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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS25% of bankrollpayout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-4816u
ROI
-11%
win rate
39%
bets
1819
drawdown
481.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

5% of bankroll

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-939u
period 6top-up-857u
period 5top-up-960u
period 4top-up-378u
period 3top-up-828u
period 2top-up-847u
period 1top-up-8u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2335%-915-69.3%92.2%Select
1% of bankroll181939%-1599-10.1%159.9%Select
Flat (10 units)181939%-1835-10.1%183.5%Select
2% of bankroll181939%-2798-10.3%279.5%Select
5% of bankroll181939%-4816-11%481.6%Selected
10% of bankroll181939%-5851-12.1%585.1%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1819, showing the last 60.
AllRandom 50%Random 25%Random 10%
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.573lost-3-3816
14.10.26Astralis – SashiSashi2.423lost-3-3813
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.194lost-4-3810
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.673won+5-3806
14.10.26GenOne – 666666662.413won+4-3812
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.213lost-3-3816
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.093won+3-3813
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.783lost-3-3816
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.013lost-3-3813
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.293won+4-3810
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.113lost-3-3814
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.904lost-4-3810
13.10.26JiJieHao – BBLBBL2.164lost-4-3807
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.304lost-4-3803
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.044won+4-3799
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.114lost-4-3803
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.104lost-4-3799
13.10.26Galorys – Bounty HuntersBounty Hunters2.264lost-4-3795
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.015lost-5-3791
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.695lost-5-3786
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.095lost-5-3781
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.685lost-5-3776
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – XIXI3.186lost-6-3771
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.456lost-6-3766
12.10.26Lynn Vision – Just SwingJust Swing2.046lost-6-3760
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.026won+6-3753
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.546lost-6-3759
12.10.26Rooster – LFO 8LFO 82.047lost-7-3753
12.10.26Yawara – GalorysYawara2.617lost-7-3747
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.126won+13-3740
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.407lost-7-3753
11.10.26mellren – LavkedLavked2.647lost-7-3746
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.456won+9-3740
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.527lost-7-3749
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.907lost-7-3742
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.317lost-7-3735
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.547won+11-3728
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147won+7-3738
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.147lost-7-3746
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.077lost-7-3739
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.077won+7-3732
11.10.26Overtake Sector – Chicken CoopChicken Coop2.247won+8-3739
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.257lost-7-3747
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.147lost-7-3740
11.10.26Procyon – BORRACHEIROSBORRACHEIROS2.107won+8-3733
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.027won+7-3741
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.837lost-7-3747
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.377lost-7-3740
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.158lost-8-3733
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.257won+9-3725
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.408lost-8-3734
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.498lost-8-3727
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.098lost-8-3719
10.10.26Abyssal – MindfreakMindfreak2.519lost-9-3711
10.10.26Lavked – FortressFortress2.459lost-9-3702
10.10.26WBT Academy – Saint SinnersSaint Sinners2.109won+10-3693
10.10.26Sangal – PUREPURE2.269lost-9-3702
10.10.26Iberian Soul – NemigaIberian Soul4.018won+24-3693
10.10.26Misa – AzuolasAzuolas2.348lost-8-3717
10.10.26Mindfreak – AbyssalMindfreak2.569lost-9-3709
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Strategy selected ✓
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.