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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1411u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
40%
bets
1838
drawdown
141.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-467u
period 6top-up-157u
period 5top-up-405u
period 4profit withdrawn+118u
period 3top-up-220u
period 2top-up-231u
period 1top-up-48u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2425%-970-50.3%97.2%Select
1% of bankroll183840%-1274-7.8%127.4%Select
Flat (10 units)183840%-1411-7.7%141.1%Selected
2% of bankroll183840%-2298-7.9%229.8%Select
5% of bankroll183840%-4264-8.7%426.4%Select
10% of bankroll183840%-5767-10.6%576.7%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1838, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.3410lost-10-411
14.10.26Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTECex-RUSTEC2.0310lost-10-401
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.0310won+10-391
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10-401
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10-391
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.1910lost-10-381
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.6710won+17-371
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.4110won+14-388
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.2110lost-10-402
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.0910won+11-392
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.7810lost-10-403
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10-393
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13-383
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10-396
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.9010lost-10-386
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.0410lost-10-376
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.3010lost-10-366
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10-356
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10-366
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-356
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1810lost-10-346
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-336
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-326
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-316
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6810lost-10-306
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.1810lost-10-296
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-286
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.0410lost-10-276
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-266
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5510lost-10-277
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-267
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1810lost-10-277
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10-267
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-257
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-278
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12-268
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15-280
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-295
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-285
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-275
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+15-265
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10-280
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-270
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1410lost-10-282
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-272
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2410won+12-262
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2510lost-10-274
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.2010lost-10-264
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.8110lost-10-254
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.1010won+11-244
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+10-255
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8310lost-10-265
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12-255
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10-267
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.2510won+13-257
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.4010lost-10-270
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10-260
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10-250
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3910lost-10-240
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.1010won+11-230
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.