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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1866u
ROI
-10.1%
win rate
40%
bets
1854
drawdown
186.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-416u
period 6top-up-317u
period 5top-up-636u
period 4profit withdrawn+40u
period 3top-up-189u
period 2top-up-321u
period 1top-up-29u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2429%-944-60.8%94.8%Select
1% of bankroll185440%-1602-10%160.2%Select
Flat (10 units)185440%-1866-10.1%186.6%Selected
2% of bankroll185440%-2769-10.1%276.9%Select
5% of bankroll185440%-4712-10.4%471.2%Select
10% of bankroll185440%-5944-11.7%594.4%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1854, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FURIA – BETBOOMBETBOOM2.0410lost-10-866
14.10.26FOKUS – YounglingsYounglings2.4510lost-10-856
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.6410lost-10-846
14.10.26Butterfly – Nuclear TigeRESButterfly2.2910lost-10-836
14.10.26Just Players – FOKUSFOKUS2.0810won+11-826
14.10.26G2 Ares – The Last ResortThe Last Resort2.0210lost-10-837
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10-827
14.10.26HOTU – AstralisAstralis2.3510won+13-817
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10-831
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.1910lost-10-821
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.6710won+17-811
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.0510won+11-827
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.2110lost-10-838
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.0910won+11-828
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.7810lost-10-839
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10-829
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13-819
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10-832
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.9010lost-10-822
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.1610lost-10-812
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10-802
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10-812
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-802
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1810lost-10-792
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-782
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-772
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-762
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6810lost-10-752
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.1810won+12-742
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-754
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0710won+11-744
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-754
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5410lost-10-765
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-755
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10-765
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-755
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-776
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.6410lost-10-766
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+15-756
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-771
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-761
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-751
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+15-741
11.10.26Just Players – MisaMisa2.5510lost-10-756
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-746
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-758
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1410lost-10-748
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0710won+11-738
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2510lost-10-748
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.2410won+12-738
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.8110lost-10-751
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+10-741
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8310lost-10-751
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10-741
10.10.26Holy Cannoli – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.1710won+12-731
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.2510won+13-743
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.4010lost-10-755
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10-745
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10-735
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3910lost-10-725
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.