.0110lost-103883
18.08.26Fortress – ex-MANAFortress2.0311lost-113893
18.08.26ENCE – Mai TaiMai Tai2.4612lost-123904
17.08.26mellren – Noir VerseNoir Verse2.1513lost-133916
17.08.26benched gods – Phantom Academybenched gods2.0312won+123929
17.08.26ex-RUSTEC – DragonClawDragonClaw2.7213lost-133917
16.08.26Legacy – MIBRLegacy2.0312won+133930
16.08.26eternal premium – Phantom Academyeternal premium2.0314lost-143917
16.08.26DragonClaw – ex-Zero TenacityDragonClaw2.1515lost-153931
16.08.26Honvéd – mellrenHonvéd2.0617lost-173946
16.08.26INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYSBASEMENT BOYS2.2115won+183963
16.08.26ex-RUSTEC – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.6313won+213945
16.08.26BERG – HAVUHAVU2.1911won+143924
16.08.26ex-MANA – ex-RUSTECex-MANA2.3513lost-133910
16.08.26ROUNDS – VexarROUNDS2.2014lost-143923
16.08.26QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA WolvesMETANOIA Wolves2.5816lost-163937
16.08.26paiN Academy – ALKApaiN Academy2.1818lost-183953
15.08.26Spirit – BIGBIG2.0619lost-193970
15.08.26Lavked – OGLavked2.0818won+193990
15.08.26FURIA – 9zFURIA2.0416won+173971
15.08.26Privateer – Phantom AcademyPrivateer2.0318lost-183954
15.08.26SINQU – BASEMENT BOYSSINQU2.1120lost-203972
15.08.26Leo – MisaMisa2.2817won+223992
15.08.26Atreides – LPHAtreides2.3919lost-193969
15.08.26Honvéd – Inner Circle AcademyInner Circle Academy2.3317won+233989
15.08.26ex-MANA – MisaMisa2.0315won+163966
15.08.26MOUZ NXT – ENCEMOUZ NXT2.1514won+163950
15.08.26Fire Flux – NEW VISIONNEW VISION2.4612won+183934
15.08.26Misa – Mai TaiMai Tai2.0713lost-133916
14.08.26Lavked – BASEMENT BOYSLavked2.4312won+173930
14.08.26INOX Division – MOUZ NXTMOUZ NXT2.6713lost-133913
14.08.26Leo – benched godsbenched gods2.0615lost-153926
14.08.26Privateer – Fire FluxPrivateer2.2316lost-163940
14.08.26Mai Tai – UNiTYMai Tai2.3418lost-183957
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.