Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-250u
ROI
-6.4%
win rate
49%
bets
125
drawdown
59.6%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
Martingale
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4profit withdrawn+0u
period 3profit withdrawn+0u
period 2top-up-1000u
period 1profit withdrawn+750u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 125 | 49% | -250 | -6.4% | 59.6% | Selected |
| 1% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -252 | -4% | 36.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 671 | 44% | -298 | -4.4% | 41.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -440 | -3.8% | 56.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -918 | -3.9% | 94.5% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -2006 | -5.9% | 166.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 125, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05.06.26 | ex-RUBY – RUSTEC | RUSTEC | 2.10 | 477 | lost | -477 | 750 |
| 05.06.26 | Liquid – FlyQuest | Liquid | 2.01 | 320 | lost | -320 | 1227 |
| 05.06.26 | SPARTA – CYBERSHOKE | SPARTA | 2.23 | 160 | lost | -160 | 1547 |
| 05.06.26 | Leo – Lilmix | Lilmix | 2.01 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1707 |
| 05.06.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – Johnny Speeds | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.04 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1787 |
| 04.06.26 | THUNDER dOWNUNDER – FlyQuest | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1827 |
| 04.06.26 | PsychoFace – HYPERSPIRIT | PsychoFace | 2.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1847 |
| 03.06.26 | GamerLegion – BetBoom | BetBoom | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 1857 |
| 03.06.26 | Johnny Speeds – TNC | Johnny Speeds | 2.25 | 10 | won | +13 | 1845 |
| 03.06.26 | NRG – FlyQuest | NRG | 2.01 | 20 | won | +20 | 1833 |
| 03.06.26 | Young Ninjas – Entropy | Entropy | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1812 |
| 03.06.26 | ARCRED – INOX Division | INOX Division | 2.03 | 80 | won | +82 | 1822 |
| 02.06.26 | DONSTU – Fire Flux | DONSTU | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1740 |
| 02.06.26 | B8 – THUNDER dOWNUNDER | THUNDER dOWNUNDER | 2.17 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1780 |
| 02.06.26 | HEROIC – Lynn Vision | HEROIC | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1800 |
| 02.06.26 | Lavked – ASTRAL | Lavked | 2.06 | 20 | won | +21 | 1810 |
| 02.06.26 | GamerLegion – NRG | NRG | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1789 |
| 02.06.26 | Rebels – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.23 | 10 | won | +12 | 1799 |
| 02.06.26 | brazylijski luz – Atreides | brazylijski luz | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | 1786 |
| 01.06.26 | Misa – Falcons Force | Falcons Force | 2.24 | 10 | won | +12 | 1775 |
| 01.06.26 | Phantom – DragonClaw | Phantom | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1762 |
| 01.06.26 | GenOne – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1740 |
| 31.05.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | Marsborne | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1750 |
| 31.05.26 | TDK – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.19 | 20 | won | +24 | 1739 |
| 31.05.26 | HEROIC Academy – Bushido Wildcats | HEROIC Academy | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1716 |
| 31.05.26 | Gentle Mates – Nemesis | Nemesis | 2.27 | 10 | won | +13 | 1726 |
| 31.05.26 | KOLESIE – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.24 | 20 | won | +25 | 1713 |
| 31.05.26 | FOKUS – Nemiga | Nemiga | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1688 |
| 31.05.26 | G2 Ares – Vexar | G2 Ares | 2.16 | 80 | won | +93 | 1698 |
| 31.05.26 | ENCE – Atreides | ENCE | 2.07 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1605 |
| 31.05.26 | Atreides – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.01 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1645 |
| 31.05.26 | HOTU – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.22 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1665 |
| 31.05.26 | SportsBetExpert – Chicken Coop | Chicken Coop | 2.10 | 20 | won | +22 | 1675 |
| 30.05.26 | Ursa – TNC | Ursa | 2.26 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1653 |
| 30.05.26 | Chicken Coop – F5 | Chicken Coop | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | 1663 |
| 30.05.26 | magic – Ninjas in Pyjamas | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.00 | 80 | won | +80 | 1653 |
| 30.05.26 | FOKUS – fnatic | fnatic | 2.04 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1573 |
| 30.05.26 | ALGO – KOLESIE | ALGO | 2.04 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1613 |
| 30.05.26 | DEPO – Omega | DEPO | 2.06 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1633 |
| 30.05.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – FaZe | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1643 |
| 30.05.26 | Phantom – Bushido Wildcats | Phantom | 2.06 | 20 | won | +21 | 1633 |
| 30.05.26 | Young Ninjas – WAZABI | WAZABI | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1611 |
| 30.05.26 | TDK – Omega | TDK | 2.00 | 40 | won | +40 | 1621 |
| 30.05.26 | HOTU – DEPO | DEPO | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1581 |
| 29.05.26 | LP – GameHunters | GameHunters | 2.08 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1601 |
| 29.05.26 | TDK – TNC | TDK | 2.15 | 10 | won | +11 | 1611 |
| 29.05.26 | Alliance – Sharks | Sharks | 2.08 | 40 | won | +43 | 1600 |
| 29.05.26 | Lavked – HEROIC Academy | HEROIC Academy | 2.13 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1556 |
| 29.05.26 | Vexar – NEW VISION | NEW VISION | 2.02 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1576 |
| 29.05.26 | PCIFIC – Rune Eaters | Rune Eaters | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | 1586 |
| 29.05.26 | Nemesis – Lavked | Nemesis | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | 1575 |
| 29.05.26 | Dark Moon – Game Point | Dark Moon | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1565 |
| 29.05.26 | HAVU – aAa | HAVU | 2.00 | 10 | won | +10 | 1555 |
| 29.05.26 | TNC – Young Ninjas | Young Ninjas | 2.61 | 160 | won | +257 | 1545 |
| 28.05.26 | Betclic – Eternal Fire | Betclic | 2.09 | 80 | lost | -80 | 1288 |
| 28.05.26 | Phantom – Atreides | Phantom | 2.02 | 40 | lost | -40 | 1368 |
| 28.05.26 | 1win – AM | 1win | 2.02 | 20 | lost | -20 | 1408 |
| 28.05.26 | 25 cents – LP | 25 cents | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | 1428 |
| 28.05.26 | TYLOO – SemperFi | TYLOO | 2.01 | 10 | won | +10 | 1438 |
| 28.05.26 | Gentle Mates – GenOne | Gentle Mates | 2.21 | 160 | won | +194 | 1428 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.