Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1411u
ROI
-7.7%
win rate
40%
bets
1838
drawdown
141.1%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-467u
period 6top-up-157u
period 5top-up-405u
period 4profit withdrawn+118u
period 3top-up-220u
period 2top-up-231u
period 1top-up-48u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 24 | 25% | -970 | -50.3% | 97.2% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1838 | 40% | -1274 | -7.8% | 127.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1838 | 40% | -1411 | -7.7% | 141.1% | Selected |
| 2% of bankroll | 1838 | 40% | -2298 | -7.9% | 229.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1838 | 40% | -4264 | -8.7% | 426.4% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1838 | 40% | -5767 | -10.6% | 576.7% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1838, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FOKUS – Younglings | Younglings | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | -411 |
| 14.10.26 | Black Phoenix – ex-RUSTEC | ex-RUSTEC | 2.03 | 10 | lost | -10 | -401 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | -391 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | -401 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | -391 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | -381 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | -371 |
| 14.10.26 | GenOne – 6666 | 6666 | 2.41 | 10 | won | +14 | -388 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | -402 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | -392 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | -403 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | -393 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | -383 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -396 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -386 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Liquid | Liquid | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | -376 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -366 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | -356 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -366 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | -356 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -346 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | -336 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | -326 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -316 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | -306 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – XI | XI | 3.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -296 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | -286 |
| 12.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Just Swing | Just Swing | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | -276 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -266 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | -277 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | -267 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -277 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -267 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | -257 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -278 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | -268 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +15 | -280 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | -295 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -285 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | -275 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 10 | won | +15 | -265 |
| 11.10.26 | Just Players – Misa | Misa | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | -280 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | -270 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -282 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | -272 |
| 11.10.26 | Overtake Sector – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | -262 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | Wanted Goons | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | -274 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -264 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | KZG | 2.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | -254 |
| 11.10.26 | Procyon – BORRACHEIROS | BORRACHEIROS | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | -244 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -255 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | -265 |
| 10.10.26 | Holy Cannoli – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.17 | 10 | won | +12 | -255 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | -267 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 10 | won | +13 | -257 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -270 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | -260 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -250 |
| 10.10.26 | Chinggis Warriors – THE UNIT | THE UNIT | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | -240 |
| 10.10.26 | WBT Academy – Saint Sinners | Saint Sinners | 2.10 | 10 | won | +11 | -230 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.