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Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

CSCS2Flat (10 units)payout: monthly

Bets the underdog at odds ≥ 2.0. The classic "undervalued underdog" idea: they pay at least double, so the strategy can profit even winning under half its bets.

profit
-1686u
ROI
-9.1%
win rate
40%
bets
1859
drawdown
168.6%
payouts
7
Balance by period
Blue line is the working bankroll. Dashes mark the starting sum. At the end of each period the bankroll returns to start: a green dot means profit withdrawn, red means a top-up.
start
working bankrollstarting sumprofit withdrawntop-up
Strategy rules
gps_fixed
What we bet on

Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0

payments
Stake size

Flat (10 units)

restart_alt
Return to start

At the end of the period the bankroll is brought back to the starting sum: profit is withdrawn, drawdown topped up with a deposit.

insights
Odds

No real historical CS2 odds exist, so they are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin — this is a simulation.

Recent withdrawals and top-ups
period 7top-up-489u
period 6top-up-179u
period 5top-up-717u
period 4profit withdrawn+103u
period 3top-up-182u
period 2top-up-205u
period 1top-up-18u
Stake sizes
StakeBetsHitProfitROIDrawdownPick
Martingale2532%-923-60.3%92.9%Select
1% of bankroll185940%-1414-8.7%141.4%Select
Flat (10 units)185940%-1686-9.1%168.6%Select
2% of bankroll185940%-2426-8.5%242.6%Select
5% of bankroll185940%-4217-8.7%421.7%Select
10% of bankroll185940%-5609-10.7%560.9%Select
Quarter Kelly00%+0+0%0%Select
Bet-by-bet match log
Every bet the strategy placed on a specific match: pick, odds, result and bankroll after. Total bets: 1859, showing the last 60.
DateMatchBet onOddsStakeResult±BankBank
14.10.26FORZE Reload – LFO 10LFO 102.6410lost-10-686
14.10.26fnatic – HOTUfnatic2.0310won+10-676
14.10.26BET-M – FORZE ReloadBET-M2.1310lost-10-686
14.10.26fnatic – SashiSashi2.9810lost-10-676
14.10.26Lynn Vision – Alter EgoLynn Vision2.0310won+10-666
14.10.26Banda Chuya – 6666Banda Chuya2.5710lost-10-677
14.10.26MARKandLARRY – RoosterMARKandLARRY2.1910lost-10-667
14.10.269z – Aurora9z2.6710won+17-657
14.10.26Gothic – LavkedLavked2.0510won+11-673
14.10.26Zomblers – Overtake SectorZomblers2.2110lost-10-684
14.10.26your end – SUKEBANyour end2.0910won+11-674
14.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – Galorysex-Keyd Stars2.7810lost-10-685
13.10.26Grêmio – LOS NINOSGrêmio2.0110lost-10-675
13.10.26GenOne – ButterflyButterfly2.2910won+13-665
13.10.26UPGRADE – OmegaOmega2.1110lost-10-678
13.10.26Black Phoenix – 666666662.9010lost-10-668
13.10.26100 Thieves – LiquidLiquid2.0410lost-10-658
13.10.26Just Swing – Alter EgoJust Swing2.3010lost-10-648
13.10.26Bushido Wildcats – IllyriansIllyrians2.0410won+10-638
13.10.26Liquid – BBLBBL2.1110lost-10-648
13.10.26Fruju – RoosterFruju2.1010lost-10-638
13.10.26ex-Keyd Stars – LPex-Keyd Stars2.1810lost-10-628
12.10.266666 – megoshortmegoshort2.0110lost-10-618
12.10.26Nuclear TigeRES – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.6910lost-10-608
12.10.26SAW Youngsters – IllyriansSAW Youngsters2.0910lost-10-598
12.10.26Nordic Partners – ex-RUSTECNordic Partners2.6810lost-10-588
12.10.26PRIVATE – Johnny SpeedsJohnny Speeds2.1810won+12-578
12.10.26Sangal – BetclicBetclic2.4510lost-10-590
12.10.26Alter Ego – Chinggis WarriorsAlter Ego2.0710won+11-580
12.10.26Fire Flux – mellrenmellren2.0210won+10-591
12.10.26Ninjas in Pyjamas – BetclicBetclic2.5510lost-10-601
12.10.26Fruju – MARKandLARRYMARKandLARRY2.0610won+11-591
12.10.26DETONATE – Iowa StormboarDETONATE2.1810lost-10-601
12.10.26BORRACHEIROS – Bounty HuntersBORRACHEIROS2.0910lost-10-591
11.10.26DENDELE – ImperialDENDELE3.1210won+21-581
11.10.26DIVINITY – ex-RUSTECDIVINITY2.4010lost-10-603
11.10.26XI – ASTRALXI2.2010won+12-593
11.10.26acidhouze – Inner Circle Academyacidhouze2.4510won+14-605
11.10.26GenOne – Banda ChuyaBanda Chuya3.5210lost-10-619
11.10.26Bebop – mellrenBebop2.9010lost-10-609
11.10.26The KnockoutX – Alter EgoThe KnockoutX2.3110lost-10-599
11.10.26Aurora – SpiritAurora2.5410won+15-589
11.10.26Ground Zero – AbyssalAbyssal2.1410won+11-605
11.10.26Abyssal – KZGKZG2.0710lost-10-616
11.10.26Ground Zero – FlyQuestGround Zero2.1410lost-10-606
11.10.26Zomblers – Iowa StormboarZomblers2.0710won+11-596
11.10.26Wanted Goons – DETONATEWanted Goons2.2510lost-10-607
11.10.26EMPIRE – regainEMPIRE2.2010lost-10-597
11.10.26FlyQuest – KZGKZG2.8110lost-10-587
11.10.26Galorys – MEIA NOITEMEIA NOITE2.8410lost-10-577
10.10.26Marsborne – SportsBetExpertSportsBetExpert2.0210won+10-567
10.10.26Fathom – SportsBetExpertFathom2.8310lost-10-577
10.10.26Without a Roof – Last Dance USLast Dance US3.3710lost-10-567
10.10.26Elusive – MarsborneElusive3.1510lost-10-557
10.10.26MOUZ – SpiritMOUZ2.2510won+13-547
10.10.26Black Phoenix – Iberian SoulIberian Soul2.4010lost-10-559
10.10.26NRG – Unreal NightmareUnreal Nightmare2.4910lost-10-549
10.10.26Bebop – 6666Bebop2.0910lost-10-539
10.10.26Alter Ego – Vitalem AeremVitalem Aerem2.2710lost-10-529
10.10.26Chinggis Warriors – THE UNITTHE UNIT2.3910lost-10-519
Simulation: no real historical CS2 odds exist, so odds are modelled from Elo with a bookmaker margin. The numbers illustrate strategy behaviour, not real returns. Not investment advice.
This strategy will be used for recommendations on match pages.Select strategy
Betting strategy "Underdog at odds ≥ 2.0" on historical data: hit rate, profit, ROI and drawdown across bankroll stake sizes. Starting bankroll 1000 units. Not investment advice.