Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-918u
ROI
-3.9%
win rate
44%
bets
671
drawdown
94.5%
payouts
4
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
🎯
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
💰
Stake size
5% of bankroll
🔁
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
📊
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 4top-up-903u
period 3profit withdrawn+215u
period 2top-up-398u
period 1profit withdrawn+168u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
| Martingale | 125 | 49% | -250 | -6.4% | 59.6% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -252 | -4% | 36.1% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 671 | 44% | -298 | -4.4% | 41.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -440 | -3.8% | 56.8% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -918 | -3.9% | 94.5% | Selected |
| 10% of bankroll | 671 | 44% | -2006 | -5.9% | 166.2% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 671, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.08.26 | mellren – Bushido Wildcats | mellren | 2.46 | 5 | won | +7 | 82 |
| 20.08.26 | B8 – Spirit | B8 | 2.37 | 5 | lost | -5 | 76 |
| 20.08.26 | OG – SPARTA | SPARTA | 2.02 | 5 | lost | -5 | 81 |
| 20.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – benched gods | benched gods | 2.02 | 5 | won | +5 | 86 |
| 19.08.26 | FURIA – Aurora | FURIA | 2.02 | 5 | won | +5 | 81 |
| 19.08.26 | Drip Too Hard – HYPERSPIRIT | Drip Too Hard | 2.16 | 5 | lost | -5 | 76 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 – Astralis | Astralis | 2.06 | 5 | lost | -5 | 81 |
| 19.08.26 | Enjoy – ex-Zero Tenacity | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.17 | 5 | won | +6 | 86 |
| 19.08.26 | Permitta – EAC | Permitta | 2.09 | 5 | lost | -5 | 80 |
| 19.08.26 | Noir Verse – ENCE | Noir Verse | 2.20 | 5 | won | +6 | 85 |
| 19.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – SPARTA | MOUZ NXT | 2.05 | 5 | lost | -5 | 80 |
| 19.08.26 | HYPERSPIRIT – Permitta | Permitta | 2.01 | 5 | lost | -5 | 85 |
| 19.08.26 | G2 Ares – ex-Zero Tenacity | G2 Ares | 2.00 | 6 | lost | -6 | 90 |
| 19.08.26 | GenOne – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.54 | 6 | lost | -6 | 95 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – OG | OG | 2.06 | 6 | won | +6 | 101 |
| 18.08.26 | DONSTU – MOUZ NXT | DONSTU | 2.02 | 6 | lost | -6 | 95 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Entropy | Entropy | 2.68 | 5 | won | +9 | 101 |
| 18.08.26 | Entropy – PCIFIC | Entropy | 2.11 | 6 | lost | -6 | 92 |
| 18.08.26 | Leo – ex-RUSTEC | Leo | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | 98 |
| 18.08.26 | Color – Misa | Misa | 2.06 | 6 | lost | -6 | 104 |
| 18.08.26 | EAC – Fortress | Fortress | 2.69 | 7 | lost | -7 | 110 |
| 18.08.26 | Omega – Fire Flux | Fire Flux | 2.29 | 6 | won | +8 | 116 |
| 18.08.26 | ex-Zero Tenacity – ex-RUSTEC | ex-Zero Tenacity | 2.41 | 6 | won | +8 | 108 |
| 18.08.26 | MASONIC – Bebop | Bebop | 2.01 | 6 | lost | -6 | 100 |
| 18.08.26 | ENCE – Mai Tai | Mai Tai | 2.46 | 6 | lost | -6 | 106 |
| 17.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Permitta | Permitta | 2.77 | 7 | lost | -7 | 113 |
| 17.08.26 | Nexus – G2 Ares | G2 Ares | 2.05 | 6 | won | +7 | 119 |
| 17.08.26 | Noir Verse – ex-RUSTEC | Noir Verse | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 113 |
| 17.08.26 | ex-RUSTEC – DragonClaw | DragonClaw | 2.72 | 7 | lost | -7 | 120 |
| 16.08.26 | EAC – BASEMENT BOYS | EAC | 2.17 | 7 | won | +8 | 127 |
| 16.08.26 | eternal premium – Phantom Academy | eternal premium | 2.03 | 7 | lost | -7 | 119 |
| 16.08.26 | Rune Eaters – DNK | DNK | 2.19 | 7 | lost | -7 | 126 |
| 16.08.26 | INOX Division – BASEMENT BOYS | BASEMENT BOYS | 2.21 | 7 | won | +8 | 133 |
| 16.08.26 | MOUZ – PARIVISION | PARIVISION | 2.21 | 7 | lost | -7 | 125 |
| 16.08.26 | ENCE – WBT | ENCE | 2.13 | 8 | lost | -8 | 132 |
| 16.08.26 | FORZE Reload – DONSTU | DONSTU | 2.08 | 8 | lost | -8 | 140 |
| 16.08.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Fortress | Fortress | 3.32 | 9 | lost | -9 | 148 |
| 16.08.26 | Nexus – Bushido Wildcats | Nexus | 2.41 | 9 | lost | -9 | 157 |
| 16.08.26 | QUINTESSÊNCIA – METANOIA Wolves | METANOIA Wolves | 2.62 | 9 | lost | -9 | 166 |
| 15.08.26 | INOX Division – Misa | Misa | 2.71 | 10 | lost | -10 | 175 |
| 15.08.26 | eternal premium – Revise | eternal premium | 2.04 | 11 | lost | -11 | 185 |
| 15.08.26 | FURIA – 9z | FURIA | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | 196 |
| 15.08.26 | Enjoy – UNiTY | UNiTY | 2.29 | 11 | lost | -11 | 185 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-Sashi Academy – SAW Youngsters | SAW Youngsters | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | 196 |
| 15.08.26 | SINQU – BASEMENT BOYS | SINQU | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | 184 |
| 15.08.26 | Leo – Misa | Misa | 2.28 | 10 | won | +13 | 195 |
| 15.08.26 | Honvéd – Inner Circle Academy | Inner Circle Academy | 2.33 | 9 | won | +12 | 182 |
| 15.08.26 | ex-MANA – Misa | Misa | 2.03 | 9 | won | +9 | 170 |
| 15.08.26 | METANOIA Wolves – MEIA NOITE | METANOIA Wolves | 2.52 | 8 | won | +12 | 161 |
| 15.08.26 | BESTIA – ALKA | ALKA | 2.04 | 9 | lost | -9 | 148 |
| 14.08.26 | Lavked – BASEMENT BOYS | Lavked | 2.43 | 8 | won | +11 | 157 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – MOUZ NXT | MOUZ NXT | 2.67 | 8 | lost | -8 | 146 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – Misa | Misa | 2.04 | 9 | lost | -9 | 154 |
| 14.08.26 | Privateer – Fire Flux | Privateer | 2.23 | 9 | lost | -9 | 163 |
| 14.08.26 | Mai Tai – UNiTY | Mai Tai | 2.34 | 10 | lost | -10 | 172 |
| 14.08.26 | EAC – benched gods | EAC | 2.09 | 9 | won | +10 | 182 |
| 14.08.26 | MOUZ NXT – Lazer Cats | MOUZ NXT | 2.10 | 9 | won | +10 | 172 |
| 14.08.26 | SINQU – Lavked | Lavked | 2.14 | 8 | won | +10 | 162 |
| 14.08.26 | Misa – Leo | Misa | 2.55 | 8 | won | +12 | 153 |
| 14.08.26 | INOX Division – ex-MANA | ex-MANA | 2.61 | 8 | lost | -8 | 141 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.