Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.
profit
-1686u
ROI
-9.1%
win rate
40%
bets
1859
drawdown
168.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on
Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0
payments
Stake size
Flat (10 units)
restart_alt
Return to start
At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.
insights
Odds
No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.
Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-489u
period 6top-up-179u
period 5top-up-717u
period 4profit withdrawn+103u
period 3top-up-182u
period 2top-up-205u
period 1top-up-18u
Stake sizes
| Stake | Bets | Hit | Profit | ROI | Drawdown | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martingale | 25 | 32% | -923 | -60.3% | 92.9% | Select |
| 1% of bankroll | 1859 | 40% | -1414 | -8.7% | 141.4% | Select |
| Flat (10 units) | 1859 | 40% | -1686 | -9.1% | 168.6% | Select |
| 2% of bankroll | 1859 | 40% | -2426 | -8.5% | 242.6% | Select |
| 5% of bankroll | 1859 | 40% | -4217 | -8.7% | 421.7% | Select |
| 10% of bankroll | 1859 | 40% | -5609 | -10.7% | 560.9% | Select |
| Quarter Kelly | 0 | 0% | +0 | +0% | 0% | Select |
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1859, showing the last 60.
| Date | Match | Bet on | Odds | Stake | Result | ±Bank | Bank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.10.26 | FORZE Reload – LFO 10 | LFO 10 | 2.64 | 10 | lost | -10 | -686 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – HOTU | fnatic | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | -676 |
| 14.10.26 | BET-M – FORZE Reload | BET-M | 2.13 | 10 | lost | -10 | -686 |
| 14.10.26 | fnatic – Sashi | Sashi | 2.98 | 10 | lost | -10 | -676 |
| 14.10.26 | Lynn Vision – Alter Ego | Lynn Vision | 2.03 | 10 | won | +10 | -666 |
| 14.10.26 | Banda Chuya – 6666 | Banda Chuya | 2.57 | 10 | lost | -10 | -677 |
| 14.10.26 | MARKandLARRY – Rooster | MARKandLARRY | 2.19 | 10 | lost | -10 | -667 |
| 14.10.26 | 9z – Aurora | 9z | 2.67 | 10 | won | +17 | -657 |
| 14.10.26 | Gothic – Lavked | Lavked | 2.05 | 10 | won | +11 | -673 |
| 14.10.26 | Zomblers – Overtake Sector | Zomblers | 2.21 | 10 | lost | -10 | -684 |
| 14.10.26 | your end – SUKEBAN | your end | 2.09 | 10 | won | +11 | -674 |
| 14.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – Galorys | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.78 | 10 | lost | -10 | -685 |
| 13.10.26 | Grêmio – LOS NINOS | Grêmio | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | -675 |
| 13.10.26 | GenOne – Butterfly | Butterfly | 2.29 | 10 | won | +13 | -665 |
| 13.10.26 | UPGRADE – Omega | Omega | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -678 |
| 13.10.26 | Black Phoenix – 6666 | 6666 | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -668 |
| 13.10.26 | 100 Thieves – Liquid | Liquid | 2.04 | 10 | lost | -10 | -658 |
| 13.10.26 | Just Swing – Alter Ego | Just Swing | 2.30 | 10 | lost | -10 | -648 |
| 13.10.26 | Bushido Wildcats – Illyrians | Illyrians | 2.04 | 10 | won | +10 | -638 |
| 13.10.26 | Liquid – BBL | BBL | 2.11 | 10 | lost | -10 | -648 |
| 13.10.26 | Fruju – Rooster | Fruju | 2.10 | 10 | lost | -10 | -638 |
| 13.10.26 | ex-Keyd Stars – LP | ex-Keyd Stars | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -628 |
| 12.10.26 | 6666 – megoshort | megoshort | 2.01 | 10 | lost | -10 | -618 |
| 12.10.26 | Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.69 | 10 | lost | -10 | -608 |
| 12.10.26 | SAW Youngsters – Illyrians | SAW Youngsters | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -598 |
| 12.10.26 | Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTEC | Nordic Partners | 2.68 | 10 | lost | -10 | -588 |
| 12.10.26 | PRIVATE – Johnny Speeds | Johnny Speeds | 2.18 | 10 | won | +12 | -578 |
| 12.10.26 | Sangal – Betclic | Betclic | 2.45 | 10 | lost | -10 | -590 |
| 12.10.26 | Alter Ego – Chinggis Warriors | Alter Ego | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | -580 |
| 12.10.26 | Fire Flux – mellren | mellren | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -591 |
| 12.10.26 | Ninjas in Pyjamas – Betclic | Betclic | 2.55 | 10 | lost | -10 | -601 |
| 12.10.26 | Fruju – MARKandLARRY | MARKandLARRY | 2.06 | 10 | won | +11 | -591 |
| 12.10.26 | DETONATE – Iowa Stormboar | DETONATE | 2.18 | 10 | lost | -10 | -601 |
| 12.10.26 | BORRACHEIROS – Bounty Hunters | BORRACHEIROS | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -591 |
| 11.10.26 | DENDELE – Imperial | DENDELE | 3.12 | 10 | won | +21 | -581 |
| 11.10.26 | DIVINITY – ex-RUSTEC | DIVINITY | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -603 |
| 11.10.26 | XI – ASTRAL | XI | 2.20 | 10 | won | +12 | -593 |
| 11.10.26 | acidhouze – Inner Circle Academy | acidhouze | 2.45 | 10 | won | +14 | -605 |
| 11.10.26 | GenOne – Banda Chuya | Banda Chuya | 3.52 | 10 | lost | -10 | -619 |
| 11.10.26 | Bebop – mellren | Bebop | 2.90 | 10 | lost | -10 | -609 |
| 11.10.26 | The KnockoutX – Alter Ego | The KnockoutX | 2.31 | 10 | lost | -10 | -599 |
| 11.10.26 | Aurora – Spirit | Aurora | 2.54 | 10 | won | +15 | -589 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – Abyssal | Abyssal | 2.14 | 10 | won | +11 | -605 |
| 11.10.26 | Abyssal – KZG | KZG | 2.07 | 10 | lost | -10 | -616 |
| 11.10.26 | Ground Zero – FlyQuest | Ground Zero | 2.14 | 10 | lost | -10 | -606 |
| 11.10.26 | Zomblers – Iowa Stormboar | Zomblers | 2.07 | 10 | won | +11 | -596 |
| 11.10.26 | Wanted Goons – DETONATE | Wanted Goons | 2.25 | 10 | lost | -10 | -607 |
| 11.10.26 | EMPIRE – regain | EMPIRE | 2.20 | 10 | lost | -10 | -597 |
| 11.10.26 | FlyQuest – KZG | KZG | 2.81 | 10 | lost | -10 | -587 |
| 11.10.26 | Galorys – MEIA NOITE | MEIA NOITE | 2.84 | 10 | lost | -10 | -577 |
| 10.10.26 | Marsborne – SportsBetExpert | SportsBetExpert | 2.02 | 10 | won | +10 | -567 |
| 10.10.26 | Fathom – SportsBetExpert | Fathom | 2.83 | 10 | lost | -10 | -577 |
| 10.10.26 | Without a Roof – Last Dance US | Last Dance US | 3.37 | 10 | lost | -10 | -567 |
| 10.10.26 | Elusive – Marsborne | Elusive | 3.15 | 10 | lost | -10 | -557 |
| 10.10.26 | MOUZ – Spirit | MOUZ | 2.25 | 10 | won | +13 | -547 |
| 10.10.26 | Black Phoenix – Iberian Soul | Iberian Soul | 2.40 | 10 | lost | -10 | -559 |
| 10.10.26 | NRG – Unreal Nightmare | Unreal Nightmare | 2.49 | 10 | lost | -10 | -549 |
| 10.10.26 | Bebop – 6666 | Bebop | 2.09 | 10 | lost | -10 | -539 |
| 10.10.26 | Alter Ego – Vitalem Aerem | Vitalem Aerem | 2.27 | 10 | lost | -10 | -529 |
| 10.10.26 | Chinggis Warriors – THE UNIT | THE UNIT | 2.39 | 10 | lost | -10 | -519 |
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.